Information-Theoretic Attacks in the Smart Grid

Gaussian random attacks that jointly minimize the amount of information obtained by the operator from the grid and the probability of attack detection are presented. The construction of the attack is posed as an optimization problem with a utility function that captures two effects: firstly, minimizing the mutual information between the measurements and the state variables; secondly, minimizing the probability of attack detection via the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the distribution of the measurements with an attack and the distribution of the measurements without an attack. Additionally, a lower bound on the utility function achieved by the attacks constructed with imperfect knowledge of the second order statistics of the state variables is obtained. The performance of the attack construction using the sample covariance matrix of the state variables is numerically evaluated. The above results are tested in the IEEE 30-Bus test system.Comment: 2017 IEEE International Conference on Smart Grid Communications (SmartGridComm

Bayesian Approach for Distribution System State Estimation With Non-Gaussian Uncertainty Models

To deal with the increasing complexity of distribution networks that are experiencing important changes, due to the widespread installation of distributed generation and the expected penetration of new energy resources, modern control applications must rely on an accurate picture of the grid status, given by the distribution system state estimation (DSSE). The DSSE is required to integrate all the available information on loads and generators power exchanges (pseudomeasurements) with the real-time measurements available from the field. In most cases, the statistical behavior of the measured and pseudomeasured quantities cannot be approximated by a Gaussian distribution. For this reason, it is necessary to design estimators that are able to use measurements and forecast data on power flows that can show a non-Gaussian behavior. In this paper, a DSSE algorithm based on Bayes's rule, conceived to perfectly match the uncertainty description of the available input information, is presented. The method is able to correctly handle the measurement uncertainty of conventional and synchronized measurements and to include possible correlation existing between the pseudomeasurements. Its applicability to medium voltage distribution networks and its advantages, in terms of accuracy of both estimated quantities and uncertainty intervals, are demonstrated