Synergistic integration of optical and microwave satellite data for crop yield estimation

Developing accurate models of crop stress, phenology and productivity is of paramount importance, given the increasing need of food. Earth observation (EO) remote sensing data provides a unique source of information to monitor crops in a temporally resolved and spatially explicit way. In this study, we propose the combination of multisensor (optical and microwave) remote sensing data for crop yield estimation and forecasting using two novel approaches. We first propose the lag between Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) derived from MODIS and Vegetation Optical Depth (VOD) derived from SMAP as a new joint metric combining the information from the two satellite sensors in a unique feature or descriptor. Our second approach avoids summarizing statistics and uses machine learning to combine full time series of EVI and VOD. This study considers two statistical methods, a regularized linear regressionand its nonlinear extension called kernel ridge regression to directly estimate the county-level surveyed total production, as well as individual yields of the major crops grown in the region: corn, soybean and wheat. The study area includes the US Corn Belt, and we use agricultural survey data from the National Agricultural Statistics Service (USDA-NASS) for year 2015 for quantitative assessment. Results show that (1) the proposed EVI-VOD lag metric correlates well with crop yield and outperforms common single-sensor metrics for crop yield estimation; (2) the statistical (machine learning) models working directly with the time series largely improve results compared to previously reported estimations; (3) the combined exploitation of information from the optical and microwave data leads to improved predictions over the use of single sensor approaches with coefficient of determination R 2 ≥ 0.76; (4) when models are used for within-season forecasting with limited time information, crop yield prediction is feasible up to four months before harvest (models reach a plateau in accuracy); and (5) the robustness of the approach is confirmed in a multi-year setting, reaching similar performances than when using single-year data. In conclusion, results confirm the value of using both EVI and VOD at the same time, and the advantage of using automatic machine learning models for crop yield/production estimation

Land Surface Phenologies and Seasonalities Using Cool Earthlight in Temperate and Tropical Croplands

In today’s world of increasing food insecurity due to more frequent and extreme events (droughts, floods), a comprehensive understanding of global cropland dynamics is critically needed. Land surface parameters derived from the passive microwave Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer on EOS (AMSR-E) and AMSR2 data enable monitoring of cropland dynamics and they can complement visible to near infrared (VNIR) and thermal infrared (TIR) data. Passive microwave data are less sensitive to atmospheric effects, cloud contamination, and solar illumination constraints resulting in finer temporal resolution suitable to track the temporal progression of cropland cover development compared to the VNIR data that has coarser temporal resolution due to compositing to lessen the atmospheric effects. Both VNIR and TIR data have moderate to fine spatial resolution compared to passive microwaves, due to the faint microwave flux from the planetary surface. I used AMSR, MODIS, TRMM, and simplified surface energy balance (SSEB) data to study cropland dynamics from 2003-2015 in North Dakota, USA, the Canadian Prairie Provinces, Northern Eurasia, and East Africa: a contrast between crop exporting regions and a food insecure region. Croplands in the temperate region are better studied compared to that of the tropics. The objective of this research was to characterize cropland dynamics in the tropics based on the knowledge gained about the microwave products in the temperate croplands. This study also aimed at assessing the utility of passive microwave data for cropland dynamics study, especially for tropical cropland regions that are often cloud-obscured during the growing season and have sparse in situ data networks. Using MODIS land cover data, I identified 162 AMSR grid cells (25km*25km=625km2) dominated by croplands within the study regions. To fit the passive microwave time series data to environmental forcings, I used the convex quadratic (CxQ) model fit that has been successfully applied with the VNIR and TIR data to herbaceous vegetation in temperate and boreal ecoregions. Land surface dynamics in the thermally-limited temperate croplands were characterized as a function of temperature; whereas, a function of moisture to model land surface dynamics in the tropical croplands. In the temperate croplands, growing degree-day (GDD), NDVI, and vegetation optical depth (VOD) were modeled as a convex quadratic function of accumulated GDD (AGDD) derived from AMSR air temperature data, yielding high coefficients of determination (0.88≤ r2≤0.98) Deviations of GDD from the long term average CxQ model by site corresponded to peak VI producing negative residuals (arising from higher latent heat flux) and low VI at beginning and end of growing season producing positive residuals (arising from higher sensible heat flux). In Northern Eurasia, sites at lower latitude (44° - 48° N) that grow winter grains showed either a longer unimodal growing season or a bimodal growing season; whereas, sites at higher latitude (48° - 56° N) where spring grains are cultivated showed shorter, unimodal growing seasons. Peak VOD showed strong linear correspondence with peak greenness (NDVI) with r2\u3e0.8, but with a one-week lag. The AMSR data were able to capture the effects of the 2010 and 2007 heat waves that devastated grain production in southwestern Russia and Northern Kazakhstan, and Ukraine, respectively, better than the MODIS data. In East African croplands, the AMSR, TRMM, and SSEB datasets modeled as a convex quadratic function of cumulative water-vapor-days displayed distinct cropland dynamics in space and time, including unimodal and bimodal growing seasons. Interannual moisture variability is at its highest at the beginning of the growing season affecting planting times of crops. Moisture time to peak from AMSR and TRMM land surface parameters displayed strong correspondence (r2 \u3e 0.80) and logical lags among variables. Characterizing cropland dynamics based on the synergistic use of complementary remote sensing data should help to advance and improve agricultural monitoring in tropical croplands that are often associated with food insecurity

