128,283 research outputs found
Explainable machine learning for project management control
Project control is a crucial phase within project management aimed at ensuring —in an integrated manner— that the project objectives are met according to plan. Earned Value Management —along with its various refinements— is the most popular and widespread method for top-down project control. For project control under uncertainty, Monte Carlo simulation and statistical/machine learning models extend the earned value framework by allowing the analysis of deviations, expected times and costs during project progress. Recent advances in explainable machine learning, in particular attribution methods based on Shapley values, can be used to link project control to activity properties, facilitating the interpretation of interrelations between activity characteristics and control objectives. This work proposes a new methodology that adds an explainability layer based on SHAP —Shapley Additive exPlanations— to different machine learning models fitted to Monte Carlo simulations of the project network during tracking control points. Specifically, our method allows for both prospective and retrospective analyses, which have different utilities: forward analysis helps to identify key relationships between the different tasks and the desired outcomes, thus being useful to make execution/replanning decisions; and backward analysis serves to identify the causes of project status during project progress. Furthermore, this method is general, model-agnostic and provides quantifiable and easily interpretable information, hence constituting a valuable tool for project control in uncertain environments
A Hybrid Approach for Trajectory Control Design
This work presents a methodology to design trajectory tracking feedback
control laws, which embed non-parametric statistical models, such as Gaussian
Processes (GPs). The aim is to minimize unmodeled dynamics such as undesired
slippages. The proposed approach has the benefit of avoiding complex
terramechanics analysis to directly estimate from data the robot dynamics on a
wide class of trajectories. Experiments in both real and simulated environments
prove that the proposed methodology is promising.Comment: 9 pages, 11 figure
Learning the dynamics and time-recursive boundary detection of deformable objects
We propose a principled framework for recursively segmenting deformable objects across a sequence
of frames. We demonstrate the usefulness of this method on left ventricular segmentation across a cardiac
cycle. The approach involves a technique for learning the system dynamics together with methods of
particle-based smoothing as well as non-parametric belief propagation on a loopy graphical model capturing
the temporal periodicity of the heart. The dynamic system state is a low-dimensional representation
of the boundary, and the boundary estimation involves incorporating curve evolution into recursive state
estimation. By formulating the problem as one of state estimation, the segmentation at each particular
time is based not only on the data observed at that instant, but also on predictions based on past and future
boundary estimates. Although the paper focuses on left ventricle segmentation, the method generalizes
to temporally segmenting any deformable object
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