Modeling soil organic carbon change in croplands of China

Using 1990 conditions, we modeled carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) biogeochemical cycles in croplands of China (and, for comparison, the United States) to estimate the annual soil organic-carbon (SOC) balance for all cropland. Overall, we estimate that China\u27s croplands lost 1.6% of their SOC (to a depth of 0.3 m) in 1990, and that U.S. cropland lost 0.1%. A key element in this difference was that ∼25% of aboveground crop residue in China was returned to the soil, compared to ∼90% in the United States. In China, SOC losses were greatest in the northeast (∼103 kg C·ha–1·yr–1), and were generally smaller (\u3c0.5 × 103 kg C·ha–1·yr–1) in regions with a longer cultivation history. Some regions showed SOC gains, generally \u3c103 kg C·ha–1·yr–1. Reduced organic-matter input to China\u27s cropland soils, and lower overall SOC levels in those soils, led to lower levels of N mineralization in the simulations, consistent with higher rates of synthetic-fertilizer application in China. C and N cycles are closely linked to soil fertility, crop yield, and non-point-source environmental pollution

Modeling carbon biogeochemistry in agricultural soils

An existing model of C and N dynamics in soils was supplemented with a plant growth submodel and cropping practice routines (fertilization, irrigation, tillage, crop rotation, and manure amendments) to study the biogeochemistry of soil carbon in arable lands. The new model was validated against field results for short-term (1–9 years) decomposition experiments, the seasonal pattern of soil CO2 respiration, and long-term (100 years) soil carbon storage dynamics. A series of sensitivity runs investigated the impact of varying agricultural practices on soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration. The tests were simulated for corn (maize) plots over a range of soil and climate conditions typical of the United States. The largest carbon sequestration occurred with manure additions; the results were very sensitive to soil texture (more clay led to greater sequestration). Increased N fertilization generally enhanced carbon sequestration, but the results were sensitive to soil texture, initial soil carbon content, and annual precipitation. Reduced tillage also generally (but not always) increased SOC content, though the results were very sensitive to soil texture, initial SOC content, and annual precipitation. A series of long-term simulations investigated the SOC equilibrium for various agricultural practices, soil and climate conditions, and crop rotations. Equilibrium SOC content increased with decreasing temperatures, increasing clay content, enhanced N fertilization, manure amendments, and crops with higher residue yield. Time to equilibrium appears to be one hundred to several hundred years. In all cases, equilibration time was longer for increasing SOC content than for decreasing SOC content. Efforts to enhance carbon sequestration in agricultural soils would do well to focus on those specific areas and agricultural practices with the greatest potential for increasing soil carbon content

Biomass Supply from Alternative Cellulosic Crops and Crop Residues: A Preliminary Spatial Bioeconomic Modeling Approach

This paper introduces a spatial bioeconomic model for study of potential cellulosic biomass supply at regional scale. By modeling the profitability of alternative crop production practices, it captures the opportunity cost of replacing current crops by cellulosic biomass crops. The model draws upon biophysical crop input-output coefficients, price and cost data, and spatial transportation costs in the context of profit maximization theory. Yields are simulated using temperature, precipitation and soil quality data with various commercial crops and potential new cellulosic biomass crops. Three types of alternative crop management scenarios are simulated by varying crop rotation, fertilization and tillage. The cost of transporting biomass to a specific demand location is obtained using road distances and bulk shipping costs from geographic information systems. The spatial mathematical programming model predicts the supply of biomass and implied environmental consequences for a landscape managed by representative, profit maximizing farmers. The model was applied and validated for simulation of cellulosic biomass supply in a 9-county region of southern Michigan. Results for 74 cropping systems simulated across 39 sub-watersheds show that crop residues are the first types of biomass to be supplied. Corn stover and wheat straw supply start at $21/Mg and$27/Mg delivered prices. Perennial bioenergy crops become profitable to produce when the delivered biomass price reaches $46/Mg for switchgrass,$118/Mg for grass mixes and $154/Mg for Miscanthus giganteus. The predicted effect of the USDA Biomass Conversion Assistance Program is to sharply reduce the minimum biomass price at which miscanthus would become profitable to supply. Compared to conventional crop production practices in the area, the EPIC-simulated environmental outcomes with crop residue removal include increased greenhouse gas emissions and reduced water quality through increased nutrient loss. By contrast, perennial cellulosic biomass crops reduced greenhouse gas emissions and improved water quality compared to current commercial cropping systems.biomass production, bioenergy supply, biofuel policy, bioenergy, cellulosic ethanol, agro-ecosystem economics, ecosystem services economics, agro-environmental trade-off analysis, mathematical programming, EPIC, Agricultural and Food Policy, Crop Production/Industries, Environmental Economics and Policy, Land Economics/Use, Production Economics, Resource /Energy Economics and Policy, Q16, Q15, Q57, Q18,

