An extended ANFIS architecture and its learning properties for type-1 and interval type-2 models

In this paper, an extended ANFIS architecture is proposed. By incorporating an extra layer for the fuzzification process, the extended architecture is able to fit both type-1 and interval type-2 models. The learning properties of the proposed architecture based on the least-squares estimate method are studied on selected type-1 and interval type-2 ANFIS models. We show that the least-squares estimate method in general behaves differently for interval type-2 ANFIS models compared to type-1 ANFIS models, producing larger errors for interval type-2 ANFIS

Frequency Management Strategies for Local Power Generation Network

This paper presents an intelligent load frequency control technique based on ANFIS controller which is capable to restore system frequency within small fraction of time. Frequency deviations in microgrid occur when the system supply is not sufficient to match the demand. Efforts are required to keep the frequency deviation within acceptable limit. Using vehicle-to-grid technology, where electric vehicles are used as energy storage elements for load frequency control in microgrid. For generating the control action to electric vehicles and energy sources in microgrid, type-2 ANFIS has been employed for quick frequency stabilization in the presence of load and source disturbances. Diesel generator and wind generator are DG sources considered in this paper and electric vehicles are used as energy storage element. Optimal power sharing among the different generating units and electric vehicles is achieved by ANFIS controller. Adaptive nature of ANFIS makes it more suitable and highly robust controller for a complex inter-connected system. Simulation results demonstrate that ANFIS controller is highly efficient as compared to PID controller, fuzzy logic controller, and interval type-2 fuzzy logic controller

Improving risk-adjusted performance in high frequency trading using interval type-2 fuzzy logic

In this paper, we investigate the ability of higher order fuzzy systems to handle increased uncertainty, mostly induced by the market microstructure noise inherent in a high frequency trading (HFT) scenario. Whilst many former studies comparing type-1 and type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems (FLSs) focus on error reduction or market direction accuracy, our interest is predominantly risk-adjusted performance and more in line with both trading practitioners and upcoming regulatory regimes. We propose an innovative approach to design an interval type-2 model which is based on a generalisation of the popular type-1 ANFIS model. The significance of this work stems from the contributions as a result of introducing type-2 fuzzy sets in intelligent trading algorithms, with the objective to improve the risk-adjusted performance with minimal increase in the design and computational complexity. Overall, the proposed ANFIS/T2 model scores significant performance improvements when compared to both standard ANFIS and Buy-and-Hold methods. As a further step, we identify a relationship between the increased trading performance benefits of the proposed type-2 model and higher levels of microstructure noise. The results resolve a desirable need for practitioners, researchers and regulators in the design of expert and intelligent systems for better management of risk in the field of HFT

Machine Learning Applications in Estimating Transformer Loss of Life

Transformer life assessment and failure diagnostics have always been important problems for electric utility companies. Ambient temperature and load profile are the main factors which affect aging of the transformer insulation, and consequently, the transformer lifetime. The IEEE Std. C57.911995 provides a model for calculating the transformer loss of life based on ambient temperature and transformer's loading. In this paper, this standard is used to develop a data-driven static model for hourly estimation of the transformer loss of life. Among various machine learning methods for developing this static model, the Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is selected. Numerical simulations demonstrate the effectiveness and the accuracy of the proposed ANFIS method compared with other relevant machine learning based methods to solve this problem.Comment: IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 201

Novel hybrid extraction systems for fetal heart rate variability monitoring based on non-invasive fetal electrocardiogram

This study focuses on the design, implementation and subsequent verification of a new type of hybrid extraction system for noninvasive fetal electrocardiogram (NI-fECG) processing. The system designed combines the advantages of individual adaptive and non-adaptive algorithms. The pilot study reviews two innovative hybrid systems called ICA-ANFIS-WT and ICA-RLS-WT. This is a combination of independent component analysis (ICA), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) algorithm or recursive least squares (RLS) algorithm and wavelet transform (WT) algorithm. The study was conducted on clinical practice data (extended ADFECGDB database and Physionet Challenge 2013 database) from the perspective of non-invasive fetal heart rate variability monitoring based on the determination of the overall probability of correct detection (ACC), sensitivity (SE), positive predictive value (PPV) and harmonic mean between SE and PPV (F1). System functionality was verified against a relevant reference obtained by an invasive way using a scalp electrode (ADFECGDB database), or relevant reference obtained by annotations (Physionet Challenge 2013 database). The study showed that ICA-RLS-WT hybrid system achieve better results than ICA-ANFIS-WT. During experiment on ADFECGDB database, the ICA-RLS-WT hybrid system reached ACC > 80 % on 9 recordings out of 12 and the ICA-ANFIS-WT hybrid system reached ACC > 80 % only on 6 recordings out of 12. During experiment on Physionet Challenge 2013 database the ICA-RLS-WT hybrid system reached ACC > 80 % on 13 recordings out of 25 and the ICA-ANFIS-WT hybrid system reached ACC > 80 % only on 7 recordings out of 25. Both hybrid systems achieve provably better results than the individual algorithms tested in previous studies.Web of Science713178413175

The application of ANFIS prediction models for thermal error compensation on CNC machine tools

Thermal errors can have significant effects on CNC machine tool accuracy. The errors come from thermal deformations of the machine elements caused by heat sources within the machine structure or from ambient temperature change. The effect of temperature can be reduced by error avoidance or numerical compensation. The performance of a thermal error compensation system essentially depends upon the accuracy and robustness of the thermal error model and its input measurements. This paper first reviews different methods of designing thermal error models, before concentrating on employing an adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to design two thermal prediction models: ANFIS by dividing the data space into rectangular sub-spaces (ANFIS-Grid model) and ANFIS by using the fuzzy c-means clustering method (ANFIS-FCM model). Grey system theory is used to obtain the influence ranking of all possible temperature sensors on the thermal response of the machine structure. All the influence weightings of the thermal sensors are clustered into groups using the fuzzy c-means (FCM) clustering method, the groups then being further reduced by correlation analysis. A study of a small CNC milling machine is used to provide training data for the proposed models and then to provide independent testing data sets. The results of the study show that the ANFIS-FCM model is superior in terms of the accuracy of its predictive ability with the benefit of fewer rules. The residual value of the proposed model is smaller than ±4 μm. This combined methodology can provide improved accuracy and robustness of a thermal error compensation system

Forecasting seasonality in prices of potatoes and onions: challenge between geostatistical models, neuro fuzzy approach and Winter method

This paper, we studied the ability of geostatistical models (ordinary kriging (OK) and Inverse distance weighting (IDW)), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and Winter method for prediction of seasonality in prices of potatoes and onions in Iran over the seasonal period 1986_2001. Results show that the best estimators in order are winter method, ANFIS and geostatistical methods. The results indicate that Winter and ANFIS had powerful results for prediction the prices while geostatistical models were not useful in this respect.Price; Geostatistical model; Kiriging; Inverse distance weighting; Winter’s method; Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system; Potatoes; Onions; Iran