High-throughput phenotyping of plant leaf morphological, physiological, and biochemical traits on multiple scales using optical sensing

Acquisition of plant phenotypic information facilitates plant breeding, sheds light on gene action, and can be applied to optimize the quality of agricultural and forestry products. Because leaves often show the fastest responses to external environmental stimuli, leaf phenotypic traits are indicators of plant growth, health, and stress levels. Combination of new imaging sensors, image processing, and data analytics permits measurement over the full life span of plants at high temporal resolution and at several organizational levels from organs to individual plants to field populations of plants. We review the optical sensors and associated data analytics used for measuring morphological, physiological, and biochemical traits of plant leaves on multiple scales. We summarize the characteristics, advantages and limitations of optical sensing and data-processing methods applied in various plant phenotyping scenarios. Finally, we discuss the future prospects of plant leaf phenotyping research. This review aims to help researchers choose appropriate optical sensors and data processing methods to acquire plant leaf phenotypes rapidly, accurately, and cost-effectively

QUANTIFYING GRASSLAND NON-PHOTOSYNTHETIC VEGETATION BIOMASS USING REMOTE SENSING DATA

Non-photosynthetic vegetation (NPV) refers to vegetation that cannot perform a photosynthetic function. NPV, including standing dead vegetation and surface plant litter, plays a vital role in maintaining ecosystem function through controlling carbon, water and nutrient uptake as well as natural fire frequency and intensity in diverse ecosystems such as forest, savannah, wetland, cropland, and grassland. Due to its ecological importance, NPV has been selected as an indicator of grassland ecosystem health by the Alberta Public Lands Administration in Canada. The ecological importance of NPV has driven considerable research on quantifying NPV biomass with remote sensing approaches in various ecosystems. Although remote images, especially hyperspectral images, have demonstrated potential for use in NPV estimation, there has not been a way to quantify NPV biomass in semiarid grasslands where NPV biomass is affected by green vegetation (PV), bare soil and biological soil crust (BSC). The purpose of this research is to find a solution to quantitatively estimate NPV biomass with remote sensing approaches in semiarid mixed grasslands. Research was conducted in Grasslands National Park (GNP), a parcel of semiarid mixed prairie grassland in southern Saskatchewan, Canada. Multispectral images, including newly operational Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) and Sentinel-2A Multi-spectral Instrument (MSIs) images and fine Quad-pol Radarsat-2 images were used for estimating NPV biomass in early, middle, and peak growing seasons via a simple linear regression approach. The results indicate that multispectral Landsat 8 OLI and Sentinel-2A MSIs have potential to quantify NPV biomass in peak and early senescence growing seasons. Radarsat-2 can also provide a solution for NPV biomass estimation. However, the performance of Radarsat-2 images is greatly affected by incidence angle of the image acquisition. This research filled a critical gap in applying remote sensing approaches to quantify NPV biomass in grassland ecosystems. NPV biomass estimates and approaches for estimating NPV biomass will contribute to grassland ecosystem health assessment (EHA) and natural resource (i.e. land, soil, water, plant, and animal) management

Crop monitoring and yield estimation using polarimetric SAR and optical satellite data in southwestern Ontario

