2,107 research outputs found

    Dynamic route choice in hurricane evacuation

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    In this research a framework is developed for modeling route choice in hurricane evacuation. Two behavioral hypotheses are evaluated which together with the route choice model, constitute the contributions of the research. The first hypothesis states that beside congestion, other variables such as familiarity with the route, availability of fuel and shelter, facility class, and length of route have an effect on an evacuees\u27 route choice. The second hypothesis states that as time passes and storm conditions change, the impact each variable has on route choice changes. The logit structure was used for modeling the choice process and stated choice data previously collected from the New Orleans area on hypothetical storms was used to calibrate the model. The study found that accessibility of a route, familiarity with a route, facility class, length of a route, and availability of services (gas stations and hotels) had an effect on evacuation route choice. The magnitude of the coefficients of perceived service, accessibility, and distance differed among those evacuating in the first half of the evacuation period versus those that evacuated in the second half but coefficients of facility class were not significantly different between two time intervals. Observed traffic count data from hurricane Katrina evacuation was used to validate the model. Comparison of traffic volumes predicted by the model with actual traffic volumes from hurricane Katrina shows error percentages of 17.5, 0.01, and 28 percent of error for volumes on I-10, I-55, and US-61 respectively

    Modeling driving experience in smart traffic routing scenarios: application to traffic multi-map routing

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    The effectiveness of user-oriented traffic routing applications to mitigate traffic congestion in Intelligent Transportation Systems depends on their degree of adoption, which usually evolves depending on subjective and exogenous factors. This paper proposes a user experience and social dynamics model to analyze and evaluate traffic routing methods, based on fuzzy rules and discrete choice theory. The model has been applied to the optimal Traffic-Weighted Multi-Maps (TWM) routing method to evaluate the adoption dynamics and analyze convergence towards the system optimum. Route unfairness and resistance to change are also considered in the model. Experimental results are obtained simulating the evolution of the drivers' population behavior. Simulation is carried over synthetic and real networks, using optimized TWM maps. The experimental results show how the TWM system evolves to a stationary System Optimum, improving overall traffic congestion and showing how User Equilibrium variability is bounded as it depends on user routing choices influenced by behavioral patterns

    Intelligent evacuation management systems: A review

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    Crowd and evacuation management have been active areas of research and study in the recent past. Various developments continue to take place in the process of efficient evacuation of crowds in mass gatherings. This article is intended to provide a review of intelligent evacuation management systems covering the aspects of crowd monitoring, crowd disaster prediction, evacuation modelling, and evacuation path guidelines. Soft computing approaches play a vital role in the design and deployment of intelligent evacuation applications pertaining to crowd control management. While the review deals with video and nonvideo based aspects of crowd monitoring and crowd disaster prediction, evacuation techniques are reviewed via the theme of soft computing, along with a brief review on the evacuation navigation path. We believe that this review will assist researchers in developing reliable automated evacuation systems that will help in ensuring the safety of the evacuees especially during emergency evacuation scenarios

    Disaster management in industrial areas: perspectives, challenges and future research

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    Purpose: In most countries, development, growth, and sustenance of industrial facilities are given utmost importance due to the influence in the socio-economic development of the country. Therefore, special economic zones, or industrial areas or industrial cities are developed in order to provide the required services for the sustained operation of such facilities. Such facilities not only provide a prolonged economic support to the country but it also helps in the societal aspects as well by providing livelihood to thousands of people. Therefore, any disaster in any of the facilities in the industrial area will have a significant impact on the population, facilities, the economy, and threatens the sustainability of the operations. This paper provides review of such literature that focus on theory and practice of disaster management in industrial cities. Design/methodology/approach: In the paper, content analysis method is used in order to elicit the insights of the literature available. The methodology uses search methods, literature segregation and developing the current knowledge on different phases of industrial disaster management. Findings: It is found that the research is done in all phases of disaster management, namely, preventive phase, reactive phase and corrective phase. The research in each of these areas are focused on four main aspects, which are facilities, resources, support systems and modeling. Nevertheless, the research in the industrial cities is insignificant. Moreover, the modeling part does not explicitly consider the nature of industrial cities, where many of the chemical and chemical processing can be highly flammable thus creating a very large disaster impact. Some research is focused at an individual plant and scaled up to the industrial cities. The modeling part is weak in terms of comprehensively analyzing and assisting disaster management in the industrial cities. Originality/value: The comprehensive review using content analysis on disaster management is presented here. The review helps the researchers to understand the gap in the literature in order to extend further research for disaster management in large scale industrial cities.Peer Reviewe

    Multiple-Input-Single-Output prediction models of crowd dynamics for Model Predictive Control (MPC) of crowd evacuations

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    Predicting crowd dynamics in real-time may allow the design of adaptive pedestrian flow control mechanisms that prioritize attendees? safety and overall experience. Single-Input-SingleOutput (SISO) AutoRegresive eXogenous (ARX) prediction models of crowd dynamics have been effectively used in Linear Model Predictive Controllers (MPC) that adaptively regulate the movement of people to avoid overcrowding. However, an open research question is whether Multiple-Input, State-space, and Nonlinear modeling approaches may improve MPC control performance through better prediction capabilities. This paper considers a simulated controlled evacuation scenario, where evacuees in a long corridor dynamically receive speed instructions to modulate congestion at the exits. We aim to investigate Multiple-Input-Single-Output (MISO) prediction models such that the inputs are the control action (speed recommendation) and pedestrian flow measurement, and the output is the local density of the pedestrian outflow. State-space and Input?output MISO models, linear and neural, are identified using a datadriven approach in which input?output datasets are generated from strategically designed microscopic evacuation simulations. Different estimation algorithms, including the subspace method, prediction error minimization, and regularized AutoRegressive eXogenous (ARX) model reduction, are evaluated and compared. Finally, to investigate the importance of measuring and modeling the pedestrian inflow, the case in which the models? structure is defined as a Single-Input-Single-Output (SISO) system has been explored, where the pedestrian inflow is considered an unmeasured input disturbance. This study has important implications for the design of more effective MPC controllers for regulating pedestrian flows. We found that the prediction error minimization algorithm performs best and that nonlinear state-space modeling does not improve prediction performance. The study suggests that modeling the inner state of the evacuation process through a state-space model positively influences predicting system dynamics. Also, modeling pedestrian inflow improves prediction performance from a predefined prediction horizon value. Overall, linear state-space models have been deemed the most suitable option in corridor-type scenariosUAH-Catedra MANED

    Training of Crisis Mappers and Map Production from Multi-sensor Data: Vernazza Case Study (Cinque Terre National Park, Italy)

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    This aim of paper is to presents the development of a multidisciplinary project carried out by the cooperation between Politecnico di Torino and ITHACA (Information Technology for Humanitarian Assistance, Cooperation and Action). The goal of the project was the training in geospatial data acquiring and processing for students attending Architecture and Engineering Courses, in order to start up a team of "volunteer mappers". Indeed, the project is aimed to document the environmental and built heritage subject to disaster; the purpose is to improve the capabilities of the actors involved in the activities connected in geospatial data collection, integration and sharing. The proposed area for testing the training activities is the Cinque Terre National Park, registered in the World Heritage List since 1997. The area was affected by flood on the 25th of October 2011. According to other international experiences, the group is expected to be active after emergencies in order to upgrade maps, using data acquired by typical geomatic methods and techniques such as terrestrial and aerial Lidar, close-range and aerial photogrammetry, topographic and GNSS instruments etc.; or by non conventional systems and instruments such us UAV, mobile mapping etc. The ultimate goal is to implement a WebGIS platform to share all the data collected with local authorities and the Civil Protectio

    Disaster management in industrial areas: Perspectives, challenges and future research

    Get PDF
    Purpose: In most countries, development, growth, and sustenance of industrial facilities are given utmost importance due to the influence in the socio-economic development of the country. Therefore, special economic zones, or industrial areas or industrial cities are developed in order to provide the required services for the sustained operation of such facilities. Such facilities not only provide a prolonged economic support to the country but it also helps in the societal aspects as well by providing livelihood to thousands of people. Therefore, any disaster in any of the facilities in the industrial area will have a significant impact on the population, facilities, the economy, and threatens the sustainability of the operations. This paper provides review of such literature that focus on theory and practice of disaster management in industrial cities. Design/methodology/approach: In the paper, content analysis method is used in order to elicit the insights of the literature available. The methodology uses search methods, literature segregation and developing the current knowledge on different phases of industrial disaster management. Findings: It is found that the research is done in all phases of disaster management, namely, preventive phase, reactive phase and corrective phase. The research in each of these areas are focused on four main aspects, which are facilities, resources, support systems and modeling. Nevertheless, the research in the industrial cities is insignificant. Moreover, the modeling part does not explicitly consider the nature of industrial cities, where many of the chemical and chemical processing can be highly flammable thus creating a very large disaster impact. Some research is focused at an individual plant and scaled up to the industrial cities. The modeling part is weak in terms of comprehensively analyzing and assisting disaster management in the industrial cities. Originality/value: The comprehensive review using content analysis on disaster management is presented here. The review helps the researchers to understand the gap in the literature in order to extend further research for disaster management in large scale industrial cities.Scopu
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