Q-learning with Nearest Neighbors

We consider model-free reinforcement learning for infinite-horizon discounted Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with a continuous state space and unknown transition kernel, when only a single sample path under an arbitrary policy of the system is available. We consider the Nearest Neighbor Q-Learning (NNQL) algorithm to learn the optimal Q function using nearest neighbor regression method. As the main contribution, we provide tight finite sample analysis of the convergence rate. In particular, for MDPs with a $d$-dimensional state space and the discounted factor $\gamma \in (0,1)$, given an arbitrary sample path with "covering time" $L$, we establish that the algorithm is guaranteed to output an $\varepsilon$-accurate estimate of the optimal Q-function using $\tilde{O}\big(L/(\varepsilon^3(1-\gamma)^7)\big)$ samples. For instance, for a well-behaved MDP, the covering time of the sample path under the purely random policy scales as $\tilde{O}\big(1/\varepsilon^d\big),$ so the sample complexity scales as $\tilde{O}\big(1/\varepsilon^{d+3}\big).$ Indeed, we establish a lower bound that argues that the dependence of $\tilde{\Omega}\big(1/\varepsilon^{d+2}\big)$ is necessary.Comment: Accepted to NIPS 201

No-Regret Reinforcement Learning with Value Function Approximation: a Kernel Embedding Approach

We consider the regret minimization problem in reinforcement learning (RL) in the episodic setting. In many real-world RL environments, the state and action spaces are continuous or very large. Existing approaches establish regret guarantees by either a low-dimensional representation of the stochastic transition model or an approximation of the $Q$-functions. However, the understanding of function approximation schemes for state-value functions largely remains missing. In this paper, we propose an online model-based RL algorithm, namely the CME-RL, that learns representations of transition distributions as embeddings in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space while carefully balancing the exploitation-exploration tradeoff. We demonstrate the efficiency of our algorithm by proving a frequentist (worst-case) regret bound that is of order $\tilde{O}\big(H\gamma_N\sqrt{N}\big)$, where $H$ is the episode length, $N$ is the total number of time steps and $\gamma_N$ is an information theoretic quantity relating the effective dimension of the state-action feature space. Our method bypasses the need for estimating transition probabilities and applies to any domain on which kernels can be defined. It also brings new insights into the general theory of kernel methods for approximate inference and RL regret minimization

Deeptime: a Python library for machine learning dynamical models from time series data

Generation and analysis of time-series data is relevant to many quantitative fields ranging from economics to fluid mechanics. In the physical sciences, structures such as metastable and coherent sets, slow relaxation processes, collective variables, dominant transition pathways or manifolds and channels of probability flow can be of great importance for understanding and characterizing the kinetic, thermodynamic and mechanistic properties of the system. Deeptime is a general purpose Python library offering various tools to estimate dynamical models based on time-series data including conventional linear learning methods, such as Markov state models (MSMs), Hidden Markov Models and Koopman models, as well as kernel and deep learning approaches such as VAMPnets and deep MSMs. The library is largely compatible with scikit-learn, having a range of Estimator classes for these different models, but in contrast to scikit-learn also provides deep Model classes, e.g. in the case of an MSM, which provide a multitude of analysis methods to compute interesting thermodynamic, kinetic and dynamical quantities, such as free energies, relaxation times and transition paths. The library is designed for ease of use but also easily maintainable and extensible code. In this paper we introduce the main features and structure of the deeptime software. Deeptime can be found under https://deeptime-ml.github.io/