Visualization in spatial modeling

This chapter deals with issues arising from a central theme in contemporary computer modeling - visualization. We first tie visualization to varieties of modeling along the continuum from iconic to symbolic and then focus on the notion that our models are so intrinsically complex that there are many different types of visualization that might be developed in their understanding and implementation. This focuses the debate on the very way of 'doing science' in that patterns and processes of any complexity can be better understood through visualizing the data, the simulations, and the outcomes that such models generate. As we have grown more sensitive to the problem of complexity in all systems, we are more aware that the twin goals of parsimony and verifiability which have dominated scientific theory since the 'Enlightenment' are up for grabs: good theories and models must 'look right' despite what our statistics and causal logics tell us. Visualization is the cutting edge of this new way of thinking about science but its styles vary enormously with context. Here we define three varieties: visualization of complicated systems to make things simple or at least explicable, which is the role of pedagogy; visualization to explore unanticipated outcomes and to refine processes that interact in unanticipated ways; and visualization to enable end users with no prior understanding of the science but a deep understanding of the problem to engage in using models for prediction, prescription, and control. We illustrate these themes with a model of an agricultural market which is the basis of modern urban economics - the von Thünen model of land rent and density; a model of urban development based on interacting spatial and temporal processes of land development - the DUEM model; and a pedestrian model of human movement at the fine scale where control of such movements to meet standards of public safety is intrinsically part of the model about which the controllers know intimately. © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2006

Habitat and open space at risk and the prioritization of conservation easements

Funds available to purchase land and easements for conservation purposes are limited. This article provides a targeting strategy for protecting multiple environmental benefits that includes heterogeneity in land costs and probability of land-use conversion, by incorporating spatially explicit land-use change and hedonic price models. This strategy is compared to two alternative strategies that omit either land cost or conversion threat. Based on dynamic programming and Monte Carlo simulations with alternating periods of conservation and development, we demonstrate that the positive correlation between land costs and probability of land-use conversion affects targeting efficiency using parcel data from Sonoma County, California.Environmental Economics and Policy,

Modeling the mobility of living organisms in heterogeneous landscapes: Does memory improve foraging success?

Thanks to recent technological advances, it is now possible to track with an unprecedented precision and for long periods of time the movement patterns of many living organisms in their habitat. The increasing amount of data available on single trajectories offers the possibility of understanding how animals move and of testing basic movement models. Random walks have long represented the main description for micro-organisms and have also been useful to understand the foraging behaviour of large animals. Nevertheless, most vertebrates, in particular humans and other primates, rely on sophisticated cognitive tools such as spatial maps, episodic memory and travel cost discounting. These properties call for other modeling approaches of mobility patterns. We propose a foraging framework where a learning mobile agent uses a combination of memory-based and random steps. We investigate how advantageous it is to use memory for exploiting resources in heterogeneous and changing environments. An adequate balance of determinism and random exploration is found to maximize the foraging efficiency and to generate trajectories with an intricate spatio-temporal order. Based on this approach, we propose some tools for analysing the non-random nature of mobility patterns in general.Comment: 14 pages, 4 figures, improved discussio

Mapping environmental injustices: pitfalls and potential of geographic information systems in assessing environmental health and equity.

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) have been used increasingly to map instances of environmental injustice, the disproportionate exposure of certain populations to environmental hazards. Some of the technical and analytic difficulties of mapping environmental injustice are outlined in this article, along with suggestions for using GIS to better assess and predict environmental health and equity. I examine 13 GIS-based environmental equity studies conducted within the past decade and use a study of noxious land use locations in the Bronx, New York, to illustrate and evaluate the differences in two common methods of determining exposure extent and the characteristics of proximate populations. Unresolved issues in mapping environmental equity and health include lack of comprehensive hazards databases; the inadequacy of current exposure indices; the need to develop realistic methodologies for determining the geographic extent of exposure and the characteristics of the affected populations; and the paucity and insufficiency of health assessment data. GIS have great potential to help us understand the spatial relationship between pollution and health. Refinements in exposure indices; the use of dispersion modeling and advanced proximity analysis; the application of neighborhood-scale analysis; and the consideration of other factors such as zoning and planning policies will enable more conclusive findings. The environmental equity studies reviewed in this article found a disproportionate environmental burden based on race and/or income. It is critical now to demonstrate correspondence between environmental burdens and adverse health impacts--to show the disproportionate effects of pollution rather than just the disproportionate distribution of pollution sources

Data assimilation of in situ soil moisture measurements in hydrological models: first annual doctoral progress report, work plan and achievements

