AAPOR Report on Big Data

In recent years we have seen an increase in the amount of statistics in society describing different phenomena based on so called Big Data. The term Big Data is used for a variety of data as explained in the report, many of them characterized not just by their large volume, but also by their variety and velocity, the organic way in which they are created, and the new types of processes needed to analyze them and make inference from them. The change in the nature of the new types of data, their availability, the way in which they are collected, and disseminated are fundamental. The change constitutes a paradigm shift for survey research.There is a great potential in Big Data but there are some fundamental challenges that have to be resolved before its full potential can be realized. In this report we give examples of different types of Big Data and their potential for survey research. We also describe the Big Data process and discuss its main challenges

Trust, Accountability, and Autonomy in Knowledge Graph-based AI for Self-determination

Knowledge Graphs (KGs) have emerged as fundamental platforms for powering intelligent decision-making and a wide range of Artificial Intelligence (AI) services across major corporations such as Google, Walmart, and AirBnb. KGs complement Machine Learning (ML) algorithms by providing data context and semantics, thereby enabling further inference and question-answering capabilities. The integration of KGs with neuronal learning (e.g., Large Language Models (LLMs)) is currently a topic of active research, commonly named neuro-symbolic AI. Despite the numerous benefits that can be accomplished with KG-based AI, its growing ubiquity within online services may result in the loss of self-determination for citizens as a fundamental societal issue. The more we rely on these technologies, which are often centralised, the less citizens will be able to determine their own destinies. To counter this threat, AI regulation, such as the European Union (EU) AI Act, is being proposed in certain regions. The regulation sets what technologists need to do, leading to questions concerning: How can the output of AI systems be trusted? What is needed to ensure that the data fuelling and the inner workings of these artefacts are transparent? How can AI be made accountable for its decision-making? This paper conceptualises the foundational topics and research pillars to support KG-based AI for self-determination. Drawing upon this conceptual framework, challenges and opportunities for citizen self-determination are illustrated and analysed in a real-world scenario. As a result, we propose a research agenda aimed at accomplishing the recommended objectives

Towards a global participatory platform: Democratising open data, complexity science and collective intelligence

The FuturICT project seeks to use the power of big data, analytic models grounded in complexity science, and the collective intelligence they yield for societal benefit. Accordingly, this paper argues that these new tools should not remain the preserve of restricted government, scientific or corporate élites, but be opened up for societal engagement and critique. To democratise such assets as a public good, requires a sustainable ecosystem enabling different kinds of stakeholder in society, including but not limited to, citizens and advocacy groups, school and university students, policy analysts, scientists, software developers, journalists and politicians. Our working name for envisioning a sociotechnical infrastructure capable of engaging such a wide constituency is the Global Participatory Platform (GPP). We consider what it means to develop a GPP at the different levels of data, models and deliberation, motivating a framework for different stakeholders to find their ecological niches at different levels within the system, serving the functions of (i) sensing the environment in order to pool data, (ii) mining the resulting data for patterns in order to model the past/present/future, and (iii) sharing and contesting possible interpretations of what those models might mean, and in a policy context, possible decisions. A research objective is also to apply the concepts and tools of complexity science and social science to the project's own work. We therefore conceive the global participatory platform as a resilient, epistemic ecosystem, whose design will make it capable of self-organization and adaptation to a dynamic environment, and whose structure and contributions are themselves networks of stakeholders, challenges, issues, ideas and arguments whose structure and dynamics can be modelled and analysed. Graphical abstrac

Scalable and Quality-Aware Training Data Acquisition for Conversational Cognitive Services

