27,599 research outputs found
From Social Simulation to Integrative System Design
As the recent financial crisis showed, today there is a strong need to gain
"ecological perspective" of all relevant interactions in
socio-economic-techno-environmental systems. For this, we suggested to set-up a
network of Centers for integrative systems design, which shall be able to run
all potentially relevant scenarios, identify causality chains, explore feedback
and cascading effects for a number of model variants, and determine the
reliability of their implications (given the validity of the underlying
models). They will be able to detect possible negative side effect of policy
decisions, before they occur. The Centers belonging to this network of
Integrative Systems Design Centers would be focused on a particular field, but
they would be part of an attempt to eventually cover all relevant areas of
society and economy and integrate them within a "Living Earth Simulator". The
results of all research activities of such Centers would be turned into
informative input for political Decision Arenas. For example, Crisis
Observatories (for financial instabilities, shortages of resources,
environmental change, conflict, spreading of diseases, etc.) would be connected
with such Decision Arenas for the purpose of visualization, in order to make
complex interdependencies understandable to scientists, decision-makers, and
the general public.Comment: 34 pages, Visioneer White Paper, see http://www.visioneer.ethz.c
Distributed simulation of city inundation by coupled surface and subsurface porous flow for urban flood decision support system
We present a decision support system for flood early warning and disaster
management. It includes the models for data-driven meteorological predictions,
for simulation of atmospheric pressure, wind, long sea waves and seiches; a
module for optimization of flood barrier gates operation; models for stability
assessment of levees and embankments, for simulation of city inundation
dynamics and citizens evacuation scenarios. The novelty of this paper is a
coupled distributed simulation of surface and subsurface flows that can predict
inundation of low-lying inland zones far from the submerged waterfront areas,
as observed in St. Petersburg city during the floods. All the models are
wrapped as software services in the CLAVIRE platform for urgent computing,
which provides workflow management and resource orchestration.Comment: Pre-print submitted to the 2013 International Conference on
Computational Scienc
Proceedings of the International Workshop on: methods and tools for water-related adaptation to climate change and climate proofing
The workshop fits in the National Water Plan of the Netherlands’ government of which the international chapter includes the strengthening of cooperation with other delta countries, including Indonesia, Vietnam and Bangladesh and is part of the work plan of the Cooperative Programme on Water and Climate, a Netherlands’ sponsored programme with the objective to improve knowledge and capacity on the relation between water and climate change especially in developing countries and countries in transition
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