Intelligent simulation of coastal ecosystems

Tese de doutoramento. Engenharia Informática. Faculdade de Engenharia. Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Ciência e Tecnologia. Universidade Fernando Pessoa. 201

Integrating knowledge about complex adaptive systems: insights from modelling the Eastern Baltic cod

Currently, the Eastern Baltic cod (EBC) is in continuing decline. Supporting management efforts to assist in its recovery will require a functional understanding of the dynamics of the EBC and the Baltic ecosystem. However, aquatic environments are challenging to research as they are elusive, encompass many scientific disciplines and are complex adaptive systems. This thesis explores how modelling and simulation methods can be applied and adapted to meet the specific needs of fisheries biologies’ current challenges regarding the EBC and potentially those of other stocks in similar situations.Aktuell verschlechtert sich der Zustand des Ostdorsches anhaltend und unterstützende Bewirtschaftungsmaßnahmen zu identifizieren erfordert ein funktionales Verständnis des Bestands und des Ökosystems Ostsee. Die Erforschung aquatischer Systeme ist jedoch schwierig: sie sind flüchtig, umfassen eine Vielzahl an Disziplinen und sind komplexe adaptiver Systeme. Diese Arbeit untersucht, wie Modellierungs- und Simulationsmethoden angewendet und angepasst werden können, um den Anforderungen der Fischereibiologie beim Ostdorsch und potentiell bei anderer Bestände in ähnlichen Situationen zu begegnen

Fish to 2020: supply and demand in changing global markets

Using a state-of-the art computer model of global supply and demand for food and feed commodities, this book projects the likely changes in the fisheries sector over the next two decades. As prices for most food commodities fall, fish prices are expected to rise, reflecting demand for fish that outpaces the ability of the world to supply it. The model shows that developing countries will consume and produce a much greater share of the world's fish in the future, and trade in fisheries commodities will also increase. The authors show the causes and implications of these and other changes, and argue for specific actions and policies that can improve outcomes for the poor and for the environment.Supply balance, Trade, Aquaculture, Fishery management, Economic analysis, Environmental factors, Developing countries

Towards A Novel Unified Framework for Developing Formal, Network and Validated Agent-Based Simulation Models of Complex Adaptive Systems

Literature on the modeling and simulation of complex adaptive systems (cas) has primarily advanced vertically in different scientific domains with scientists developing a variety of domain-specific approaches and applications. However, while cas researchers are inherently interested in an interdisciplinary comparison of models, to the best of our knowledge, there is currently no single unified framework for facilitating the development, comparison, communication and validation of models across different scientific domains. In this thesis, we propose first steps towards such a unified framework using a combination of agent-based and complex network-based modeling approaches and guidelines formulated in the form of a set of four levels of usage, which allow multidisciplinary researchers to adopt a suitable framework level on the basis of available data types, their research study objectives and expected outcomes, thus allowing them to better plan and conduct their respective research case studies. Firstly, the complex network modeling level of the proposed framework entails the development of appropriate complex network models for the case where interaction data of cas components is available, with the aim of detecting emergent patterns in the cas under study. The exploratory agent-based modeling level of the proposed framework allows for the development of proof-of-concept models for the cas system, primarily for purposes of exploring feasibility of further research. Descriptive agent-based modeling level of the proposed framework allows for the use of a formal step-by-step approach for developing agent-based models coupled with a quantitative complex network and pseudocode-based specification of the model, which will, in turn, facilitate interdisciplinary cas model comparison and knowledge transfer. Finally, the validated agent-based modeling level of the proposed framework is concerned with the building of in-simulation verification and validation of agent-based models using a proposed Virtual Overlay Multiagent System approach for use in a systematic team-oriented approach to developing models. The proposed framework is evaluated and validated using seven detailed case study examples selected from various scientific domains including ecology, social sciences and a range of complex adaptive communication networks. The successful case studies demonstrate the potential of the framework in appealing to multidisciplinary researchers as a methodological approach to the modeling and simulation of cas by facilitating effective communication and knowledge transfer across scientific disciplines without the requirement of extensive learning curves

Making ecological models adequate

Critical evaluation of the adequacy of ecological models is urgently needed to enhance their utility in developing theory and enabling environmental managers and policymakers to make informed decisions. Poorly supported management can have detrimental, costly or irreversible impacts on the environment and society. Here, we examine common issues in ecological modelling and suggest criteria for improving modelling frameworks. An appropriate level of process description is crucial to constructing the best possible model, given the available data and understanding of ecological structures. Model details unsupported by data typically lead to over parameterisation and poor model performance. Conversely, a lack of mechanistic details may limit a model's ability to predict ecological systems' responses to management. Ecological studies that employ models should follow a set of model adequacy assessment protocols that include: asking a series of critical questions regarding state and control variable selection, the determinacy of data, and the sensitivity and validity of analyses. We also need to improve model elaboration, refinement and coarse graining procedures to better understand the relevancy and adequacy of our models and the role they play in advancing theory, improving hind and forecasting, and enabling problem solving and management

Análisis de datos etnográficos, antropológicos y arqueológicos: una aproximación desde las humanidades digitales y los sistemas complejos

La llegada de las Ciencias de la Computación, el Big Data, el Análisis de Datos, el Aprendizaje Automático y la Minería de Datos ha modificado la manera en que se hace ciencia en todos los campos científicos, dando lugar, a su vez, a la aparición de nuevas disciplinas tales como la Mecánica Computacional, la Bioinformática, la Ingeniería de la Salud, las Ciencias Sociales Computacionales, la Economía Computacional, la Arqueología Computacional y las Humanidades Digitales –entre otras. Cabe destacar que todas estas nuevas disciplinas son todavía muy jóvenes y están en continuo crecimiento, por lo que contribuir a su avance y consolidación tiene un gran valor científico. En esta tesis doctoral contribuimos al desarrollo de una nueva línea de investigación dedicada al uso de modelos formales, métodos analíticos y enfoques computacionales para el estudio de las sociedades humanas tanto actuales como del pasado.El Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación • Proyecto SimulPast – “Transiciones sociales y ambientales: simulando el pasado para entender el comportamiento humano” (CSD2010-00034 CONSOLIDER-INGENIO 2010). • Proyecto CULM – “Modelado del cultivo en la prehistoria” (HAR2016-77672-P). • Red de Excelencia SimPastNet – “Simular el pasado para entender el comportamiento humano” (HAR2017-90883-REDC). • Red de Excelencia SocioComplex – “Sistemas Complejos Socio-Tecnológicos” (RED2018-102518-T). La Consejería de Educación de la Junta de Castilla y León • Subvención a la línea de investigación “Entendiendo el comportamiento humano, una aproximación desde los sistemas complejos y las humanidades digitales” dentro del programa de apoyo a los grupos de investigación reconocidos (GIR) de las universidades públicas de Castilla y León (BDNS 425389

Graduate School: Course Decriptions, 1972-73

Official publication of Cornell University V.64 1972/7

Iowa State University, Courses and Programs Catalog 2014–2015

The Iowa State University Catalog is a one-year publication which lists all academic policies, and procedures. The catalog also includes the following: information for fees; curriculum requirements; first-year courses of study for over 100 undergraduate majors; course descriptions for nearly 5000 undergraduate and graduate courses; and a listing of faculty members at Iowa State University.https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/catalog/1025/thumbnail.jp