Everest's thinning glaciers: implications for tourism and mountaineering

Glacier mass loss in the Everest region of Nepal is accelerating in response to a warming climate, which is a trend observed across the central and eastern Himalaya. Thinning glaciers and the development of supraglacial (surface) ponds and large glacial lakes will increasingly restrict access to glacier surfaces and will affect popular trekking routes and mountaineering activities in the region. Through quantifying glacier accessibility and supraglacial pond expansion, we estimate that the Kongma La Pass trail across the Khumbu Glacier is likely to be impassable by 2020 due to supraglacial pond expansion and glacier thinning, and will require significant re-routing. An estimated 197 649 227 m³ of ice melted over the period 1984–2015 on the Khumbu Glacier. Additionally, expert opinion from Everest mountaineers suggest that rockfall activity is likely to increase in the high-mountain environment as snow and ice melts from mountain slopes, requiring changes to climbing routes on the world's highest peaks. Similarly, route difficulty will be affected by changing monsoon precipitation patterns, which determines windows of opportunity for ascents, and the distribution and quantity of snowfall. We conclude that increased collaboration between the scientific, local, and mountaineering communities offers mutual benefits for data collection and dissemination, and we identify key areas that should be investigated further

Migration pattern of Gambel’s White-crowned Sparrow along the Pacific Flyway

White-crowned Sparrow (Zonotrichia leucophrys) populations of western North America exhibit dramatic differences in life history strategies including migration behavior. However, individual migration strategies and population-level migratory patterns remain largely unknown for this species. Here, we focused on the long-distance migratory subspecies, Gambel’s White-crowned Sparrow (Zonotrichia leucophrys gambelii). We used ringing, tracking and stable hydrogen isotope (δ2H) analysis of individuals migrating along the Pacific Flyway to assess individual phenology and routes as well as the pattern of connectivity between breeding and non-breeding sites. Results from all three methods, consisting of 79 ring recoveries, four light level geolocator tracks and 388 feather δ2H values, indicate low degrees of migratory connectivity. The isotope data provide evidence for leapfrog migration with the more southerly populations traveling greater distances to the breeding grounds than more centrally wintering individuals. Location estimates of four annual journeys revealed individually consistent migration strategies with relatively short flight bouts separated by two to three and two to six stopover sites during spring and autumn migration, respectively. However, combined results from all methods indicate high variability in migration distance among individuals. These findings confirm the phenotypic flexibility observed within this species and highlight the potential of White-crowned Sparrows for further investigations of evolutionary adaptations to ongoing changes in the environment

Weather Avoidance Using Route Optimization as a Decision Aid: An AWIN Topical Study

The aviation community is faced with reducing the fatal aircraft accident rate by 80 percent within 10 years. This must be achieved even with ever increasing, traffic and a changing National Airspace System. This is not just an altruistic goal, but a real necessity, if our growing level of commerce is to continue. Honeywell Technology Center's topical study, "Weather Avoidance Using Route Optimization as a Decision Aid", addresses these pressing needs. The goal of this program is to use route optimization and user interface technologies to develop a prototype decision aid for dispatchers and pilots. This decision aid will suggest possible diversions through single or multiple weather hazards and present weather information with a human-centered design. At the conclusion of the program, we will have a laptop prototype decision aid that will be used to demonstrate concepts to industry for integration into commercialized products for dispatchers and/or pilots. With weather a factor in 30% of aircraft accidents, our program will prevent accidents by strategically avoiding weather hazards in flight. By supplying more relevant weather information in a human-centered format along with the tools to generate flight plans around weather, aircraft exposure to weather hazards can be reduced. Our program directly addresses the NASA's five year investment areas of Strategic Weather Information and Weather Operations (simulation/hazard characterization and crew/dispatch/ATChazard monitoring, display, and decision support) (NASA Aeronautics Safety Investment Strategy: Weather Investment Recommendations, April 15, 1997). This program is comprised of two phases, Phase I concluded December 31, 1998. This first phase defined weather data requirements, lateral routing algorithms, an conceptual displays for a user-centered design. Phase II runs from January 1999 through September 1999. The second phase integrates vertical routing into the lateral optimizer and combines the user interface into a prototype software testbed. Phase II concludes with a dispatcher and pilot evaluation of the route optimizer decision aid. This document describes work completed in Phase I in contract with NASA Langley August 1998 - December 1998. This report includes: (1) Discuss how weather hazards were identified in partnership with experts, and how weather hazards were prioritized; (2) Static representations of display layouts for integrated planning function (3) Cost function for the 2D route optimizer; (4) Discussion of the method for obtaining, access to raw data of, and the results of the flight deck user information requirements definition; (5) Itemized display format requirements identified for representing weather hazards in a route planning aid

Clear air turbulence

Research on forecasting, detection, and incidents of clear air turbulenc

Investigation of advanced navigation and guidance system concepts for all-weather rotorcraft operations

Results are presented of a survey conducted of active helicopter operators to determine the extent to which they wish to operate in IMC conditions, the visibility limits under which they would operate, the revenue benefits to be gained, and the percent of aircraft cost they would pay for such increased capability. Candidate systems were examined for capability to meet the requirements of a mission model constructed to represent the modes of flight normally encountered in low visibility conditions. Recommendations are made for development of high resolution radar, simulation of the control display system for steep approaches, and for development of an obstacle sensing system for detecting wires. A cost feasibility analysis is included