Dialog Systems (or simply bots) have recently become a popular human-computer interface for performing user's tasks, by invoking the appropriate back-end APIs (Application Programming Interfaces) based on the user's request in natural language. Building task-oriented bots, which aim at performing real-world tasks (e.g., booking flights), has become feasible with the continuous advances in Natural Language Processing (NLP), Artificial Intelligence (AI), and the countless number of devices which allow third-party software systems to invoke their back-end APIs. Nonetheless, bot development technologies are still in their preliminary stages, with several unsolved theoretical and technical challenges stemming from the ambiguous nature of human languages. Given the richness of natural language, supervised models require a large number of user utterances paired with their corresponding tasks -- called intents. To build a bot, developers need to manually translate APIs to utterances (called canonical utterances) and paraphrase them to obtain a diverse set of utterances. Crowdsourcing has been widely used to obtain such datasets, by paraphrasing the initial utterances generated by the bot developers for each task. However, there are several unsolved issues. First, generating canonical utterances requires manual efforts, making bot development both expensive and hard to scale. Second, since crowd workers may be anonymous and are asked to provide open-ended text (paraphrases), crowdsourced paraphrases may be noisy and incorrect (not conveying the same intent as the given task). This thesis first surveys the state-of-the-art approaches for collecting large training utterances for task-oriented bots. Next, we conduct an empirical study to identify quality issues of crowdsourced utterances (e.g., grammatical errors, semantic completeness). Moreover, we propose novel approaches for identifying unqualified crowd workers and eliminating malicious workers from crowdsourcing tasks. Particularly, we propose a novel technique to promote the diversity of crowdsourced paraphrases by dynamically generating word suggestions while crowd workers are paraphrasing a particular utterance. Moreover, we propose a novel technique to automatically translate APIs to canonical utterances. Finally, we present our platform to automatically generate bots out of API specifications. We also conduct thorough experiments to validate the proposed techniques and models

Data-Driven Policy Optimisation for Multi-Domain Task-Oriented Dialogue

Recent developments in machine learning along with a general shift in the public attitude towards digital personal assistants has opened new frontiers for conversational systems. Nevertheless, building data-driven multi-domain conversational agents that act optimally given a dialogue context is an open challenge. The first step towards that goal is developing an efficient way of learning a dialogue policy in new domains. Secondly, it is important to have the ability to collect and utilise human-human conversational data to bootstrap an agent's knowledge. The work presented in this thesis demonstrates how a neural dialogue manager fine-tuned with reinforcement learning presents a viable approach for learning a dialogue policy efficiently and across many domains. The thesis starts by introducing a dialogue management module that learns through interactions to act optimally given a current context of a conversation. The current shift towards neural, parameter-rich systems does not fully address the problem of error noise coming from speech recognition or natural language understanding components. A Bayesian approach is therefore proposed to learn more robust and effective policy management in direct interactions without any prior data. By putting a distribution over model weights, the learning agent is less prone to overfit to particular dialogue realizations and a more efficient exploration policy can be therefore employed. The results show that deep reinforcement learning performs on par with non-parametric models even in a low data regime while significantly reducing the computational complexity compared with the previous state-of-the-art. The deployment of a dialogue manager without any pre-training on human conversations is not a viable option from an industry perspective. However, the progress in building statistical systems, particularly dialogue managers, is hindered by the scale of data available. To address this fundamental obstacle, a novel data-collection pipeline entirely based on crowdsourcing without the need for hiring professional annotators is introduced. The validation of the approach results in the collection of the Multi-Domain Wizard-of-Oz dataset (MultiWOZ), a fully labeled collection of human-human written conversations spanning over multiple domains and topics. The proposed dataset creates a set of new benchmarks (belief tracking, policy optimisation, and response generation) significantly raising the complexity of analysed dialogues. The collected dataset serves as a foundation for a novel reinforcement learning (RL)-based approach for training a multi-domain dialogue manager. A Multi-Action and Slot Dialogue Agent (MASDA) is proposed to combat some limitations: 1) handling complex multi-domain dialogues with multiple concurrent actions present in a single turn; and 2) lack of interpretability, which consequently impedes the use of intermediate signals (e.g., dialogue turn annotations) if such signals are available. MASDA explicitly models system acts and slots using intermediate signals, resulting in an improved task-based end-to-end framework. The model can also select concurrent actions in a single turn, thus enriching the representation of the generated responses. The proposed framework allows for RL training of dialogue task completion metrics when dealing with concurrent actions. The results demonstrate the advantages of both 1) handling concurrent actions and 2) exploiting intermediate signals: MASDA outperforms previous end-to-end frameworks while also offering improved scalability.EPSR

Motion Synthesis and Control for Autonomous Agents using Generative Models and Reinforcement Learning