Review of existing information on the interrelations between soil and climate change. (ClimSoil). Final report

Carbon stock in EU soils – The soil carbon stocks in the EU27 are around 75 billion tonnes of carbon (C); of this stock around 50% is located in Sweden, Finland and the United Kingdom (because of the vast area of peatlands in these countries) and approximately 20% is in peatlands, mainly in countries in the northern part of Europe. The rest is in mineral soils, again the higher amount being in northern Europe. 2. Soils sink or source for CO2 in the EU – Both uptake of carbon dioxide (CO2) through photosynthesis and plant growth and loss of CO2 through decomposition of organic matter from terrestrial ecosystems are significant fluxes in Europe. Yet, the net terrestrial carbon fluxes are typically 5-10 times smaller relative to the emissions from use of fossil fuel of 4000 Mt CO2 per year. 3. Peat and organic soils - The largest emissions of CO2 from soils are resulting from land use change and especially drainage of organic soils and amount to 20-40 tonnes of CO2 per hectare per year. The most effective option to manage soil carbon in order to mitigate climate change is to preserve existing stocks in soils, and especially the large stocks in peat and other soils with a high content of organic matter. 4. Land use and soil carbon – Land use and land use change significantly affects soil carbon stocks. On average, soils in Europe are most likely to be accumulating carbon on a net basis with a sink for carbon in soils under grassland and forest (from 0 - 100 billion tonnes of carbon per year) and a smaller source for carbon from soils under arable land (from 10 - 40 billion tonnes of carbon per year). Soil carbon losses occur when grasslands, managed forest lands or native ecosystems are converted to croplands and vice versa carbon stocks increase, albeit it slower, following conversion of cropland. 5. Soil management and soil carbon – Soil management has a large impact on soil carbon. Measures directed towards effective management of soil carbon are available and identified, and many of these are feasible and relatively inexpensive to implement. Management for lower nitrogen (N) emissions and lower C emissions is a useful approach to prevent trade off and swapping of emissions between the greenhouse gases CO2, methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O). 6. Carbon sequestration – Even though effective in reducing or slowing the build up of CO2 in the atmosphere, soil carbon sequestration is surely no ‘golden bullet’ alone to fight climate change due to the limited magnitude of its effect and its potential reversibility; it could, nevertheless, play an important role in climate mitigation alongside other measures, especially because of its immediate availability and relative low cost for 'buying' us time. 7. Effects of climate change on soil carbon pools – Climate change is expected to have an impact on soil carbon in the longer term, but far less an impact than does land use change, land use and land management. We have not found strong and clear evidence for either overall and combined positive of negative impact of climate change (atmospheric CO2, temperature, precipitation) on soil carbon stocks. Due to the relatively large gross exchange of CO2 between atmosphere and soils and the significant stocks of carbon in soils, relatively small changes in these large and opposing fluxes of CO2, i.e. as result of land use (change), land management and climate change, may have significant impact on our climate and on soil quality. 8. Monitoring systems for changes in soil carbon – Currently, monitoring and knowledge on land use and land use change in EU27 is inadequate for accurate calculation of changes in soil carbon contents. Systematic and harmonized monitoring across EU27 and across relevant land uses would allow for adequate representation of changes in soil carbon in reporting emissions from soils and sequestration in soils to the UNFCCC. 9. EU policies and soil carbon – Environmental requirements under the Cross Compliance requirement of CAP is an instrument that may be used to maintain SOC. Neither measures under UNFCCC nor those mentioned in the proposed Soil Framework Directive are expected to adversely impact soil C. EU policy on renewable energy is not necessarily a guarantee for appropriate (soil) carbon management

Climate and Land Degradation

On the occasion of the Seventh session of the Conference of Parties, The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has prepared this brochure which explains the role of different climatic factors in land degradation and WMO's contribution in addressing this important subject. Educational levels: Undergraduate lower division, Undergraduate upper division, Graduate or professional, Informal education, General public

