Evaluation Of Lane Use Management Strategies

The limited funding available for roadway capacity expansion and the growing funding gap, in conjunction with the increasing congestion, creates a critical need for innovative lane use management options. Various cost-effective lane use management strategies have been implemented in the United States and worldwide to address these challenges. However, these strategies have their own costs, operational characteristics, and additional requirements for field deployment. Hence, there is a need for systematic methodologies to evaluate lane use management strategies. In this thesis, a systematic simulation-based methodology is proposed to evaluate lane use management strategies. It involves identifying traffic corridors that are suitable for lane use management strategies, and analyzing the strategies in terms of performance and financial feasibility. The state of Indiana is used as a case study for this purpose, and a set of traffic corridors is identified. From among them, a 10-mile stretch of the I-65 corridor south of downtown Indianapolis is selected as the study corridor using traffic analysis. The demand volumes for the study area are determined using subarea analysis. The performance of the traffic corridor is evaluated using a microsimulation-based analysis for alleviating congestion using three strategies: reversible lanes, high occupancy vehicle (HOV) lanes and ramp metering. Furthermore, an economic evaluation of these strategies is performed to determine the financial feasibility of their implementation. Results from the simulation based analysis indicate that the reversible lanes and ramp metering strategies improve traffic conditions on the freeway in the major flow direction. Implementation of the HOV lane strategy results in improved traffic flow conditions on the HOV lanes but aggravated congestion on the general purpose lanes. The HOV lane strategy is found to be economically infeasible due to low HOV volume on these lanes. The reversible lane and ramp metering strategies are found to be economically feasible with positive net present values (NPV), with the NPV for the reversible lane strategy being the highest. While reversible lanes, HOV lanes and ramp metering strategies are effective in mitigating congestion by optimizing lane usage, they do not generate additional revenue required to reduce the funding deficit. Inadequate funds and worsening congestion have prompted federal, state and local planning agencies to explore and implement various congestion pricing strategies. In this context, the high occupancy toll (HOT) lanes strategy is explored here. Equity concerns associated with pricing schemes in transportation systems have garnered increased attention in the recent past. Income inequity potentially exists under the HOT strategy whereby higher-income travelers may reap the benefits of HOT lane facilities. An income-based multi-toll pricing approach is proposed for a single HOT lane facility in a network to simultaneously maximize the toll revenue and address the income equity concern, while ensuring a minimum level-of-service on the HOT lanes and that the toll prices do not exceed thresholds specified by a regulatory entity. The problem is modeled as a bi-level optimization formulation. The upper level model seeks to maximize revenue for the tolling authority subject to pre-specified upper bounds on toll prices. The lower level model solves for the stochastic user equilibrium solution based on commuters\u27 objective of minimizing their generalized travel costs. Due to the computational intractability of the bi-level formulation, an approximate agent-based solution approach is used to determine the toll prices by considering the tolling authority and commuters as agents. Results from numerical experiments indicate that a multi-toll pricing scheme is more equitable and can yield higher revenues compared to a single toll price scheme across all travelers

Intelligent Traffic Management: From Practical Stochastic Path Planning to Reinforcement Learning Based City-Wide Traffic Optimization

This research focuses on intelligent traffic management including stochastic path planning and city scale traffic optimization. Stochastic path planning focuses on finding paths when edge weights are not fixed and change depending on the time of day/week. Then we focus on minimizing the running time of the overall procedure at query time utilizing precomputation and approximation. The city graph is partitioned into smaller groups of nodes and represented by its exemplar. In query time, source and destination pairs are connected to their respective exemplars and the path between those exemplars is found. After this, we move toward minimizing the city wide traffic congestion by making structural changes include changing the number of lanes, using ramp metering, varying speed limit, and modifying signal timing is possible. We propose a multi agent reinforcement learning (RL) framework for improving traffic flow in city networks. Our framework utilizes two level learning: a) each single agent learns the initial policy and b) multiple agents (changing the environment at the same time) update their policy based on the interaction with the dynamic environment and in agreement with other agents. The goal of RL agents is to interact with the environment to learn the optimal modification for each road segment through maximizing the cumulative reward over the set of possible actions in state space

Integrated Special Event Traffic Management Strategies in Urban Transportation Network

How to effectively optimize and control spreading traffic in urban network during the special event has emerged as one of the critical issues faced by many transportation professionals in the past several decades due to the surging demand and the often limited network capacity. The contribution of this dissertation is to develop a set of integrated mathematical programming models for unconventional traffic management of special events in urban transportation network. Traffic management strategies such as lane reorganization and reversal, turning restriction, lane-based signal timing, ramp closure, and uninterrupted flow intersection will be coordinated and concurrently optimized for best overall system performance. Considering the complexity of the proposed formulations and the concerns of computing efficiency, this study has also developed efficient solution heuristics that can yield sufficiently reliable solutions for real-world application. Case studies and extensive numerical analyses results validate the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed models

People don't use the shortest path

Most recent route choice models, following either Random Utility Maximization or rule-based paradigm, require explicit enumeration of feasible routes. The quality of model estimation and prediction is sensitive to the appropriateness of consideration set. However, few empirical studies of revealed route characteristics have been reported in the literature. Such study could also help practitioners and researchers evaluate widely applied shortest path assumptions. This study aims at bridging the gap by evaluating morning commute routes followed by residents at the Twin Cities, Minnesota. Accurate GPS and GIS data were employed to reveal routes people utilized. Findings from this study could also provide guidance for future efforts in building better travel demand models.Rationality, travel behavior, transport geography, commuting, transportation networks

Traffic estimation, sensing, and control in work zone environments

This dissertation is motivated by practical safety and mobility concerns in freeway work zones. Smart work zone systems are composed of sensors, communication technologies, and data processing algorithms that are used to monitor and disseminate critical information such as congestion and severe slowdowns. Though a large number of smart work zone technologies have been deployed, many systems are still not well understood in terms of the technologies employed and the overall performance of the system. To address this gap, this dissertation develops theoretical, algorithmic, and practical contributions to the improvement of smart work zone systems from the aspects of traffic estimation, sensing, and control. To understand the impact of the sensing technologies and estimation algorithms, several hundred combinations of sensor network configurations and traffic estimation algorithms are assessed in a traffic micro simulator calibrated with data from a work zone in Illinois. The simulations allow the importance of the sensor type and spacing, the accuracy of individual sensors, and the estimation algorithm to be quantified. It is identified that the spacing of sensors is an important factor for improving the traffic estimation accuracy, and significant improvements can be obtained through traffic estimation algorithms relying on nonlinear filtering techniques. When less sophisticated (but more commonly deployed) algorithms are used, dense sensor deployments offer the most improvement in traffic estimation accuracy. Unfortunately, most existing traffic sensor technologies in work zones are expensive, which prohibits dense deployments. Motivated by this result, a low cost and energy efficient work zone traffic sensor is proposed relying on passive infrared sensing. The sensor hardware and software is developed to assess the potential of passive infrared technologies for traffic monitoring. To detect vehicles and estimate vehicle speeds from the passive infrared sensor, unsupervised machine learning algorithms are developed. Field experiments show that the developed sensors are capable of achieving approximately 3% vehicle detection errors and 3 mph root mean square error for the estimated vehicle speeds aggregated in one-minute intervals. Finally, to improve mobility in work zones, the problem of traffic control in work zones is examined. The traffic dynamics on each link in the work zone is modeled using the Hamilton Jacobi Partial Differential Equation (PDE) augmented with flow constraints at the junctions. A model predictive controller is designed which solves the control problem as a single convex program. The numerical scheme used in the algorithm efficiently computes the evolution of traffic dynamics on the network without the discretization of the PDE, and provides a natural framework for a variety of optimal traffic control problems. The effectiveness of the framework is validated in a microsimulation environment

SIMULATION-BASED OPTIMIZATION OF TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS: THEORY, SURROGATE MODELS, AND APPLICATIONS

The construction of new highway infrastructure has not kept pace with the growth of travel, mainly due to the limitation of land and funding availability. To improve the mobility, safety, reliability and sustainability of the transportation system, various transportation planning and traffic operations policies have been developed in the past few decades. On the other hand, simulation is widely used to evaluate the impacts of those policies, due to its advantages in capturing network and behavior details and capability of analyzing various combinations of policies. A simulation-based optimization (SBO) method, which combines the strength of simulation evaluation and mathematical optimization, is imperative for supporting decision making in practice. The objective of this dissertation is to develop SBO methods that can be efficiently applied to transportation planning and operations problems. Surrogate-based methods are selected as the research focus after reviewing various existing SBO methods. A systematic framework for applying the surrogate-based optimization methods in transportation research is then developed. The performance of different forms of surrogate models is compared through a numerical example, and regressing Kriging is identified as the best model in approximating the unknown response surface when no information regarding the simulation noise is available. Accompanied with an expected improvement global infill strategy, regressing Kriging is successfully applied in a real world application of optimizing the dynamic pricing for a toll road in the Inter-County Connector (ICC) regional network in the State of Maryland. To further explore its capability in dealing with problems that are of more interest to planners and operators of the transportation system, this method is then extended to solve constrained and multi-objective optimization problems. Due to the observation of heteroscedasticity in transportation simulation outputs, two surrogate models that can be adapted for heteroscedastic data are developed: a heteroscedastic support vector regression (SVR) model and a Bayesian stochastic Kriging model. These two models deal with the heteroscedasticity in simulation noise in different ways, and their superiority in approximating the response surface of simulations with heteroscedastic noise over regressing Kriging is verified through both numerical studies and real world applications. Furthermore, a distribution-based SVR model which takes into account the statistical distribution of simulation noise is developed. By utilizing the bootstrapping method, a global search scheme can be incorporated into this model. The value of taking into account the statistical distribution of simulation noise in improving the convergence rate for optimization is then verified through numerical examples and a real world application of integrated corridor traffic management. This research is one of the first to introduce simulation-based optimization methods into large-scale transportation network research. Various types of practical problems (with single-objective, with multi-objective or with complex constraints) can be resolved. Meanwhile, the developed optimization methods are general and can be applied to analyze all types of policies using any simulator. Methodological improvements to the surrogate models are made to take into account the statistical characteristics of simulation noise. These improvements are shown to enhance the prediction accuracy of the surrogate models, and further enhance the efficiency of optimization. Generally, compared to traditional surrogate models, fewer simulation evaluations would be needed to find the optimal solution when these improved models are applied

Computer Controlled Urban Transportation: A Survey of Concepts, Methods, and International Experiences

This book is concerned with the present and future traffic problems in the developing and developed world. It examines possible solutions to those problems based on technological innovations and implementing large-scale computerized traffic and transportation control systems. It discusses the basic concepts and methods for control and automation that have been proposed, developed, and implemented, and experience from real applications of these in different cities and nations