On Stochastic ISS of Time-Varying Switched Systems with Generic Lévy Switching Signals

Switched systems in which switching among subsystems occurs at random time instants find numerous applications in engineering. Stability analysis of such systems, however, is quite challenging. This paper investigates the stochastic input-to-state stability of this class of switched systems. The random switching instants are modeled by a non-decreasing, positive, and real-valued Levy process, which, at every time instant, selects the active subsystem from a family of deterministic systems. No assumption on the stability of subsystems is presumed; they can be stable or unstable. Stochastic properties of the switching signal are coupled with a family of Lyapunov-like functions to obtain a sufficient condition for stochastic input-to-state stability

Intermittent Feedback-Control Strategy for Stabilizing Inverted Pendulum on Manually Controlled Cart as Analogy to Human Stick Balancing

The stabilization of an inverted pendulum on a manually controlled cart (cart-inverted-pendulum; CIP) in an upright position, which is analogous to balancing a stick on a fingertip, is considered in order to investigate how the human central nervous system (CNS) stabilizes unstable dynamics due to mechanical instability and time delays in neural feedback control. We explore the possibility that a type of intermittent time-delayed feedback control, which has been proposed for human postural control during quiet standing, is also a promising strategy for the CIP task and stick balancing on a fingertip. Such a strategy hypothesizes that the CNS exploits transient contracting dynamics along a stable manifold of a saddle-type unstable upright equilibrium of the inverted pendulum in the absence of control by inactivating neural feedback control intermittently for compensating delay-induced instability. To this end, the motions of a CIP stabilized by human subjects were experimentally acquired, and computational models of the system were employed to characterize the experimental behaviors. We first confirmed fat-tailed non-Gaussian temporal fluctuation in the acceleration distribution of the pendulum, as well as the power-law distributions of corrective cart movements for skilled subjects, which was previously reported for stick balancing. We then showed that the experimental behaviors could be better described by the models with an intermittent delayed feedback controller than by those with the conventional continuous delayed feedback controller, suggesting that the human CNS stabilizes the upright posture of the pendulum by utilizing the intermittent delayed feedback-control strategy

Self-Organized Dynamics of Power Grids: Smart Grids, Fluctuations and Cascades

Climate change is one of the most pressing issues of our time and mitigating it requires a reduction of CO2 emissions. A big step towards achieving this goal is increasing the share of renewable energy sources, as the energy sector currently contributes 35% to all greenhouse gas emissions. However, integrating these renewable energy sources challenges the current power system in two major ways. Firstly, renewable generation consists of more spatially distributed and smaller power plants than conventional generation by nuclear or coal plants, questioning the established hierarchical structures and demanding a new grid design. Restructuring becomes necessary because wind and solar plants have to be placed at favorable sites, e.g., close to coasts in the case of wind. Secondly, renewables do not provide a deterministic and controllable power output but introduce power fluctuations that have to be controlled adequately. Many solutions to these challenges are build on the concept of smart grids, which require an extensive information technology (IT) infrastructure communicating between consumers and generators to coordinate efficient actions. However, an intertwined power and IT system raises great privacy and security concerns. Is it possible to forgo a large IT infrastructure in future power grids and instead operate them purely based on local information? How would such a decentrally organized system work? What is the impact of fluctuation on short time scales on the dynamical stability? Which grid topologies are robust against random failures or targeted attacks? This thesis aims to establish a framework of such a self-organized dynamics of a power grid, analyzing its benefits and limitations with respect to fluctuations and discrete events. Instead of a centrally monitored and controlled smart grid, we propose the concept of Decentral Smart Grid Control, translating local power grid frequency information into actions to stabilize the grid. This is not limited to power generators but applies equally to consumers, naturally introducing a demand response. We analyze the dynamical stability properties of this framework using linear stability methods as well as applying numerical simulations to determine the size of the basin of attraction. To do so, we investigate general stability effects and sample network motifs to find that this self-organized grid dynamics is stable for large parameter regimes. However, when the actors of the power grid react to a frequency signal, this reaction has to be sufficiently fast since reaction delays are shown to destabilize the grid. We derive expressions for a maximum delay, which always desynchronizes the system based on a rebound effect, and for destabilizing delays based on resonance effects. These resonance instabilities are cured when the frequency signal is averaged over a few seconds (low-pass filter). Overall, we propose an alternative smart grid model without any IT infrastructure and analyze its stable operating space. Furthermore, we analyze the impact of fluctuations on the power grid. First, we determine the escape time of the grid, i.e., the time until the grid desynchronizes when subject to stochastic perturbations. We simulate these events and derive an analytical expression using Kramer's method, obtaining the scaling of the escape time as a function of the grid inertia, transmitted power, damping etc. Thereby, we identify weak links in networks, which have to be enhanced to guarantee a stable operation. Second, we collect power grid frequency measurements from different regions across the world and evaluate their statistical properties. Distributions are found to be heavy-tailed so that large disturbances are more common than predicted by Gaussian statistics. We model the grid dynamics using a stochastic differential equation to derive the scaling of the fluctuations based on power grid parameters, identifying effective damping as essential in reducing fluctuation risks. This damping may be provided by increased demand control as proposed by Decentral Smart Grid Control. Finally, we investigate discrete events, in particular the failure of a single transmission line, as a complementary form of disturbances. An initial failure of a transmission line leads to additional load on other lines, potentially overloading them and thereby causing secondary outages. Hence, a cascade of failures is induced that propagated through the network, resulting in a large-scale blackout. We investigate these cascades in a combined dynamical and event-driven framework, which includes transient dynamics, in contrast to the often used steady state analysis that only solves static flows in the grid while neglecting any dynamics. Concluding, we identify critical lines, prone to cause cascades when failing, and observe a nearly constant speed of the propagation of the cascade in an appropriate metric. Overall, we investigate the self-organized dynamics of power grids, demonstrating its benefits and limitations. We provide tools to improve current grid operation and outline a smart grid solution that is not reliant on IT. Thereby, we support establishing a 100% renewable energy system

EUROPEAN CONFERENCE ON QUEUEING THEORY 2016

International audienceThis booklet contains the proceedings of the second European Conference in Queueing Theory (ECQT) that was held from the 18th to the 20th of July 2016 at the engineering school ENSEEIHT, Toulouse, France. ECQT is a biannual event where scientists and technicians in queueing theory and related areas get together to promote research, encourage interaction and exchange ideas. The spirit of the conference is to be a queueing event organized from within Europe, but open to participants from all over the world. The technical program of the 2016 edition consisted of 112 presentations organized in 29 sessions covering all trends in queueing theory, including the development of the theory, methodology advances, computational aspects and applications. Another exciting feature of ECQT2016 was the institution of the Takács Award for outstanding PhD thesis on "Queueing Theory and its Applications"