Multi-Level Cause-Effect Systems

We present a domain-general account of causation that applies to settings in which macro-level causal relations between two systems are of interest, but the relevant causal features are poorly understood and have to be aggregated from vast arrays of micro-measurements. Our approach generalizes that of Chalupka et. al. (2015) to the setting in which the macro-level effect is not specified. We formalize the connection between micro- and macro-variables in such situations and provide a coherent framework describing causal relations at multiple levels of analysis. We present an algorithm that discovers macro-variable causes and effects from micro-level measurements obtained from an experiment. We further show how to design experiments to discover macro-variables from observational micro-variable data. Finally, we show that under specific conditions, one can identify multiple levels of causal structure. Throughout the article, we use a simulated neuroscience multi-unit recording experiment to illustrate the ideas and the algorithms

Application of Competence Models in Performance Measurement Systems

The article addresses the topic of organizational effectiveness and deals with the use of competence models in performance measurement systems. Performance measurement is a multi-faceted and multipartite phenomenon. It should reflect organizational and individual performance level, different perspectives, reflecting the past, the present and the future. All these aspects and perspectives are in cause-effect relationship and measured in different dimensions. The learning and growth perspective is very unique as it presents the future and using competence models to reflect it can bridge the individual performance level with organizational as well as performance future aspect with present and past

A Critical Evaluation Of Empirical Non-Linear Control System And System Dynamics Modeling Theories For Mitigating Risks Arising From Bullwhip Effect

Bullwhip effect is a threat observed in multi-echelon supply chains, which is one of the prominent indicators of inefficiencies in a supply chain. Primarily, bullwhip effect occurs as a result of disruptions in information and materials flow, lead-time delays, lack of coordination, and panic stocking amidst visibility into local risk factors. When bullwhip effect occurs, the demand variations entering the supply chain from the customer end amplifies gradually as it flows upstream towards the supplier ends. This may cause unused inventory and may later lead to wastage and obsolescence. Bullwhip effect can be curbed through many approaches. This study has focused on control theory approach that promotes small-scale control behaviors throughout the supply chain to dampen the bullwhip tidal waves. The approach investigated in this research is a combination of control system modeling and systems dynamics modeling, which is not researched adequately by bullwhip academics. Based on the investigations, a six-step approach for reducing Bullwhip effect is proposed in this research and illustrated with examples. The six-step approach comprises of first-level multi-echelon survey to derive the initial system dynamics model, second-level survey to collect primary data for all the variables and relationships formed, principal component analysis and Cronbach Alpha / split-half testing for reliability, verification, and validity testing and exploring the best optimal construct using structural equation modeling, and finally, applying controllers to the optimal systems dynamics model through interpretive analysis of the model

Multi-Target Detection Capability of Linear Fusion Approach Under Different Swerling Models of Target Fluctuation

In evolving radar systems, detection is regarded as a fundamental stage in their receiving end. Consequently, detection performance enhancement of a CFAR variant represents the basic requirement of these systems, since the CFAR strategy plays a key role in automatic detection process. Most existing CFAR variants need to estimate the background level before constructing the detection threshold. In a multi-target state, the existence of spurious targets could cause inaccurate estimation of background level. The occurrence of this effect will result in severely degrading the performance of the CFAR algorithm. Lots of research in the CFAR design have been achieved. However, the gap in the previous works is that there is no CFAR technique that can operate in all or most environmental varieties. To overcome this challenge, the linear fusion (LF) architecture, which can operate with the most environmental and target situations, has been presented

Freshwater ecosystem services in mining regions : modelling options for policy development support

The ecosystem services (ES) approach offers an integrated perspective of social-ecological systems, suitable for holistic assessments of mining impacts. Yet for ES models to be policy-relevant, methodological consensus in mining contexts is needed. We review articles assessing ES in mining areas focusing on freshwater components and policy support potential. Twenty-six articles were analysed concerning (i) methodological complexity (data types, number of parameters, processes and ecosystem-human integration level) and (ii) potential applicability for policy development (communication of uncertainties, scenario simulation, stakeholder participation and management recommendations). Articles illustrate mining impacts on ES through valuation exercises mostly. However, the lack of ground-and surface-water measurements, as well as insufficient representation of the connectivity among soil, water and humans, leave room for improvements. Inclusion of mining-specific environmental stressors models, increasing resolution of topographies, determination of baseline ES patterns and inclusion of multi-stakeholder perspectives are advantageous for policy support. We argue that achieving more holistic assessments exhorts practitioners to aim for high social-ecological connectivity using mechanistic models where possible and using inductive methods only where necessary. Due to data constraints, cause-effect networks might be the most feasible and best solution. Thus, a policy-oriented framework is proposed, in which data science is directed to environmental modelling for analysis of mining impacts on water ES

