A novel ensemble method for electric vehicle power consumption forecasting: Application to the Spanish system

The use of electric vehicle across the world has become one of the most challenging issues for environmental policies. The galloping climate change and the expected running out of fossil fuels turns the use of such non-polluting cars into a priority for most developed countries. However, such a use has led to major concerns to power companies, since they must adapt their generation to a new scenario, in which electric vehicles will dramatically modify the curve of generation. In this paper, a novel approach based on ensemble learning is proposed. In particular, ARIMA, GARCH and PSF algorithms' performances are used to forecast the electric vehicle power consumption in Spain. It is worth noting that the studied time series of consumption is non-stationary and adds difficulties to the forecasting process. Thus, an ensemble is proposed by dynamically weighting all algorithms over time. The proposal presented has been implemented for a real case, in particular, at the Spanish Control Centre for the Electric Vehicle. The performance of the approach is assessed by means of WAPE, showing robust and promising results for this research field.Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad Proyectos ENE2016-77650-R, PCIN-2015-04 y TIN2017-88209-C2-R

Smart Grid Technologies in Europe: An Overview

The old electricity network infrastructure has proven to be inadequate, with respect to modern challenges such as alternative energy sources, electricity demand and energy saving policies. Moreover, Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) seem to have reached an adequate level of reliability and flexibility in order to support a new concept of electricity network—the smart grid. In this work, we will analyse the state-of-the-art of smart grids, in their technical, management, security, and optimization aspects. We will also provide a brief overview of the regulatory aspects involved in the development of a smart grid, mainly from the viewpoint of the European Unio

A Taxonomy of Data Grids for Distributed Data Sharing, Management and Processing

Data Grids have been adopted as the platform for scientific communities that need to share, access, transport, process and manage large data collections distributed worldwide. They combine high-end computing technologies with high-performance networking and wide-area storage management techniques. In this paper, we discuss the key concepts behind Data Grids and compare them with other data sharing and distribution paradigms such as content delivery networks, peer-to-peer networks and distributed databases. We then provide comprehensive taxonomies that cover various aspects of architecture, data transportation, data replication and resource allocation and scheduling. Finally, we map the proposed taxonomy to various Data Grid systems not only to validate the taxonomy but also to identify areas for future exploration. Through this taxonomy, we aim to categorise existing systems to better understand their goals and their methodology. This would help evaluate their applicability for solving similar problems. This taxonomy also provides a "gap analysis" of this area through which researchers can potentially identify new issues for investigation. Finally, we hope that the proposed taxonomy and mapping also helps to provide an easy way for new practitioners to understand this complex area of research.Comment: 46 pages, 16 figures, Technical Repor

Dynamic stability with artificial intelligence in smart grids

Environmental concerns are among the main drives of the energy transition in power systems. Smart grids are the natural evolution of power systems to become more efficient and sustainable. This modernization coincides with the vast and wide integration of energy generation and storage systems dependent on power electronics. At the same time, the low inertia power electronics, introduce new challenges in power system dynamics. In fact, the synchronisation capabilities of power systems are threatened by the emergence of new oscillations and the displacement of conventional solutions for ensuring the stability of power systems. This necessitates an equal modernization of the methods to maintain the rotor angle stability in the future smart grids. The applications of artificial intelligence in power systems are constantly increasing. The thesis reviews the most relevant works for monitoring, predicting, and controlling the rotor angle stability of power systems and presents a novel controller for power oscillation damping

Dynamic Stability with Artificial Intelligence in Smart Grids

Environmental concerns are among the main drives of the energy transition in power systems. Smart grids are the natural evolution of power systems to become more efficient and sustainable. This modernization coincides with the vast and wide integration of energy generation and storage systems dependent on power electronics. At the same time, the low inertia power electronics, introduce new challenges in power system dynamics. In fact, the synchronisation capabilities of power systems are threatened by the emergence of new oscillations and the displacement of conventional solutions for ensuring the stability of power systems. This necessitates an equal modernization of the methods to maintain the rotor angle stability in the future smart grids. The applications of artificial intelligence in power systems are constantly increasing. The thesis reviews the most relevant works for monitoring, predicting, and controlling the rotor angle stability of power systems and presents a novel controller for power oscillation damping

Design of ensemble forecasting models for home energy management systems

The increasing levels of energy consumption worldwide is raising issues with respect to surpassing supply limits, causing severe effects on the environment, and the exhaustion of energy resources. Buildings are one of the most relevant sectors in terms of energy consumption; as such, efficient Home or Building Management Systems are an important topic of research. This study discusses the use of ensemble techniques in order to improve the performance of artificial neural networks models used for energy forecasting in residential houses. The case study is a residential house, located in Portugal, that is equipped with PV generation and battery storage and controlled by a Home Energy Management System (HEMS). It has been shown that the ensemble forecasting results are superior to single selected models, which were already excellent. A simple procedure was proposed for selecting the models to be used in the ensemble, together with a heuristic to determine the number of models.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio