Model selection via worst-case criterion for nonlinear bounded-error estimation

International audienceIn this paper the problem of model selection for measurement purpose is studied. A new selection procedure in a deterministic framework is proposed. The problem of nonlinear bounded-error estimation is viewed as a set inversion procedure. As each candidate model structure leads to a specific set of admissible values of the measurement vector, the worts-case criterion is used to select the optimal model. The selection procedure is applied to a real measurement problem, grooves dimensioning using Remote Field Eddy Current (RFEC) inspection

Robust Control Structure Selection

Screening tools for control structure selection in the presence of model/plant mismatch are developed in the context of the Structured Singular Value (μ) theory. The developed screening tools are designed to aid engineers in the elimination of undesirable control structure candidates for which a robustly performing controller does not exist. Through application on a multicomponent distillation column, it is demonstrated that the developed screening tools can be effective in choosing an appropriate control structure while previously existing methods such as the Condition Number Criterion can lead to erroneous results

Analysis of error propagation in particle filters with approximation

This paper examines the impact of approximation steps that become necessary when particle filters are implemented on resource-constrained platforms. We consider particle filters that perform intermittent approximation, either by subsampling the particles or by generating a parametric approximation. For such algorithms, we derive time-uniform bounds on the weak-sense $L_p$ error and present associated exponential inequalities. We motivate the theoretical analysis by considering the leader node particle filter and present numerical experiments exploring its performance and the relationship to the error bounds.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/11-AAP760 the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

A unified framework for solving a general class of conditional and robust set-membership estimation problems

In this paper we present a unified framework for solving a general class of problems arising in the context of set-membership estimation/identification theory. More precisely, the paper aims at providing an original approach for the computation of optimal conditional and robust projection estimates in a nonlinear estimation setting where the operator relating the data and the parameter to be estimated is assumed to be a generic multivariate polynomial function and the uncertainties affecting the data are assumed to belong to semialgebraic sets. By noticing that the computation of both the conditional and the robust projection optimal estimators requires the solution to min-max optimization problems that share the same structure, we propose a unified two-stage approach based on semidefinite-relaxation techniques for solving such estimation problems. The key idea of the proposed procedure is to recognize that the optimal functional of the inner optimization problems can be approximated to any desired precision by a multivariate polynomial function by suitably exploiting recently proposed results in the field of parametric optimization. Two simulation examples are reported to show the effectiveness of the proposed approach.Comment: Accpeted for publication in the IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control (2014

Model selection uncertainty and detection of threshold effects

Inferences about the presence or absence of threshold type nonlinearities in TAR models are conducted within models whose lag length has been estimated in a preliminary stage. Typically the null hypothesis of linearity is then tested against a threshold alternative on which the estimated lag length is imposed on each regime. In this paper we evaluate the properties of test statistics for detecting the presence of threshold effects in autoregressive models when this model uncertainty is taken into account. We show that this approach may lead to important distortions when the underlying model has truly threshold effects by establishing the limiting properties of the estimated lag length in the mispecified linear autoregressive fit and assessing the impact of this model uncertainty on the power of the tests. We subsequently propose a full model selection based approach designed to jointly detect the presence of threshold effects and optimally specify its dynamics and compare its performance with the traditional test based approach.

Learning-based predictive control for linear systems: a unitary approach

A comprehensive approach addressing identification and control for learningbased Model Predictive Control (MPC) for linear systems is presented. The design technique yields a data-driven MPC law, based on a dataset collected from the working plant. The method is indirect, i.e. it relies on a model learning phase and a model-based control design one, devised in an integrated manner. In the model learning phase, a twofold outcome is achieved: first, different optimal p-steps ahead prediction models are obtained, to be used in the MPC cost function; secondly, a perturbed state-space model is derived, to be used for robust constraint satisfaction. Resorting to Set Membership techniques, a characterization of the bounded model uncertainties is obtained, which is a key feature for a successful application of the robust control algorithm. In the control design phase, a robust MPC law is proposed, able to track piece-wise constant reference signals, with guaranteed recursive feasibility and convergence properties. The controller embeds multistep predictors in the cost function, it ensures robust constraints satisfaction thanks to the learnt uncertainty model, and it can deal with possibly unfeasible reference values. The proposed approach is finally tested in a numerical example