Optical satellite data have been proven as an efficient source to extract crop information and monitor crop growth conditions over large areas. In local- to subfield-scale crop monitoring studies, both high spatial resolution and high temporal resolution of the image data are important. However, the acquisition of optical data is limited by the constant contamination of clouds in cloudy areas. This thesis explores the potential of polarimetric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) satellite data and the spatio-temporal data fusion approach in crop monitoring and yield estimation applications in southwestern Ontario. Firstly, the sensitivity of 16 parameters derived from C-band Radarsat-2 polarimetric SAR data to crop height and fractional vegetation cover (FVC) was investigated. The results show that the SAR backscatters are affected by many factors unrelated to the crop canopy such as the incidence angle and the soil background and the degree of sensitivity varies with the crop types, growing stages, and the polarimetric SAR parameters. Secondly, the Minimum Noise Fraction (MNF) transformation, for the first time, was applied to multitemporal Radarsat-2 polarimetric SAR data in cropland area mapping based on the random forest classifier. An overall classification accuracy of 95.89% was achieved using the MNF transformation of the multi-temporal coherency matrix acquired from July to November. Then, a spatio-temporal data fusion method was developed to generate Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) time series with both high spatial and high temporal resolution in heterogeneous regions using Landsat and MODIS imagery. The proposed method outperforms two other widely used methods. Finally, an improved crop phenology detection method was proposed, and the phenology information was then forced into the Simple Algorithm for Yield Estimation (SAFY) model to estimate crop biomass and yield. Compared with the SAFY model without forcing the remotely sensed phenology and a simple light use efficiency (LUE) model, the SAFY incorporating the remotely sensed phenology can improve the accuracy of biomass estimation by about 4% in relative Root Mean Square Error (RRMSE). The studies in this thesis improve the ability to monitor crop growth status and production at subfield scale

Analyzing the Adoption, Cropping Rotation, and Impact of Winter Cover Crops in the Mississippi Alluvial Plain (MAP) Region through Remote Sensing Technologies

This dissertation explores the application of remote sensing technologies in conservation agriculture, specifically focusing on identifying and mapping winter cover crops and assessing voluntary cover crop adoption and cropping patterns in the Arkansas portion of the Mississippi Alluvial Plain (MAP). In the first chapter, a systematic review using the PRISMA methodology examines the last 30 years of thematic research, development, and trends in remote sensing applied to conservation agriculture from a global perspective. The review uncovers a growing interest in remote sensing-based research in conservation agriculture and emphasizes the necessity for further studies dedicated to conservation practices. Among the 68 articles examined, 94% of studies utilized a pixel-based classification method, while only 6% employed an object-based approach. The analysis also revealed a thematic shift over time, with tillage practices being extensively studied before 2005, followed by a focus on crop residue from 2004 to 2012. From 2012 to 2020, there was a renewed emphasis on cover crops research. These findings highlight the evolving research landscape and provide insights into the trends within remote sensing-based conservation agriculture studies. The second chapter presents a methodological framework for identifying and mapping winter cover crops. The framework utilizes the Google Earth Engine (GEE) and a Random Forest (RF) classifier with time series data from Landsat 8 satellite. Results demonstrate a high classification accuracy (97.7%) and a significant increase (34%) in model-predicted cover crop adoption over the study period between 2013 and 2019. Additionally, the study showcases the use of multi-year datasets to efficiently map the growing season\u27s length and cover crops\u27 phenological characteristics. The third chapter assesses the voluntary adoption of winter cover crops and cropping patterns in the MAP region. Remote sensing technologies, USDA-NRCS government cover crop data sources, and the USDA Cropland Data Layer (CDL) are employed to identify cover crop locations, analyze county-wide voluntary adoption, and cropping rotations. The result showed a 5.33% increase in the overall voluntary adoption of cover crops in the study region between 2013 and 2019. The findings also indicate a growing trend in cover crop adoption, with soybean-cover crop rotations being prominent. This dissertation enhances our understanding of the role of remote sensing in conservation agriculture with a particular focus on winter cover crops. These insights are valuable for policymakers, stakeholders, and researchers seeking to promote sustainable agricultural practices and increased cover crop adoption. The study also underscores the significance of integrating remote sensing technologies into agricultural decision-making processes and highlights the importance of collaboration among policymakers, researchers, and producers. By leveraging the capabilities of remote sensing, it will enhance conservation agriculture contribution to long-term environmental sustainability and agricultural resilience. Keywords: Remote sensing technologies, Conservation agriculture, Winter cover crops, Voluntary adoption, Cropping patterns, Sustainable agricultural practice