Large-scale high head pico hydropower potential assessment

Due to a lack of site-related information, Pico hydropower (PHP) has hardly been a projectable resource so far. This is particularly true for large area PHP potential information that could open a perspective to increase the size of development projects by aggregating individual PHP installations. The present work is extending the capabilities of GIS based hydropower potential assessment into the PHP domain through a GIS based PHP potential assessment procedure that facilitates the discrimination of areas without high head PHP potential against areas with PHP potential and against areas with so called “favorable PHP potential”. The basic unit of the spatial output is determined by the underlying PHP potential definition of this work: a standardized PHP installation and the required hydraulic source, together called standard unit, are located on an area of one square kilometer. The gradation of the output is a consequence of the verification techniques. Several large area PHP potential field assessment methods, based on contemplative analysis techniques, are developed in this work. Field assessments were conducted in Yunnan Province/China, Costa Rica, Ecuador and Sri Lanka. The aim for all field assessments is to get a comprehensive view on the PHP potential distribution of the entire country/province. Application of the GIS based PHP potential assessment procedure is aimed at the global tropical and subtropical regions

1923 - Water Resources of California, A Report to the Legislature of 1923, Bulletin No. 4

A 1923 report prepared by the California Department of Public Works, Division of Engineering and Irrigation, along with a Consulting Board consisting of members of the civil engineering profession. The engineering department was tasked with determining the maximum amount of water that could be delivered to the maximum area of land, the maximum control of flood waters, the maximum storage of waters, the effects of deforestation and all possible and practicable uses for such waters in California. The engineering department was further tasked with determining a comprehensive plan for the accomplishment of the maximum conservation, control, storage, distribution and application of all waters of the state, and to estimate the associated cost to implement the plan. The investigation concluded that there was ample land and water but that success in the financing and construction of irrigation works was dependent upon the accelerated colonization of the rural areas.https://digitalcommons.csumb.edu/hornbeck_usa_3_d/1057/thumbnail.jp

Multi-objective network optimization: models, methods, and applications

There can be an array of planning objectives to consider when identifying alternatives for using, modifying, or restoring natural or built environments. In this respect, multi-objective network optimization models can provide decision support to both managers and users of the system. While there can be an infinite number of feasible solutions to any multi-objective optimization problem in large networks (e.g., urban transportation systems), the efficient ones are usually more desirable in the decision-making process. However, identification of efficient solutions can be challenging in practical applications. To address this issue, this dissertation details mathematical formulations and solution algorithms for a range of real-world planning problems in the context of intelligent transportation systems, vehicle routing problem, natural conservation and landscape connectivity. While the combination of objectives being optimized is unique for each application, the underlying phenomena involves modeling movement between origins and destinations of a networked system. To demonstrate the type of insights that can be achieved using these modeling approaches, the location and number of times solutions appear in different realizations of system and given different solution approaches (e.g., exact and approximate methods) are visualized on network using a commercial geographic information system

Anthropogenic factors control the distribution of a southern conifer phytophthora disease in a peri‐urban area of Northern Patagonia, Argentina

Several mid‐sized urban areas have established boundaries overlapping with the distribution of Austrocedrus chilensis (D.Don) Pic.Serm. & Bizzarri forests in Patagonia. These forests suffer a disease whose primary cause is the aggressive pathogen Phytophthora austrocedri. This study analyzes the factors related to Austrocedrus disease in an urban and peri‐urban environment, showing that anthropogenic factors related to Phytophthora dispersion predominantly influence the disease distribution. The study was developed in urban and suburban areas of San Carlos de Bariloche county (Río Negro Province, Argentina). A database of requests to fell A. chilensis trees, from the Forest Department of Río Negro Province, was cleaned up and improved through satellite images analysis and field sampling. Data were analyzed in order to set up a layer of Austrocedrus disease presence. From this layer, and from anthropogenic and environmental layers (distance to houses, distance to roads, precipitation, slope, aspect, altitude, distance to water courses), a risk model was developed using the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) algorithm. In turn, data from the field sampling were assessed by contingency tables and chi square analysis. The results show that disease occurrence in San Carlos de Bariloche county is associated with the insertion of the urban network over areas of native forests. Distance to houses, distance to roads and distance to gardens with irrigation were the most important variables associated with the disease occurrence. A risk model was generated for the study area, which shows the current risk situation for the disease. Urbanization’s advance over the forest modifies key variables related to Phytophthora dispersion, such as the distance from cypress trees to houses and roads, thus progressively increasing the area at risk of becoming diseased. Based on these results, plausible measures and actions are proposed.Fil: Giordana, Guillermo. Dirección de Evaluación Ambiental, Secretaría de Ambiente y Desarrollo Urbano; ArgentinaFil: Kitzberger, Thomas. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; ArgentinaFil: la Manna, Ludmila Andrea. Universidad Nacional de la Patagonia "San Juan Bosco". Facultad de Ingeniería - Sede Esquel. Centro de Estudios Ambientales Integrados; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentin