3,381 research outputs found
Hierarchical Decomposition of Nonlinear Dynamics and Control for System Identification and Policy Distillation
The control of nonlinear dynamical systems remains a major challenge for
autonomous agents. Current trends in reinforcement learning (RL) focus on
complex representations of dynamics and policies, which have yielded impressive
results in solving a variety of hard control tasks. However, this new
sophistication and extremely over-parameterized models have come with the cost
of an overall reduction in our ability to interpret the resulting policies. In
this paper, we take inspiration from the control community and apply the
principles of hybrid switching systems in order to break down complex dynamics
into simpler components. We exploit the rich representational power of
probabilistic graphical models and derive an expectation-maximization (EM)
algorithm for learning a sequence model to capture the temporal structure of
the data and automatically decompose nonlinear dynamics into stochastic
switching linear dynamical systems. Moreover, we show how this framework of
switching models enables extracting hierarchies of Markovian and
auto-regressive locally linear controllers from nonlinear experts in an
imitation learning scenario.Comment: 2nd Annual Conference on Learning for Dynamics and Contro
A nonparametric HMM for genetic imputation and coalescent inference
Genetic sequence data are well described by hidden Markov models (HMMs) in
which latent states correspond to clusters of similar mutation patterns. Theory
from statistical genetics suggests that these HMMs are nonhomogeneous (their
transition probabilities vary along the chromosome) and have large support for
self transitions. We develop a new nonparametric model of genetic sequence
data, based on the hierarchical Dirichlet process, which supports these self
transitions and nonhomogeneity. Our model provides a parameterization of the
genetic process that is more parsimonious than other more general nonparametric
models which have previously been applied to population genetics. We provide
truncation-free MCMC inference for our model using a new auxiliary sampling
scheme for Bayesian nonparametric HMMs. In a series of experiments on male X
chromosome data from the Thousand Genomes Project and also on data simulated
from a population bottleneck we show the benefits of our model over the popular
finite model fastPHASE, which can itself be seen as a parametric truncation of
our model. We find that the number of HMM states found by our model is
correlated with the time to the most recent common ancestor in population
bottlenecks. This work demonstrates the flexibility of Bayesian nonparametrics
applied to large and complex genetic data
Stochastic Collapsed Variational Inference for Sequential Data
Stochastic variational inference for collapsed models has recently been
successfully applied to large scale topic modelling. In this paper, we propose
a stochastic collapsed variational inference algorithm in the sequential data
setting. Our algorithm is applicable to both finite hidden Markov models and
hierarchical Dirichlet process hidden Markov models, and to any datasets
generated by emission distributions in the exponential family. Our experiment
results on two discrete datasets show that our inference is both more efficient
and more accurate than its uncollapsed version, stochastic variational
inference.Comment: NIPS Workshop on Advances in Approximate Bayesian Inference, 201
Flexible and practical modeling of animal telemetry data: hidden Markov models and extensions
We discuss hidden Markov-type models for fitting a variety of multistate random walks to wildlife movement data. Discrete-time hidden Markov models (HMMs) achieve considerable computational gains by focusing on observations that are regularly spaced in time, and for which the measurement error is negligible. These conditions are often met, in particular for data related to terrestrial animals, so that a likelihood-based HMM approach is feasible. We describe a number of extensions of HMMs for animal movement modeling, including more flexible state transition models and individual random effects (fitted in a non-Bayesian framework). In particular we consider so-called hidden semi-Markov models, which may substantially improve the goodness of fit and provide important insights into the behavioral state switching dynamics. To showcase the expediency of these methods, we consider an application of a hierarchical hidden semi-Markov model to multiple bison movement paths
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