Analyzing the Adoption, Cropping Rotation, and Impact of Winter Cover Crops in the Mississippi Alluvial Plain (MAP) Region through Remote Sensing Technologies

This dissertation explores the application of remote sensing technologies in conservation agriculture, specifically focusing on identifying and mapping winter cover crops and assessing voluntary cover crop adoption and cropping patterns in the Arkansas portion of the Mississippi Alluvial Plain (MAP). In the first chapter, a systematic review using the PRISMA methodology examines the last 30 years of thematic research, development, and trends in remote sensing applied to conservation agriculture from a global perspective. The review uncovers a growing interest in remote sensing-based research in conservation agriculture and emphasizes the necessity for further studies dedicated to conservation practices. Among the 68 articles examined, 94% of studies utilized a pixel-based classification method, while only 6% employed an object-based approach. The analysis also revealed a thematic shift over time, with tillage practices being extensively studied before 2005, followed by a focus on crop residue from 2004 to 2012. From 2012 to 2020, there was a renewed emphasis on cover crops research. These findings highlight the evolving research landscape and provide insights into the trends within remote sensing-based conservation agriculture studies. The second chapter presents a methodological framework for identifying and mapping winter cover crops. The framework utilizes the Google Earth Engine (GEE) and a Random Forest (RF) classifier with time series data from Landsat 8 satellite. Results demonstrate a high classification accuracy (97.7%) and a significant increase (34%) in model-predicted cover crop adoption over the study period between 2013 and 2019. Additionally, the study showcases the use of multi-year datasets to efficiently map the growing season\u27s length and cover crops\u27 phenological characteristics. The third chapter assesses the voluntary adoption of winter cover crops and cropping patterns in the MAP region. Remote sensing technologies, USDA-NRCS government cover crop data sources, and the USDA Cropland Data Layer (CDL) are employed to identify cover crop locations, analyze county-wide voluntary adoption, and cropping rotations. The result showed a 5.33% increase in the overall voluntary adoption of cover crops in the study region between 2013 and 2019. The findings also indicate a growing trend in cover crop adoption, with soybean-cover crop rotations being prominent. This dissertation enhances our understanding of the role of remote sensing in conservation agriculture with a particular focus on winter cover crops. These insights are valuable for policymakers, stakeholders, and researchers seeking to promote sustainable agricultural practices and increased cover crop adoption. The study also underscores the significance of integrating remote sensing technologies into agricultural decision-making processes and highlights the importance of collaboration among policymakers, researchers, and producers. By leveraging the capabilities of remote sensing, it will enhance conservation agriculture contribution to long-term environmental sustainability and agricultural resilience. Keywords: Remote sensing technologies, Conservation agriculture, Winter cover crops, Voluntary adoption, Cropping patterns, Sustainable agricultural practice

Big Earth Data and Machine Learning for Sustainable and Resilient Agriculture

Big streams of Earth images from satellites or other platforms (e.g., drones and mobile phones) are becoming increasingly available at low or no cost and with enhanced spatial and temporal resolution. This thesis recognizes the unprecedented opportunities offered by the high quality and open access Earth observation data of our times and introduces novel machine learning and big data methods to properly exploit them towards developing applications for sustainable and resilient agriculture. The thesis addresses three distinct thematic areas, i.e., the monitoring of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), the monitoring of food security and applications for smart and resilient agriculture. The methodological innovations of the developments related to the three thematic areas address the following issues: i) the processing of big Earth Observation (EO) data, ii) the scarcity of annotated data for machine learning model training and iii) the gap between machine learning outputs and actionable advice. This thesis demonstrated how big data technologies such as data cubes, distributed learning, linked open data and semantic enrichment can be used to exploit the data deluge and extract knowledge to address real user needs. Furthermore, this thesis argues for the importance of semi-supervised and unsupervised machine learning models that circumvent the ever-present challenge of scarce annotations and thus allow for model generalization in space and time. Specifically, it is shown how merely few ground truth data are needed to generate high quality crop type maps and crop phenology estimations. Finally, this thesis argues there is considerable distance in value between model inferences and decision making in real-world scenarios and thereby showcases the power of causal and interpretable machine learning in bridging this gap.Comment: Phd thesi