30,040 research outputs found
Real-Time Predictive Modeling and Robust Avoidance of Pedestrians with Uncertain, Changing Intentions
To plan safe trajectories in urban environments, autonomous vehicles must be
able to quickly assess the future intentions of dynamic agents. Pedestrians are
particularly challenging to model, as their motion patterns are often uncertain
and/or unknown a priori. This paper presents a novel changepoint detection and
clustering algorithm that, when coupled with offline unsupervised learning of a
Gaussian process mixture model (DPGP), enables quick detection of changes in
intent and online learning of motion patterns not seen in prior training data.
The resulting long-term movement predictions demonstrate improved accuracy
relative to offline learning alone, in terms of both intent and trajectory
prediction. By embedding these predictions within a chance-constrained motion
planner, trajectories which are probabilistically safe to pedestrian motions
can be identified in real-time. Hardware experiments demonstrate that this
approach can accurately predict pedestrian motion patterns from onboard
sensor/perception data and facilitate robust navigation within a dynamic
environment.Comment: Submitted to 2014 International Workshop on the Algorithmic
Foundations of Robotic
Safe Multi-Agent Interaction through Robust Control Barrier Functions with Learned Uncertainties
Robots operating in real world settings must navigate and maintain safety while interacting with many heterogeneous agents and obstacles. Multi-Agent Control Barrier Functions (CBF) have emerged as a computationally efficient tool to guarantee safety in multi-agent environments, but they assume perfect knowledge of both the robot dynamics and other agents' dynamics. While knowledge of the robot's dynamics might be reasonably well known, the heterogeneity of agents in real-world environments means there will always be considerable uncertainty in our prediction of other agents' dynamics. This work aims to learn high-confidence bounds for these dynamic uncertainties using Matrix-Variate Gaussian Process models, and incorporates them into a robust multi-agent CBF framework. We transform the resulting min-max robust CBF into a quadratic program, which can be efficiently solved in real time. We verify via simulation results that the nominal multi-agent CBF is often violated during agent interactions, whereas our robust formulation maintains safety with a much higher probability and adapts to learned uncertainties
Bayesian Optimisation for Safe Navigation under Localisation Uncertainty
In outdoor environments, mobile robots are required to navigate through
terrain with varying characteristics, some of which might significantly affect
the integrity of the platform. Ideally, the robot should be able to identify
areas that are safe for navigation based on its own percepts about the
environment while avoiding damage to itself. Bayesian optimisation (BO) has
been successfully applied to the task of learning a model of terrain
traversability while guiding the robot through more traversable areas. An
issue, however, is that localisation uncertainty can end up guiding the robot
to unsafe areas and distort the model being learnt. In this paper, we address
this problem and present a novel method that allows BO to consider localisation
uncertainty by applying a Gaussian process model for uncertain inputs as a
prior. We evaluate the proposed method in simulation and in experiments with a
real robot navigating over rough terrain and compare it against standard BO
methods.Comment: To appear in the proceedings of the 18th International Symposium on
Robotics Research (ISRR 2017
Combining Subgoal Graphs with Reinforcement Learning to Build a Rational Pathfinder
In this paper, we present a hierarchical path planning framework called SG-RL
(subgoal graphs-reinforcement learning), to plan rational paths for agents
maneuvering in continuous and uncertain environments. By "rational", we mean
(1) efficient path planning to eliminate first-move lags; (2) collision-free
and smooth for agents with kinematic constraints satisfied. SG-RL works in a
two-level manner. At the first level, SG-RL uses a geometric path-planning
method, i.e., Simple Subgoal Graphs (SSG), to efficiently find optimal abstract
paths, also called subgoal sequences. At the second level, SG-RL uses an RL
method, i.e., Least-Squares Policy Iteration (LSPI), to learn near-optimal
motion-planning policies which can generate kinematically feasible and
collision-free trajectories between adjacent subgoals. The first advantage of
the proposed method is that SSG can solve the limitations of sparse reward and
local minima trap for RL agents; thus, LSPI can be used to generate paths in
complex environments. The second advantage is that, when the environment
changes slightly (i.e., unexpected obstacles appearing), SG-RL does not need to
reconstruct subgoal graphs and replan subgoal sequences using SSG, since LSPI
can deal with uncertainties by exploiting its generalization ability to handle
changes in environments. Simulation experiments in representative scenarios
demonstrate that, compared with existing methods, SG-RL can work well on
large-scale maps with relatively low action-switching frequencies and shorter
path lengths, and SG-RL can deal with small changes in environments. We further
demonstrate that the design of reward functions and the types of training
environments are important factors for learning feasible policies.Comment: 20 page
Deep Network Uncertainty Maps for Indoor Navigation
Most mobile robots for indoor use rely on 2D laser scanners for localization,
mapping and navigation. These sensors, however, cannot detect transparent
surfaces or measure the full occupancy of complex objects such as tables. Deep
Neural Networks have recently been proposed to overcome this limitation by
learning to estimate object occupancy. These estimates are nevertheless subject
to uncertainty, making the evaluation of their confidence an important issue
for these measures to be useful for autonomous navigation and mapping. In this
work we approach the problem from two sides. First we discuss uncertainty
estimation in deep models, proposing a solution based on a fully convolutional
neural network. The proposed architecture is not restricted by the assumption
that the uncertainty follows a Gaussian model, as in the case of many popular
solutions for deep model uncertainty estimation, such as Monte-Carlo Dropout.
We present results showing that uncertainty over obstacle distances is actually
better modeled with a Laplace distribution. Then, we propose a novel approach
to build maps based on Deep Neural Network uncertainty models. In particular,
we present an algorithm to build a map that includes information over obstacle
distance estimates while taking into account the level of uncertainty in each
estimate. We show how the constructed map can be used to increase global
navigation safety by planning trajectories which avoid areas of high
uncertainty, enabling higher autonomy for mobile robots in indoor settings.Comment: Accepted for publication in "2019 IEEE-RAS International Conference
on Humanoid Robots (Humanoids)
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