Outbreaks of coinfections: the critical role of cooperativity

Modeling epidemic dynamics plays an important role in studying how diseases spread, predicting their future course, and designing strategies to control them. In this letter, we introduce a model of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type which explicitly incorporates the effect of {\it cooperative coinfection}. More precisely, each individual can get infected by two different diseases, and an individual already infected with one disease has an increased probability to get infected by the other. Depending on the amount of this increase, we observe different threshold scenarios. Apart from the standard continuous phase transition for single disease outbreaks, we observe continuous transitions where both diseases must coexist, but also discontinuous transitions are observed, where a finite fraction of the population is already affected by both diseases at the threshold. All our results are obtained in a mean field model using rate equations, but we argue that they should hold also in more general frameworks.Comment: 5 pages, including 5 figure

Symmetry, Entropy, Diversity and (why not?) Quantum Statistics in Society

We describe society as a nonequilibrium probabilistic system: N individuals occupy W resource states in it and produce entropy S over definite time periods. Resulting thermodynamics is however unusual because a second entropy, H, measures a typically social feature, inequality or diversity in the distribution of available resources. A symmetry phase transition takes place at Gini values 1/3, where realistic distributions become asymmetric. Four constraints act on S: expectedly, N and W, and new ones, diversity and interactions between individuals; the latter result from the two coordinates of a single point in the data, the peak. The occupation number of a job is either zero or one, suggesting Fermi-Dirac statistics for employment. Contrariwise, an indefinite nujmber of individuals can occupy a state defined as a quantile of income or of age, so Bose-Einstein statistics may be required. Indistinguishability rather than anonymity of individuals and resources is thus needed. Interactions between individuals define define classes of equivalence that happen to coincide with acceptable definitions of social classes or periods in human life. The entropy S is non-extensive and obtainable from data. Theoretical laws are compared to data in four different cases of economical or physiological diversity. Acceptable fits are found for all of them.Comment: 13 pages, 2 figure

Phase separation in the vicinity of "quantum critical" doping concentration: implications for high temperature superconductors

A general quantitative measure of the tendency towards phase separation is introduced for systems exhibiting phase transitions or crossovers controlled by charge carrier concentration. This measure is devised for the situations when the quantitative knowledge of various contributions to free energy is incomplete, and is applied to evaluate the chances of electronic phase separation associated with the onset of antiferromagnetic correlations in high-temperature cuprate superconductors. The experimental phenomenology of lanthanum- and yittrium-based cuprates was used as input to this analysis. It is also pointed out that Coulomb repulsion between charge carriers separated by the distances of 1-3 lattice periods strengthens the tendency towards phase separation by accelerating the decay of antiferromagnetic correlations with doping. Overall, the present analysis indicates that cuprates are realistically close to the threshold of phase separation -- nanoscale limited or even macroscopic with charge density varying between adjacent crystal planes

Can Symmetry non-restoration solve the Monopole Problem?

We reexamine a recently proposed non-inflationary solution to the monopole problem, based on the possibility that spontaneously broken Grand-Unified symmetries do not get restored at high temperature. We go beyond leading order by studying the self-consistent one-loop equations of the model. We find large next-to-leading corrections that reverse the lowest order results and cause symmetry restoration at high temperature.Comment: 17 pages plus three coded and compressed postscript files for figure

Stabilizing Consensus with Many Opinions

We consider the following distributed consensus problem: Each node in a complete communication network of size $n$ initially holds an \emph{opinion}, which is chosen arbitrarily from a finite set $\Sigma$. The system must converge toward a consensus state in which all, or almost all nodes, hold the same opinion. Moreover, this opinion should be \emph{valid}, i.e., it should be one among those initially present in the system. This condition should be met even in the presence of an adaptive, malicious adversary who can modify the opinions of a bounded number of nodes in every round. We consider the \emph{3-majority dynamics}: At every round, every node pulls the opinion from three random neighbors and sets his new opinion to the majority one (ties are broken arbitrarily). Let $k$ be the number of valid opinions. We show that, if $k \leqslant n^{\alpha}$, where $\alpha$ is a suitable positive constant, the 3-majority dynamics converges in time polynomial in $k$ and $\log n$ with high probability even in the presence of an adversary who can affect up to $o(\sqrt{n})$ nodes at each round. Previously, the convergence of the 3-majority protocol was known for $|\Sigma| = 2$ only, with an argument that is robust to adversarial errors. On the other hand, no anonymous, uniform-gossip protocol that is robust to adversarial errors was known for $|\Sigma| > 2$

Solution of gauge theories induced by fundamental representation scalars

Gauge theories induced by scalars in the fundamental representation of the $U(N_c)_{gauge}\times U(N_f)_{global}$ group are investigated in the large $N_c$ and $N_f$ limit. A master field is defined from bilinears of the scalar field following an Eguchi-Kawai type reduction of spacetime. The density function for the master field satisfies an integral equation that can be solved exactly in two dimensions (D=2) and in a convergent series of approximations at $D>2$. While at D=2 the system is in the same phase at all $\epsilon=N_c/N_f$, it undergoes a phase transition at a critical value, $\epsilon_c(D)$, for $D>2$.Comment: 12 pages, LaTe

Predictions from Quantum Cosmology

The world view suggested by quantum cosmology is that inflating universes with all possible values of the fundamental constants are spontaneously created out of nothing. I explore the consequences of the assumption that we are a `typical' civilization living in this metauniverse. The conclusions include inflation with an extremely flat potential and low thermalization temperature, structure formation by topological defects, and an appreciable cosmological constant.Comment: (revised version), 15 page

Partial Strategyproofness: Relaxing Strategyproofness for the Random Assignment Problem

We present partial strategyproofness, a new, relaxed notion of strategyproofness for studying the incentive properties of non-strategyproof assignment mechanisms. Informally, a mechanism is partially strategyproof if it makes truthful reporting a dominant strategy for those agents whose preference intensities differ sufficiently between any two objects. We demonstrate that partial strategyproofness is axiomatically motivated and yields a parametric measure for "how strategyproof" an assignment mechanism is. We apply this new concept to derive novel insights about the incentive properties of the probabilistic serial mechanism and different variants of the Boston mechanism.Comment: Working Pape