Exploring the hot-carrier effect on the wireless transceivers

Phase noise can be regarded as the most severe cause of performance degradation in the wireless communication systems. The hot-carriers (HCs), found in the CMOS synchronization circuits, are the high-energy charge carriers that degrade the MOSFET devices’ performance by increasing the threshold voltage required to operate the MOSFETs. The HC effect manifests itself as the phase noise whose level increases with the continued MOSFET operation and such increases result in the performance degradation of the voltage-controlled oscillator (VCO) built on the MOSFETs. The HC effect is particularly evident in the short-channel MOSFET devices. In this dissertation, we analyze the wireless transceiver performances in the presence of the synchronization errors induced by the HC effect, for both single-carrier and multi-carrier communication systems. We derive the relationship between the corresponding system performances and the HC effect in terms of a crucial parameter, the MOSFET threshold voltage. We employ a new phase noise model for the wireless systems influenced by the HC effect, which is based on a new precise phase noise mask function. In addition, we analyze the impact of the phase noise arising from the HC effect on the single-carrier wireless systems in terms of the BER and the signal-to-interference-plus-noise ratio (SINR). We derive the exact BER expression and show the SINR degradation for the QPSK systems that suffer from the phase noise. We apply Monte Carlo simulations to verify our analysis. To study the HC effect thoroughly, we simplify the BER expression as a new asymptotical analysis as the signal-to-noise ratio approaches to infinity and obtain the lower bound of the achievable BER for the single-carrier wireless systems. For multi-carrier systems, we focus our discussions on the orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) systems. According to our simulations, we show that the bit-error-rate (BER) evaluation for OFDM using our new phase noise model in the presence of the HCs can be very different up to three orders-of-magnitude from the existing models disregarding the HCs. We have also found that the ICI self-cancellation coding is very effective for combating the phase noise in the OFDM systems

Multi-Omics Integrative Approach of Extracellular Vesicles: A Future Challenging Milestone

In the era of multi-omic sciences, dogma on singular cause-effect in physio-pathological processes is overcome and system biology approaches have been providing new perspectives to see through. In this context, extracellular vesicles (EVs) are offering a new level of complexity, given their role in cellular communication and their activity as mediators of specific signals to target cells or tissues. Indeed, their heterogeneity in terms of content, function, origin and potentiality contribute to the cross-interaction of almost every molecular process occurring in a complex system. Such features make EVs proper biological systems being, therefore, optimal targets of omic sciences. Currently, most studies focus on dissecting EVs content in order to either characterize it or to explore its role in various pathogenic processes at transcriptomic, proteomic, metabolomic, lipidomic and genomic levels. Despite valuable results being provided by individual omic studies, the categorization of EVs biological data might represent a limit to be overcome. For this reason, a multi-omic integrative approach might contribute to explore EVs function, their tissue-specific origin and their potentiality. This review summarizes the state-of-the-art of EVs omic studies, addressing recent research on the integration of EVs multi-level biological data and challenging developments in EVs origin

Physics-Based Electromigration Modeling and Analysis and Optimization

Long-term reliability is a major concern in modern VLSI design. Literature has shown that reliability gets worse as technology advances. It is expected that the future VLSI systems would have shorter reliability-induced lifetime comparing with previous generations. Being one of the most serious reliability effects, electromigration (EM) is a physical phenomenon of the migration of metal atoms due to the momentum exchange between atoms and the conducting electrons. It can cause wire resistance change or open circuit and result in functional failure of the circuit. Power-ground networks are the most vulnerable part to EM effect among all the interconnect wires since the current flow on this part is the largest on the chip. With new generation oftechnology node and aggressive design strategies, more accurate and efficient EM models are required. However, traditional EM approaches are very conservative and cannot meet current aggressive design strategies. Besides circuit level, EM also need to be thoroughly studied in system level due to limited power and temperature budgets among cores on chip. This research focuses on developing physical level EM model for VLSI circuits and system level EM optimization for multi-core systems in order to overcome the aforementioned problems. Specifically, for physical level, we develop two EM immortality check methods and a power grid EM check method. Firstly, a voltage based EM immortality analysis has been developed. Immortality condition in nucleation phase can be determined fast and accurately for multi-segment interconnect wires. Secondly, a saturation volume based incubation phase immortality check method has been proposed. This method can further reduce the redundancy in VLSI circuit design by immortality check in multiphase. Furthermore, both immortality check methods are integrated into a new power grid EM check methodology (EMspice) as filter for EM analysis. These filters can accelerate the simulation by filtering out immortal trees so that we only need to do simulation on fewer trees that are mortal. Coupled EM simulation considering both hydrostatic stress and electronic current/voltage in the power grid network will be applied to these mortal trees. This tool can work seamlessly with commercial synthesis flow. Besides physical level reliability models, system level reliability optimization is also discussed in this research. A deep reinforcement learning based EM optimization has been proposed for multi-core system. Both long term reliability effect (hard error) and transient soft error are considered. Energy can be optimized with all the reliability and other constraints fast and accurately compared to existing reliability management techniques. Last but not least, a scheduling based reliability optimization method for multi-core systems has been proposed. NBTI, HCI and EM are considered jointly. Lifetime of the system can be improved significantly compared to traditional methods which mainly focus on utilization

Policing Criminal Justice Data

This article addresses a matter of fundamental importance to the criminal justice system: the presence of erroneous information in government databases and the limited government accountability and legal remedies for the harm that it causes individuals. While a substantial literature exists on the liberty and privacy perils of large multi-source data assemblage, often termed big data, this article addresses the risks associated with the collection, generation and use of small data (i.e., individual-level, discrete data points). Because small data provides the building blocks for all data-driven systems, enhancing its quality will have a significant positive effect on the criminal justice system as a whole. The article examines the many contexts in which criminal justice data errors arise and offers institutional and legislative solutions designed both to lessen their occurrence and afford relief to those suffering the significant harms they cause