540 research outputs found
Human Motion Trajectory Prediction: A Survey
With growing numbers of intelligent autonomous systems in human environments,
the ability of such systems to perceive, understand and anticipate human
behavior becomes increasingly important. Specifically, predicting future
positions of dynamic agents and planning considering such predictions are key
tasks for self-driving vehicles, service robots and advanced surveillance
systems. This paper provides a survey of human motion trajectory prediction. We
review, analyze and structure a large selection of work from different
communities and propose a taxonomy that categorizes existing methods based on
the motion modeling approach and level of contextual information used. We
provide an overview of the existing datasets and performance metrics. We
discuss limitations of the state of the art and outline directions for further
research.Comment: Submitted to the International Journal of Robotics Research (IJRR),
37 page
Deep Learning and Statistical Models for Time-Critical Pedestrian Behaviour Prediction
The time it takes for a classifier to make an accurate prediction can be
crucial in many behaviour recognition problems. For example, an autonomous
vehicle should detect hazardous pedestrian behaviour early enough for it to
take appropriate measures. In this context, we compare the switching linear
dynamical system (SLDS) and a three-layered bi-directional long short-term
memory (LSTM) neural network, which are applied to infer pedestrian behaviour
from motion tracks. We show that, though the neural network model achieves an
accuracy of 80%, it requires long sequences to achieve this (100 samples or
more). The SLDS, has a lower accuracy of 74%, but it achieves this result with
short sequences (10 samples). To our knowledge, such a comparison on sequence
length has not been considered in the literature before. The results provide a
key intuition of the suitability of the models in time-critical problems
Naturalistic Driver Intention and Path Prediction using Machine Learning
Autonomous vehicles are still yet to be available to the public. This is because there are a number of challenges that have not been overcome to ensure that autonomous vehicles can safely and efficiently drive on public roads. Accurate prediction of other vehicles is vital for safe driving, as interacting with other vehicles is unavoidable on public streets. This thesis explores reasons why this problem of scene understanding is still unsolved, and presents methods for driver intention and path prediction. The thesis focuses on intersections, as this is a very complex scenario in which to predict the actions of human drivers. There is very limited data available for intersection studies from the perspective of an autonomous vehicle. This thesis presents a very large dataset of over 23,000 vehicle trajectories, used to validate the algorithms presented in this thesis. This dataset was collected using a lidar based vehicle detection and tracking system onboard a vehicle. Analytics of this data is presented. To determine the intent of vehicle at an intersection, a method for manoeuvre classification through the use of recurrent neural networks is presented. This allows accurate predictions of which destination a vehicle will take at an unsignalised intersection, based on that vehicle's approach. The final contribution of this thesis presents a method for driver path prediction, based on recurrent neural networks. It produces a multi-modal prediction for the vehicle’s path with uncertainty assigned to each mode. The output modes are not hand labelled, but instead learned from the data. This results in there not being a fixed number of output modes. Whilst the application of this method is vehicle prediction, this method shows significant promise to be used in other areas of robotics
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