Imitating and predicting human motions have wide applications in both graphics and robotics, from developing realistic models of human movement and behavior in immersive virtual worlds and games to improving autonomous navigation for service agents deployed in the real world. Traditional approaches for motion imitation and prediction typically rely on pre-defined rules to model agent behaviors or use reinforcement learning with manually designed reward functions. Despite impressive results, such approaches cannot effectively capture the diversity of motor behaviors and the decision making capabilities of human beings. Furthermore, manually designing a model or reward function to explicitly describe human motion characteristics often involves laborious fine-tuning and repeated experiments, and may suffer from generalization issues. In this thesis, we explore data-driven approaches using generative models and reinforcement learning to study and simulate human motions. Specifically, we begin with motion synthesis and control of physically simulated agents imitating a wide range of human motor skills, and then focus on improving the local navigation decisions of autonomous agents in multi-agent interaction settings. For physics-based agent control, we introduce an imitation learning framework built upon generative adversarial networks and reinforcement learning that enables humanoid agents to learn motor skills from a few examples of human reference motion data. Our approach generates high-fidelity motions and robust controllers without needing to manually design and finetune a reward function, allowing at the same time interactive switching between different controllers based on user input. Based on this framework, we further propose a multi-objective learning scheme for composite and task-driven control of humanoid agents. Our multi-objective learning scheme balances the simultaneous learning of disparate motions from multiple reference sources and multiple goal-directed control objectives in an adaptive way, enabling the training of efficient composite motion controllers. Additionally, we present a general framework for fast and robust learning of motor control skills. Our framework exploits particle filtering to dynamically explore and discretize the high-dimensional action space involved in continuous control tasks, and provides a multi-modal policy as a substitute for the commonly used Gaussian policies. For navigation learning, we leverage human crowd data to train a human-inspired collision avoidance policy by combining knowledge distillation and reinforcement learning. Our approach enables autonomous agents to take human-like actions during goal-directed steering in fully decentralized, multi-agent environments. To inform better control in such environments, we propose SocialVAE, a variational autoencoder based architecture that uses timewise latent variables with socially-aware conditions and a backward posterior approximation to perform agent trajectory prediction. Our approach improves current state-of-the-art performance on trajectory prediction tasks in daily human interaction scenarios and more complex scenes involving interactions between NBA players. We further extend SocialVAE by exploiting semantic maps as context conditions to generate map-compliant trajectory prediction. Our approach processes context conditions and social conditions occurring during agent-agent interactions in an integrated manner through the use of a dual-attention mechanism. We demonstrate the real-time performance of our approach and its ability to provide high-fidelity, multi-modal predictions on various large-scale vehicle trajectory prediction tasks

End to End Learning in Autonomous Driving Systems

Convolutional neural networks have advanced visual perception significantly in recent years. Two major ingredients that enable such a success are the composition of simple modules into a complex network and the end to end optimization. However, such success has not yet revolutionized robotics as much as vision, even if robotics suffer from similar problems as traditional computer vision, i.e. imperfectness of the manual pipeline design of the system. This thesis investigates using end-to-end learning for the autonomous driving system, a concrete robotic application. End to end learning can produce reasonable driving behaviors, even in the complex urban driving scenarios. Representation learning in end-to-end driving models is crucial, and auxiliary vision tasks such as semantic segmentation can help to form a more informative driving representation especially when training data is limited. Naive convolutional neural networks are usually only capable of doing reactive control and can not involve complex reasoning in a particular scenario. This thesis also studies how to handle scene conditioned driving behavior, which goes beyond the capability of reactive control. Alongside the end-to-end structure, learning methods also play a critical role. Imitation learning methods will acquire meaningful behaviors but usually, the robot can not master the skill. Reinforcement learning, on the contrary, either barely learns anything if the environment is too complex, or it can master the skill otherwise. To get the best of both worlds, this thesis proposes an algorithmically unified method to learn from both demonstration data and the environment

Crowdsourced Data Mining for Urban Activity: A Review of Data Sources, Applications and Methods

The penetration of devices integrated with location-based services and internet services has generated massive data about the everyday life of citizens and tracked their activities happening in cities. Crowdsourced data, such as social media data, POIs data and collaborative websites, generated by the crowd, has become fine-grained proxy data of urban activity and widely used in research in urban studies. However, due to the heterogeneity of data types of crowdsourced data and the limitation of previous studies mainly focusing on a specific application, a systematic review of crowdsourced data mining for urban activity is still lacking. In order to fill the gap, this paper conducts a literature search in the Web of Science database, selecting 226 highly related papers published between 2013 and 2019. Based on those papers, the review firstly conducts a bibliometric analysis identifying underpinning domains, pivot scholars and papers around this topic. The review also synthesises previous research into three parts: main applications of different data sources and data fusion; application of spatial analysis in mobility patterns, functional areas and event detection; application of socio-demographic and perception analysis in city attractiveness, demographic characteristics and sentiment analysis. The challenges of this type of data are also discussed in the end. This study provides a systematic and current review for both researchers and practitioners interested in the applications of crowdsourced data mining for urban activity.This research is funded by a scholarship from the China Scholarship Counci