On Similarities between Inference in Game Theory and Machine Learning

In this paper, we elucidate the equivalence between inference in game theory and machine learning. Our aim in so doing is to establish an equivalent vocabulary between the two domains so as to facilitate developments at the intersection of both fields, and as proof of the usefulness of this approach, we use recent developments in each field to make useful improvements to the other. More specifically, we consider the analogies between smooth best responses in fictitious play and Bayesian inference methods. Initially, we use these insights to develop and demonstrate an improved algorithm for learning in games based on probabilistic moderation. That is, by integrating over the distribution of opponent strategies (a Bayesian approach within machine learning) rather than taking a simple empirical average (the approach used in standard fictitious play) we derive a novel moderated fictitious play algorithm and show that it is more likely than standard fictitious play to converge to a payoff-dominant but risk-dominated Nash equilibrium in a simple coordination game. Furthermore we consider the converse case, and show how insights from game theory can be used to derive two improved mean field variational learning algorithms. We first show that the standard update rule of mean field variational learning is analogous to a Cournot adjustment within game theory. By analogy with fictitious play, we then suggest an improved update rule, and show that this results in fictitious variational play, an improved mean field variational learning algorithm that exhibits better convergence in highly or strongly connected graphical models. Second, we use a recent advance in fictitious play, namely dynamic fictitious play, to derive a derivative action variational learning algorithm, that exhibits superior convergence properties on a canonical machine learning problem (clustering a mixture distribution)

An Unsupervised Approach to Modelling Visual Data

For very large visual datasets, producing expert ground-truth data for training supervised algorithms can represent a substantial human effort. In these situations there is scope for the use of unsupervised approaches that can model collections of images and automatically summarise their content. The primary motivation for this thesis comes from the problem of labelling large visual datasets of the seafloor obtained by an Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV) for ecological analysis. It is expensive to label this data, as taxonomical experts for the specific region are required, whereas automatically generated summaries can be used to focus the efforts of experts, and inform decisions on additional sampling. The contributions in this thesis arise from modelling this visual data in entirely unsupervised ways to obtain comprehensive visual summaries. Firstly, popular unsupervised image feature learning approaches are adapted to work with large datasets and unsupervised clustering algorithms. Next, using Bayesian models the performance of rudimentary scene clustering is boosted by sharing clusters between multiple related datasets, such as regular photo albums or AUV surveys. These Bayesian scene clustering models are extended to simultaneously cluster sub-image segments to form unsupervised notions of “objects” within scenes. The frequency distribution of these objects within scenes is used as the scene descriptor for simultaneous scene clustering. Finally, this simultaneous clustering model is extended to make use of whole image descriptors, which encode rudimentary spatial information, as well as object frequency distributions to describe scenes. This is achieved by unifying the previously presented Bayesian clustering models, and in so doing rectifies some of their weaknesses and limitations. Hence, the final contribution of this thesis is a practical unsupervised algorithm for modelling images from the super-pixel to album levels, and is applicable to large datasets

Generative probabilistic models for image retrieval

Searching for information is a recurring problem that almost everyone has faced at some point. Being in a library looking for a book, searching through newspapers and magazines for an old article or searching through emails for an old conversation with a colleague are some examples of the searching activity. These are some of the many situations where someone; the “user”; has some vague idea of the information he is looking for; an “information need”; and is searching through a large number of documents, emails or articles; “information items”; to find the most “relevant” item for his purpose. In this thesis we study the problem of retrieving images from large image archives. We consider two different approaches for image retrieval. The first approach is content based image retrieval where the user is searching images using a query image. The second approach is semantic retrieval where the users expresses his query using keywords. We proposed a unified framework to treat both approaches using generative probabilistic models in order to rank and classify images with respect to user queries. The methodology presented in this Thesis is evaluated on a real image collection and compared against state of the art methods

Dirichlet Methods for Bayesian Source Detection in Radio Astronomy Images

The sheer volume of data to be produced by the next generation of radio telescopes—exabytes of data on hundreds of millions of objects—makes automated methods for the detection of astronomical objects ("sources") essential. Of particular importance are low surface brightness objects, which are not well found by current automated methods. This thesis explores Bayesian methods for source detection that use Dirichlet or multinomial models for pixel intensity distributions in discretised radio astronomy images. A novel image discretisation method that incorporates uncertainty about how the image should be discretised is developed. Latent Dirichlet allocation — a method originally developed for inferring latent topics in document collections — is used to estimate source and background distributions in radio astronomy images. A new Dirichlet-multinomial ratio, indicating how well a region conforms to a well-specified model of background versus a loosely-specified model of foreground, is derived. Finally, latent Dirichlet allocation and the Dirichlet-multinomial ratio are combined for source detection in astronomical images. The methods developed in this thesis perform source detection well in comparison to two widely-used source detection packages and, importantly, find dim sources not well found by other algorithms