Achieving Quality through Software Maintenance and Evolution: on the role of Agile Methodologies and Open Source Software

Agile methodologies, open source software development, and emerging new technologies are at the base of disruptive changes in software engineering. Being effort estimation pivotal for effective project management in the agile context, in the first part of the thesis we contribute to improve effort estimation by devising a real-time story point classifier, designed with the collaboration of an industrial partner and by exploiting publicly available data on open source projects. We demonstrate that, after an initial training on at least 300 issue reports, the classifier estimates a new issue in less than 15 seconds with a mean magnitude of relative error between 0.16 and 0.61. In addition, issue type, summary, description, and related components prove to be project-dependent features pivotal for story point estimation. Since story points are the most popular effort estimation metric in the agile context, in the second study presented in the thesis we investigate the role of agile methodologies in software maintenance and evolution, and prove its undoubted influence on the refactoring research field over the last 15 years. In the later part of the thesis, we focus on recent technologies to understand their impact on software engineering. We start by proposing a specialized blockchain-oriented software engineering, on the basis of the peculiar challenges the blockchain sector must confront with and statistical data retrieved from a corpus of open source blockchain-oriented software repositories, identified relying upon the 2016 Moody’s Blockchain Report. We advocate the need for new professional roles, enhanced security and reliability, novel modeling languages, and specialized metrics, along with new research directions focusing on collaboration among large teams, testing, and specialized tools for the creation of smart contracts. Along with the blockchain, in the later part of this work we also study the growing mobile sector. More specifically, we focus on the relationships between software defects and the use of the underlying system API, proving that our findings are aligned with those in the literature, namely, that the applications which are more connected to API classes are also more defect-prone. Finally, in the last work presented in the dissertation, we conducted a statistical analysis of 20 open source object-oriented systems, 10 written in the highly popular language Java and 10 in the rising language Python. We leveraged two statistical distribution functions–the log-normal and the double Pareto distributions–to provide good fits, both in Java and Python, for three metrics, namely, the NOLM, NOM, and NOS metrics. The study, among other findings, revealed that the variability of the number of methods used in Python classes is lower than in Java classes, and that Java classes, on average, feature fewer lines of code than Python classes

Predicting with sparse data

It is well known that effective prediction of project cost related factors is an important aspect of software engineering. Unfortunately, despite extensive research over more than 30 years, this remains a significant problem for many practitioners. A major obstacle is the absence of reliable and systematic historic data, yet this is a sine qua non for almost all proposed methods: statistical, machine learning or calibration of existing models. In this paper we describe our sparse data method (SDM) based upon a pairwise comparison technique and Saaty's Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Our minimum data requirement is a single known point. The technique is supported by a software tool known as DataSalvage. We show, for data from two companies, how our approach — based upon expert judgement — adds value to expert judgement by producing significantly more accurate and less biased results. A sensitivity analysis shows that our approach is robust to pairwise comparison errors. We then describe the results of a small usability trial with a practising project manager. From this empirical work we conclude that the technique is promising and may help overcome some of the present barriers to effective project prediction

A systematic review of software development cost estimation studies

This paper aims to provide a basis for the improvement of software estimation research through a systematic review of previous work. The review identifies 304 software cost estimation papers in 76 journals and classifies the papers according to research topic, estimation approach, research approach, study context and data set. A web-based library of these cost estimation papers is provided to ease the identification of relevant estimation research results. The review results combined with other knowledge provide support for recommendations for future software cost estimation research, including: 1) Increase the breadth of the search for relevant studies, 2) Search manually for relevant papers within a carefully selected set of journals when completeness is essential, 3) Conduct more studies on estimation methods commonly used by the software industry, and, 4) Increase the awareness of how properties of the data sets impact the results when evaluating estimation methods

Software-Engineering Process Simulation (SEPS) model

The Software Engineering Process Simulation (SEPS) model is described which was developed at JPL. SEPS is a dynamic simulation model of the software project development process. It uses the feedback principles of system dynamics to simulate the dynamic interactions among various software life cycle development activities and management decision making processes. The model is designed to be a planning tool to examine tradeoffs of cost, schedule, and functionality, and to test the implications of different managerial policies on a project's outcome. Furthermore, SEPS will enable software managers to gain a better understanding of the dynamics of software project development and perform postmodern assessments

Investigating effort prediction of web-based applications using CBR on the ISBSG dataset

As web-based applications become more popular and more sophisticated, so does the requirement for early accurate estimates of the effort required to build such systems. Case-based reasoning (CBR) has been shown to be a reasonably effective estimation strategy, although it has not been widely explored in the context of web applications. This paper reports on a study carried out on a subset of the ISBSG dataset to examine the optimal number of analogies that should be used in making a prediction. The results show that it is not possible to select such a value with confidence, and that, in common with other findings in different domains, the effectiveness of CBR is hampered by other factors including the characteristics of the underlying dataset (such as the spread of data and presence of outliers) and the calculation employed to evaluate the distance function (in particular, the treatment of numeric and categorical data)