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Deep learning cardiac motion analysis for human survival prediction
Motion analysis is used in computer vision to understand the behaviour of
moving objects in sequences of images. Optimising the interpretation of dynamic
biological systems requires accurate and precise motion tracking as well as
efficient representations of high-dimensional motion trajectories so that these
can be used for prediction tasks. Here we use image sequences of the heart,
acquired using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, to create time-resolved
three-dimensional segmentations using a fully convolutional network trained on
anatomical shape priors. This dense motion model formed the input to a
supervised denoising autoencoder (4Dsurvival), which is a hybrid network
consisting of an autoencoder that learns a task-specific latent code
representation trained on observed outcome data, yielding a latent
representation optimised for survival prediction. To handle right-censored
survival outcomes, our network used a Cox partial likelihood loss function. In
a study of 302 patients the predictive accuracy (quantified by Harrell's
C-index) was significantly higher (p < .0001) for our model C=0.73 (95 CI:
0.68 - 0.78) than the human benchmark of C=0.59 (95 CI: 0.53 - 0.65). This
work demonstrates how a complex computer vision task using high-dimensional
medical image data can efficiently predict human survival
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