Water scarcity and the presence of water of good quality is a serious public concern since it determines the availability of water to society. Water scarcity especially in arid climates and due to extreme droughts related to climate change drive water use technologies such as irrigation to become more efficient and sustainable. Plant root water and nutrient uptake is one of the most important processes in subsurface unsaturated flow and transport modeling, as root uptake controls actual plant evapotranspiration, water recharge and nutrient leaching to the groundwater, and exerts a major influence on predictions of global climate models. To improve irrigation strategies, water flow needs to be accurately described using advanced monitoring and modeling. Our study focuses on the assimilation of hydrological data in hydrological models that predict water flow and solute (pollutants and salts) transport and water redistribution in agricultural soils under irrigation. Field plots of a potato farmer in a sandy region in Belgium were instrumented to continuously monitor soil moisture and water potential before, during and after irrigation in dry summer periods. The aim is to optimize the irrigation process by assimilating online sensor field data into process based models. Over the past year, we demonstrated the calibration and optimization of the Hydrus 1D model for an irrigated grassland on sandy soil. Direct and inverse calibration and optimization for both heterogeneous and homogeneous conceptualizations was applied. Results show that Hydrus 1D closely simulated soil water content at five depths as compared to water content measurements from soil moisture probes, by stepwise calibration and local sensivity analysis and optimization the Ks, n and α value in the calibration and optimization analysis. The errors of the model, expressed by deviations between observed and modeled soil water content were, however, different for each individual depth. The smallest differences between the observed value and soil-water content were attained when using an automated inverse optimization method. The choice of the initial parameter value can be optimized using a stepwise approach. Our results show that statistical evaluation coefficients (R2, Ce and RMSE) are suitable benchmarks to evaluate the performance of the model in reproducing the data. The degree of water stress simulated with Hydrus 1D suggested to increase irrigation at least one time, i.e. at the beginning of the simulation period and further distribute the amount of irrigation during the growing season, instead of using a huge amount of irrigation later in the season. In the next year, we will further look for to the best method (using soft data and methods for instance PTFs, EMI, Penetrometer) to derive and predict the spatial variability of soil hydraulic properties (saturated hydraulic conductivity) of the soil and link to crop yield at the field scale. Linear and non-linear pedotransfer functions (PTFs) have been assessed to predict penetrometer resistance of soils from their water status (matric potential, ψ and degree of saturation, S) and bulk density, ρb, and some other soil properties such as sand content, Ks etc. The geophysical EMI (electromagnetic induction) technique provides a versatile and robust field instrument for determining apparent soil electrical conductivity (ECa). ECa, a quick and reliable measurement, is one of ancillary properties (secondary information) of soil, can improve the spatial and temporal estimation of soil characteristics e.g., salinity, water content, texture, prosity and bulk density at different scales and depths. According to previous literature on penetrometer measurements, we determined the effective stress and used some models to find the relationships between soil properties, especially Ks, and penetrometer resistance as one of the prediction methods for Ks. The initial results obtained in the first yearshowed that a new data set would be necessary to validate the results of this part. In the third year, quasi 3D-modelling of water flow at the field scale will be conducted. In this modeling set -up, the field will be modeled as a collection of 1D-columns representing the different field conditions (combination of soil properties, groundwater depth, root zone depth). The measured soil properties are extrapolated over the entire field by linking them to the available spatially distributed data (such as the EMI-images). The data set of predicted Ks and other soil properties for the whole field constructed in the previous steps will be used for parameterising the model. Sensitivity analysis ‘SA’ is essential to the model optimization or parametrization process. To avoid overparameterization, the use of global sensitivity analysis (SA) will be investigated. In order to include multiple objectives (irrigation management parameters, costs, …) in the parameter optimization strategy, multi-objective techniques such as AMALGAM have been introduced. We will investigate multi-objective strategies in the irrigation optimization

An Architecture for Information Commerce Systems

The increasing use of the Internet in business and commerce has created a number of new business opportunities and the need for supporting models and platforms. One of these opportunities is information commerce (i-commerce), a special case of ecommerce focused on the purchase and sale of information as a commodity. In this paper we present an architecture for i-commerce systems using OPELIX (Open Personalized Electronic Information Commerce System) [11] as an example. OPELIX provides an open information commerce platform that enables enterprises to produce, sell, deliver, and manage information products and related services over the Internet. We focus on the notion of information marketplace, a virtual location that enables i-commerce, describe the business and domain model for an information marketplace, and discuss the role of intermediaries in this environment. The domain model is used as the basis for the software architecture of the OPELIX system. We discuss the characteristics of the OPELIX architecture and compare our approach to related work in the field