4,840 research outputs found

    Flood dynamics derived from video remote sensing

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    Flooding is by far the most pervasive natural hazard, with the human impacts of floods expected to worsen in the coming decades due to climate change. Hydraulic models are a key tool for understanding flood dynamics and play a pivotal role in unravelling the processes that occur during a flood event, including inundation flow patterns and velocities. In the realm of river basin dynamics, video remote sensing is emerging as a transformative tool that can offer insights into flow dynamics and thus, together with other remotely sensed data, has the potential to be deployed to estimate discharge. Moreover, the integration of video remote sensing data with hydraulic models offers a pivotal opportunity to enhance the predictive capacity of these models. Hydraulic models are traditionally built with accurate terrain, flow and bathymetric data and are often calibrated and validated using observed data to obtain meaningful and actionable model predictions. Data for accurately calibrating and validating hydraulic models are not always available, leaving the assessment of the predictive capabilities of some models deployed in flood risk management in question. Recent advances in remote sensing have heralded the availability of vast video datasets of high resolution. The parallel evolution of computing capabilities, coupled with advancements in artificial intelligence are enabling the processing of data at unprecedented scales and complexities, allowing us to glean meaningful insights into datasets that can be integrated with hydraulic models. The aims of the research presented in this thesis were twofold. The first aim was to evaluate and explore the potential applications of video from air- and space-borne platforms to comprehensively calibrate and validate two-dimensional hydraulic models. The second aim was to estimate river discharge using satellite video combined with high resolution topographic data. In the first of three empirical chapters, non-intrusive image velocimetry techniques were employed to estimate river surface velocities in a rural catchment. For the first time, a 2D hydraulicvmodel was fully calibrated and validated using velocities derived from Unpiloted Aerial Vehicle (UAV) image velocimetry approaches. This highlighted the value of these data in mitigating the limitations associated with traditional data sources used in parameterizing two-dimensional hydraulic models. This finding inspired the subsequent chapter where river surface velocities, derived using Large Scale Particle Image Velocimetry (LSPIV), and flood extents, derived using deep neural network-based segmentation, were extracted from satellite video and used to rigorously assess the skill of a two-dimensional hydraulic model. Harnessing the ability of deep neural networks to learn complex features and deliver accurate and contextually informed flood segmentation, the potential value of satellite video for validating two dimensional hydraulic model simulations is exhibited. In the final empirical chapter, the convergence of satellite video imagery and high-resolution topographical data bridges the gap between visual observations and quantitative measurements by enabling the direct extraction of velocities from video imagery, which is used to estimate river discharge. Overall, this thesis demonstrates the significant potential of emerging video-based remote sensing datasets and offers approaches for integrating these data into hydraulic modelling and discharge estimation practice. The incorporation of LSPIV techniques into flood modelling workflows signifies a methodological progression, especially in areas lacking robust data collection infrastructure. Satellite video remote sensing heralds a major step forward in our ability to observe river dynamics in real time, with potentially significant implications in the domain of flood modelling science

    Applications of Deep Learning Models in Financial Forecasting

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    In financial markets, deep learning techniques sparked a revolution, reshaping conventional approaches and amplifying predictive capabilities. This thesis explored the applications of deep learning models to unravel insights and methodologies aimed at advancing financial forecasting. The crux of the research problem lies in the applications of predictive models within financial domains, characterised by high volatility and uncertainty. This thesis investigated the application of advanced deep-learning methodologies in the context of financial forecasting, addressing the challenges posed by the dynamic nature of financial markets. These challenges were tackled by exploring a range of techniques, including convolutional neural networks (CNNs), long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), autoencoders (AEs), and variational autoencoders (VAEs), along with approaches such as encoding financial time series into images. Through analysis, methodologies such as transfer learning, convolutional neural networks, long short-term memory networks, generative modelling, and image encoding of time series data were examined. These methodologies collectively offered a comprehensive toolkit for extracting meaningful insights from financial data. The present work investigated the practicality of a deep learning CNN-LSTM model within the Directional Change framework to predict significant DC events—a task crucial for timely decisionmaking in financial markets. Furthermore, the potential of autoencoders and variational autoencoders to enhance financial forecasting accuracy and remove noise from financial time series data was explored. Leveraging their capacity within financial time series, these models offered promising avenues for improved data representation and subsequent forecasting. To further contribute to financial prediction capabilities, a deep multi-model was developed that harnessed the power of pre-trained computer vision models. This innovative approach aimed to predict the VVIX, utilising the cross-disciplinary synergy between computer vision and financial forecasting. By integrating knowledge from these domains, novel insights into the prediction of market volatility were provided

    CNN-LSTM framework to automatically detect anomalies in farmland using aerial images from UAVs

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    Using aerial inspection techniques in farmlands can yield vital data instrumental in mitigating various impediments to optimizing farming practices. Farmland anomalies (standing water and clusters of weeds) can impede farming practices, leading to the improper utilization of farmland and the disruption of agricultural development. Utilizing Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) for remote sensing is a highly effective method for obtaining extensive imagery of farmland. Visual data analytics in the context of automatic pattern recognition from collected data is valuable for advancing Deep Learning (DL) -assisted farming models. This approach shows significant potential in enhancing agricultural productivity by effectively capturing crop patterns and identifying anomalies in farmland. Furthermore, it offers prospective solutions to address the inherent barriers farmers encounter. This study introduces a novel framework, namely the hybrid Convolutional Neural Networks and Long Short-Term Memory (HCNN-LSTM), which aims to detect anomalies in farmland using images obtained from UAVs automatically. The system employs a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for deep feature extraction, while Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is utilized for the detection task, leveraging the extracted features. By integrating these two Deep Learning (DL) architectures, the system attains an extensive knowledge of farm conditions, facilitating the timely identification of irregularities such as the presence of water, clusters of weeds, nutrient deficit, and crop disease. The proposed methodology is trained and evaluated using the Agriculture-Vision challenge database. The results obtained from the experiment demonstrate that the proposed system has achieved a high level of accuracy, with a value of 99.7%, confirming the effectiveness of the proposed approach

    Statistical analysis of grouped text documents

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    L'argomento di questa tesi sono i modelli statistici per l'analisi dei dati testuali, con particolare attenzione ai contesti in cui i campioni di testo sono raggruppati. Quando si ha a che fare con dati testuali, il primo problema è quello di elaborarli, per renderli compatibili dal punto di vista computazionale e metodologico con i metodi matematici e statistici prodotti e continuamente sviluppati dalla comunità scientifica. Per questo motivo, la tesi passa in rassegna i metodi esistenti per la rappresentazione analitica e l'elaborazione di campioni di dati testuali, compresi i "Vector Space Models", le "rappresentazioni distribuite" di parole e documenti e i "contextualized embeddings". Questa rassegna comporta la standardizzazione di una notazione che, anche all'interno dello stesso approccio di rappresentazione, appare molto eterogenea in letteratura. Vengono poi esplorati due domini di applicazione: i social media e il turismo culturale. Per quanto riguarda il primo, viene proposto uno studio sull'autodescrizione di gruppi diversi di individui sulla piattaforma StockTwits, dove i mercati finanziari sono gli argomenti dominanti. La metodologia proposta ha integrato diversi tipi di dati, sia testuali che variabili categoriche. Questo studio ha agevolato la comprensione sul modo in cui le persone si presentano online e ha trovato stutture di comportamento ricorrenti all'interno di gruppi di utenti. Per quanto riguarda il turismo culturale, la tesi approfondisce uno studio condotto nell'ambito del progetto "Data Science for Brescia - Arts and Cultural Places", in cui è stato addestrato un modello linguistico per classificare le recensioni online scritte in italiano in quattro aree semantiche distinte relative alle attrazioni culturali della città di Brescia. Il modello proposto permette di identificare le attrazioni nei documenti di testo, anche quando non sono esplicitamente menzionate nei metadati del documento, aprendo così la possibilità di espandere il database relativo a queste attrazioni culturali con nuove fonti, come piattaforme di social media, forum e altri spazi online. Infine, la tesi presenta uno studio metodologico che esamina la specificità di gruppo delle parole, analizzando diversi stimatori di specificità di gruppo proposti in letteratura. Lo studio ha preso in considerazione documenti testuali raggruppati con variabile di "outcome" e variabile di gruppo. Il suo contributo consiste nella proposta di modellare il corpus di documenti come una distribuzione multivariata, consentendo la simulazione di corpora di documenti di testo con caratteristiche predefinite. La simulazione ha fornito preziose indicazioni sulla relazione tra gruppi di documenti e parole. Inoltre, tutti i risultati possono essere liberamente esplorati attraverso un'applicazione web, i cui componenti sono altresì descritti in questo manoscritto. In conclusione, questa tesi è stata concepita come una raccolta di studi, ognuno dei quali suggerisce percorsi di ricerca futuri per affrontare le sfide dell'analisi dei dati testuali raggruppati.The topic of this thesis is statistical models for the analysis of textual data, emphasizing contexts in which text samples are grouped. When dealing with text data, the first issue is to process it, making it computationally and methodologically compatible with the existing mathematical and statistical methods produced and continually developed by the scientific community. Therefore, the thesis firstly reviews existing methods for analytically representing and processing textual datasets, including Vector Space Models, distributed representations of words and documents, and contextualized embeddings. It realizes this review by standardizing a notation that, even within the same representation approach, appears highly heterogeneous in the literature. Then, two domains of application are explored: social media and cultural tourism. About the former, a study is proposed about self-presentation among diverse groups of individuals on the StockTwits platform, where finance and stock markets are the dominant topics. The methodology proposed integrated various types of data, including textual and categorical data. This study revealed insights into how people present themselves online and found recurring patterns within groups of users. About the latter, the thesis delves into a study conducted as part of the "Data Science for Brescia - Arts and Cultural Places" Project, where a language model was trained to classify Italian-written online reviews into four distinct semantic areas related to cultural attractions in the Italian city of Brescia. The model proposed allows for the identification of attractions in text documents, even when not explicitly mentioned in document metadata, thus opening possibilities for expanding the database related to these cultural attractions with new sources, such as social media platforms, forums, and other online spaces. Lastly, the thesis presents a methodological study examining the group-specificity of words, analyzing various group-specificity estimators proposed in the literature. The study considered grouped text documents with both outcome and group variables. Its contribution consists of the proposal of modeling the corpus of documents as a multivariate distribution, enabling the simulation of corpora of text documents with predefined characteristics. The simulation provided valuable insights into the relationship between groups of documents and words. Furthermore, all its results can be freely explored through a web application, whose components are also described in this manuscript. In conclusion, this thesis has been conceived as a collection of papers. It aimed to contribute to the field with both applications and methodological proposals, and each study presented here suggests paths for future research to address the challenges in the analysis of grouped textual data

    UMSL Bulletin 2023-2024

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    The 2023-2024 Bulletin and Course Catalog for the University of Missouri St. Louis.https://irl.umsl.edu/bulletin/1088/thumbnail.jp

    An artificial intelligence-based decision support system for early and accurate diagnosis of Parkinson’s Disease

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    People with Parkinson’s Disease (PD) might struggle with sadness, restlessness, or difficulty speaking, chewing, or swallowing. A diagnosis can be challenging because there is no specific PD test. It is diagnosed by doctors using a neurological exam and a medical history. This study proposes several Machine Learning (ML) algorithms to predict PD. These ML algorithms include K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting algorithms (XGBoost), and their ensemble methods using publicly available PD dataset with 195 instances. The ML algorithms are used to predict and classify PD using homogeneous XGBoost ensemble techniques with reduced amount of entropy. Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) is utilized to handle imbalanced data, and 10-fold cross-validation is employed for evaluation. The results show that the homogeneous XGBoost-Random Forest outperforms other ML methods with 98% accuracy and Matthew’s correlation coefficient value 0.93

    AI in medical diagnosis : AI prediction & human judgment

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    AI has long been regarded as a panacea for decision-making and many other aspects of knowledge work; as something that will help humans get rid of their shortcomings. We believe that AI can be a useful asset to support decision-makers, but not that it should replace decision-makers. Decision-making uses algorithmic analysis, but it is not solely algorithmic analysis; it also involves other factors, many of which are very human, such as creativity, intuition, emotions, feelings, and value judgments. We have conducted semi-structured open-ended research interviews with 17 dermatologists to understand what they expect from an AI application to deliver to medical diagnosis. We have found four aggregate dimensions along which the thinking of dermatologists can be described: the ways in which our participants chose to interact with AI, responsibility, 'explainability', and the new way of thinking (mindset) needed for working with AI. We believe that our findings will help physicians who might consider using AI in their diagnosis to understand how to use AI beneficially. It will also be useful for AI vendors in improving their understanding of how medics want to use AI in diagnosis. Further research will be needed to examine if our findings have relevance in the wider medical field and beyond
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