Climate change impact, adaptation, and mitigation in temperate grazing systems: a review

Managed temperate grasslands occupy 25% of the world, which is 70% of global agricultural land. These lands are an important source of food for the global population. This review paper examines the impacts of climate change on managed temperate grasslands and grassland-based livestock and effectiveness of adaptation and mitigation options and their interactions. The paper clarifies that moderately elevated atmospheric CO2 (eCO2) enhances photosynthesis, however it may be restiricted by variations in rainfall and temperature, shifts in plant’s growing seasons, and nutrient availability. Different responses of plant functional types and their photosynthetic pathways to the combined effects of climatic change may result in compositional changes in plant communities, while more research is required to clarify the specific responses. We have also considered how other interacting factors, such as a progressive nitrogen limitation (PNL) of soils under eCO2, may affect interactions of the animal and the environment and the associated production. In addition to observed and modelled declines in grasslands productivity, changes in forage quality are expected. The health and productivity of grassland-based livestock are expected to decline through direct and indirect effects from climate change. Livestock enterprises are also significant cause of increased global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (about 14.5%), so climate risk-management is partly to develop and apply effective mitigation measures. Overall, our finding indicates complex impact that will vary by region, with more negative than positive impacts. This means that both wins and losses for grassland managers can be expected in different circumstances, thus the analysis of climate change impact required with potential adaptations and mitigation strategies to be developed at local and regional levels

What are the effects of climate change on agriculture in North East Central Europe?

Global and climate changes influence the basic conditions for agriculture and so there is not only a demand for a consequent climate protection but also for an adaptation of agriculture to these global changing conditions. For the whole "Maerkisch-Oderland" district (60x40 km) within the moraine landscape of North-East-Germany mainly used for agriculture water balance, nitrogen and sulphur loads as well as crop yields are calculated for two land use and climate scenarios. The comparison between the Scenario2050 and the Scenario2000 reveals significant changes of the water balance (decrease in percolation water, increase in actual evapotranspiration) as well as the concentration of the examined nitrogen in the percolation water. For the study region the crop yields decrease only slightly if the CO2 fertilizing effect is taken into account. Adaptation measures in reaction to the changing climate conditions for an economically secured and sustainable agriculture are recommended.climate change impact assessment, water balance, nitrogen load, crop yield, moraine landscape, Environmental Economics and Policy, Farm Management,

SOIL CARBON DYNAMICS AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS IN CONSERVATION TILLAGE SYSTEMS AT MULTIPLE SCALES

Conservation tillage practices like no-tillage and reduced tillage have been widely implemented worldwide, with expectations they would provide multiple benefits (e.g., yield enhancement and soil carbon sequestration) for food security and climate adaptation and mitigation. However, the adoption of conservation tillage faces both opportunities and challenges. A knowledge gap still exists regarding the effects of conservation tillage on the carbon cycle in agroecosystems. This dissertation reflects a comprehensive evaluation of conservation tillage at multiple scales using an integrated systems approach, a combination of data synthesis, the agriculture ecosystem model, and field observations and measurements. I first conducted a meta-analysis to assess the effects of no-tillage (one widespread conservation tillage) on crop yield, greenhouse gas (i.e., CO2, CH4, and N2O) emissions, and the global warming potential of major cereal cropping systems in the world. Compared to conventional tillage, no-tillage reduced greenhouse gas emissions and increased crop yield in dry climate conditions. It reduced the global warming potential at sites with acidic soils. Considering the crucial role of soil organic carbon in providing ecosystem services, I further analyzed conservation tillage effects on soil carbon sequestration and the environmental controlling factors. Based on the meta-analysis review, I developed a conceptual tillage module accordingly and integrated it into a process-based agroecosystem model, the DLEM-Ag. At a long-term tillage experiment site in Lexington, KY, the improved model captured the changes and trends in soil organic carbon under different tillage treatments during 1970-2018, with no-tillage retaining more soil carbon than moldboard plow. Model factorial analyses revealed that this was mainly due to the lower CO2 emissions in no-tillage than in the moldboard plow treatments. Then, I expanded the simulation to the maize and soybean croplands in Kentucky to explore the conservation tillage effects on greenhouse gas emissions at the regional scale. Sensitivity analyses showed that, compared to conventional tillage, no-tillage significantly reduced CO2 and N2O emissions in both croplands. Lastly, the effects of conservation tillage on the coupled carbon and water cycles at the Ohio River Basin were examined using the improved DLEM-Ag model. Simulation results suggested higher crop water productivity in maize and soybean croplands under conservation tillage than under conventional tillage at the basin level. This dissertation is based on and adapted from three articles recently published in peer-review journals and two manuscripts prepared for publication

