Stochastic multi-period multi-product multi-objective Aggregate Production Planning model in multi-echelon supply chain

In this paper a multi-period multi-product multi-objective aggregate production planning (APP) model is proposed for an uncertain multi-echelon supply chain considering financial risk, customer satisfaction, and human resource training. Three conflictive objective functions and several sets of real constraints are considered concurrently in the proposed APP model. Some parameters of the proposed model are assumed to be uncertain and handled through a two-stage stochastic programming (TSSP) approach. The proposed TSSP is solved using three multi-objective solution procedures, i.e., the goal attainment technique, the modified ε-constraint method, and STEM method. The whole procedure is applied in an automotive resin and oil supply chain as a real case study wherein the efficacy and applicability of the proposed approaches are illustrated in comparison with existing experimental production planning method

Separable Convex Optimization with Nested Lower and Upper Constraints

We study a convex resource allocation problem in which lower and upper bounds are imposed on partial sums of allocations. This model is linked to a large range of applications, including production planning, speed optimization, stratified sampling, support vector machines, portfolio management, and telecommunications. We propose an efficient gradient-free divide-and-conquer algorithm, which uses monotonicity arguments to generate valid bounds from the recursive calls, and eliminate linking constraints based on the information from sub-problems. This algorithm does not need strict convexity or differentiability. It produces an $\epsilon$-approximate solution for the continuous problem in $\mathcal{O}(n \log m \log \frac{n B}{\epsilon})$ time and an integer solution in $\mathcal{O}(n \log m \log B)$ time, where $n$ is the number of decision variables, $m$ is the number of constraints, and $B$ is the resource bound. A complexity of $\mathcal{O}(n \log m)$ is also achieved for the linear and quadratic cases. These are the best complexities known to date for this important problem class. Our experimental analyses confirm the good performance of the method, which produces optimal solutions for problems with up to 1,000,000 variables in a few seconds. Promising applications to the support vector ordinal regression problem are also investigated

A decision support system and a mathematical model for strategic workforce planning in consultancies

Strategic staff planning in consultancies is a major problem that directly affects the firm’s performance and capacity for dealing with projects appropriately. Furthermore, the decisions taken now will have long term consequences, because consultants are highly qualified workers who need very long learning periods to achieve enough expertise. In other words, the size and composition of the future workforce depends on the decisions taken today. It is important to underline that the system anticipates future capacity adjustment in response to forecasted demand requirements; therefore, it is flexible to plan the workforce in different scenarios and time horizons. This paper proposes a decision support system based on a mathematical optimization model for solving strategic staff planning, taking the company’s strategies, policies and objectives into account and optimizing both the costs and the staff composition. The tool is tested by applying it in an office belonging to a multinational consulting firm.Peer ReviewedPostprint (author's final draft

Bi-level optimisation and machine learning in the management of large service-oriented field workforces.

The tactical planning problem for members of the service industry with large multi-skilled workforces is an important process that is often underlooked. It sits between the operational plan - which involves the actual allocation of members of the workforce to tasks - and the strategic plan where long term visions are set. An accurate tactical plan can have great benefits to service organisations and this is something we demonstrate in this work. Sitting where it does, it is made up of a mix of forecast and actual data, which can make effectively solving the problem difficult. In members of the service industry with large multi-skilled workforces it can often become a very large problem very quickly, as the number of decisions scale quickly with the number of elements within the plan. In this study, we first update and define the tactical planning problem to fit the process currently undertaken manually in practice. We then identify properties within the problem that identify it as a new candidate for the application of bi-level optimisation techniques. The tactical plan is defined in the context of a pair of leader-follower linked sub-models, which we show to be solvable to produce automated solutions to the tactical plan. We further identify the need for the use of machine learning techniques to effectively find solutions in practical applications, where limited detail is available in the data due to its forecast nature. We develop neural network models to solve this issue and show that they provide more accurate results than the current planners. Finally, we utilise them as a surrogate for the follower in the bi-level framework to provide real world applicable solutions to the tactical planning problem. The models developed in this work have already begun to be deployed in practice and are providing significant impact. This is along with identifying a new application area for bi-level modelling techniques

Logic Programming Applications: What Are the Abstractions and Implementations?

This article presents an overview of applications of logic programming, classifying them based on the abstractions and implementations of logic languages that support the applications. The three key abstractions are join, recursion, and constraint. Their essential implementations are for-loops, fixed points, and backtracking, respectively. The corresponding kinds of applications are database queries, inductive analysis, and combinatorial search, respectively. We also discuss language extensions and programming paradigms, summarize example application problems by application areas, and touch on example systems that support variants of the abstractions with different implementations

Approximate Dynamic Programming Algorithms for United States Air Force Officer Sustainment

The United States Air Force (USAF) officer sustainment system involves making accession and promotion decisions for nearly 64 thousand officers annually. We formulate a discrete time stochastic Markov decision process model to examine this military workforce planning problem. The large size of the motivating problem suggests that conventional exact dynamic programming algorithms are inappropriate. As such, we propose two approximate dynamic programming (ADP) algorithms to solve the problem. We employ a least-squares approximate policy iteration (API) algorithm with instrumental variables Bellman error minimization to determine approximate policies. In this API algorithm, we use a modified version of the Bellman equation based on the post-decision state variable. Approximating the value function using a post-decision state variable allows us to find the best policy for a given approximation using a decomposable mixed integer nonlinear programming formulation. We also propose an approximate value iteration algorithm using concave adaptive value estimation (CAVE). The CAVE algorithm identities an improved policy for a test problem based on the current USAF officer sustainment system. The CAVE algorithm obtains a statistically significant 2.8% improvement over the currently employed USAF policy, which serves as the benchmark

United States Air Force Officer Manpower Planning Problem via Approximate Dynamic Programming

The United States Air Force (USAF) is concerned with managing its officer corps to ensure sufficient personnel for mission readiness. Manpower planning for the USAF is a complex process which requires making decisions about accessions. Uncertainty about officer retention complicates such decisions. We formulate a Markov decision process model of the Air Force officer manpower planning problem (AFO-MPP) and utilize a least squares approximate policy iteration algorithm as an approximate dynamic programming (ADP) technique to attain solutions. Computational experiments are conducted on two AFO-MPP instances to compare the performance of the policy determined with the ADP algorithm to a benchmark policy. We find that the ADP algorithm performs well for the basis functions selected, providing policies which reduce soft costs associated with shortages and surpluses in the force