Understanding the role of agricultural management effects on global soil degradation utilizing biophysical modeling

Klimawandel und Bodendegradation üben Druck auf die Nahrungsmittelproduktion sowie auf die Fähigkeit des Bodens zur Minderung des Klimawandels beizutragen aus. Bodendegradation hat negative Auswirkungen auf die Bodenqualität. Ziel dieser Arbeit ist die Analyse der Effekte von landwirtschaftlich getriebener Bodendegradation, vor allem durch Pflügen und dem Umgang mit Ernterückständen. Es wird ein Überblick über das Thema Bodendegradation gegeben, gefolgt von Erweiterung des globalen Ökosystemmodells Lund-Potsdam-Jena-managed-Land (LPJmL) um eine detaillierte Prozessabbildung von Pflugpraktiken und Effekten von Ernterückständen. Diese ermöglicht die Analyse der Effekten von landwirtschaftlichen Managements auf die Anpassung und Minderung des Klimawandel. Das Modell kann die Effekte von naturerhaltender landwirtschaftlicher Bewirtschaftung (im Englischen bekannt als Conservation Agriculture) auf Kohlenstoffvorräte im Boden und CO2 Emissionen simulieren. Im letzten Teil wird die historische Dynamik der Entwicklung von Bodenkohlenstoff (engl.: Soil Organic Carbon – SOC) und die Effekte von Annahmen zum zukünftigen Management unter unterschiedlichen Klimaszenarien gezeigt. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass durch die historische Umwandlung von natürlicher Vegetation zu landwirtschaftlicher Fläche bis zu 215 Pg SOC im Boden verloren gegangen sind. Bis zum Ende des Jahrhunderts könnten weitere 38 Pg SOC zusätzlich verloren gehen, wird die heutige landwirtschaftliche Fläche nicht nachhaltig bewirtschaften. Die Bewirtschaftung mit dem Pflug zeigt einen geringen Einfluss auf die Kohlenstoffvorräte des Bodens, während die Wahl der Behandlung von Ernterückständen erheblich Einfluss hat. Die Rückführung von Ernterückständen hat positive Einflüsse auf Bodenwassergehalt und Ernteproduktivität, mit regionalen Unterschieden. Insgesamt zeigen 46% der heute Landwirtschaftsfläche das Potenzial zur Steigerung des Bodenkohlenstoff, während mindestens 52% Kohlenstoff im Boden verlieren könnten.Climate change and increasing soil degradation put pressure on the global food production systems and the ability of land for climate change mitigation. Additionally, soil degradation has negative implications on soil quality. This thesis analyzes the effects of agricultural-driven global soil degradation, in particular tillage and residue management. At first, a review the state of knowledge on global soil degradation is provided. Soil organic carbon (SOC) decline is one of the major forms of soil degradation on cropland and a useful indicator of the status of soil degradation. Secondly, to study the effects of different pathways of agricultural management on biophysical and biogeochemical flows, the global ecosystem model Lund-Potsdam-Jena managed Land (LPJmL) is extended by a detailed representation of tillage practices and residue management. This improvement of LPJmL allows for the analysis of management-related effects on agricultural mitigation of climate change adaption and the reduction of environmental impacts. The model can simulate the effects of conservation practices on SOC stocks and CO2 emissions. And third, SOC development and the effects of different management assumptions under climate change is analyzed. This shows that approximately 215 Pg SOC was lost due to the historical conversion of natural land to cropland and up to 38 Pg SOC could be additionally lost on already existing cropland until the end of the century if cropland is not managed sustainably. The type of tillage system has small effects on the SOC stocks, while the choice of crop residue treatment is shown to be the main driver governing SOC development. Returning residues to the soil slows the decline of SOC, and positively affects soil moisture and crop productivity, with regional differences. In total, up to 46% of todays’ cropland shows the potential for SOC increase, while at least 52% of cropland today will undergo further SOC loss as a form of soil degradation