19,070 research outputs found
Using ordinal logistic regression to evaluate the performance of laser-Doppler predictions of burn-healing time
Background
Laser-Doppler imaging (LDI) of cutaneous blood flow is beginning to be used by burn surgeons to predict the healing time of burn wounds; predicted healing time is used to determine wound treatment as either dressings or surgery. In this paper, we do a statistical analysis of the performance of the technique.
Methods
We used data from a study carried out by five burn centers: LDI was done once between days 2 to 5 post burn, and healing was assessed at both 14 days and 21 days post burn. Random-effects ordinal logistic regression and other models such as the continuation ratio model were used to model healing-time as a function of the LDI data, and of demographic and wound history variables. Statistical methods were also used to study the false-color palette, which enables the laser-Doppler imager to be used by clinicians as a decision-support tool.
Results
Overall performance is that diagnoses are over 90% correct. Related questions addressed were what was the best blood flow summary statistic and whether, given the blood flow measurements, demographic and observational variables had any additional predictive power (age, sex, race, % total body surface area burned (%TBSA), site and cause of burn, day of LDI scan, burn center). It was found that mean laser-Doppler flux over a wound area was the best statistic, and that, given the same mean flux, women recover slightly more slowly than men. Further, the likely degradation in predictive performance on moving to a patient group with larger %TBSA than those in the data sample was studied, and shown to be small.
Conclusion
Modeling healing time is a complex statistical problem, with random effects due to multiple burn areas per individual, and censoring caused by patients missing hospital visits and undergoing surgery. This analysis applies state-of-the art statistical methods such as the bootstrap and permutation tests to a medical problem of topical interest. New medical findings are that age and %TBSA are not important predictors of healing time when the LDI results are known, whereas gender does influence recovery time, even when blood flow is controlled for.
The conclusion regarding the palette is that an optimum three-color palette can be chosen 'automatically', but the optimum choice of a 5-color palette cannot be made solely by optimizing the percentage of correct diagnoses
Deep learning cardiac motion analysis for human survival prediction
Motion analysis is used in computer vision to understand the behaviour of
moving objects in sequences of images. Optimising the interpretation of dynamic
biological systems requires accurate and precise motion tracking as well as
efficient representations of high-dimensional motion trajectories so that these
can be used for prediction tasks. Here we use image sequences of the heart,
acquired using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, to create time-resolved
three-dimensional segmentations using a fully convolutional network trained on
anatomical shape priors. This dense motion model formed the input to a
supervised denoising autoencoder (4Dsurvival), which is a hybrid network
consisting of an autoencoder that learns a task-specific latent code
representation trained on observed outcome data, yielding a latent
representation optimised for survival prediction. To handle right-censored
survival outcomes, our network used a Cox partial likelihood loss function. In
a study of 302 patients the predictive accuracy (quantified by Harrell's
C-index) was significantly higher (p < .0001) for our model C=0.73 (95 CI:
0.68 - 0.78) than the human benchmark of C=0.59 (95 CI: 0.53 - 0.65). This
work demonstrates how a complex computer vision task using high-dimensional
medical image data can efficiently predict human survival
Identifying stochastic oscillations in single-cell live imaging time series using Gaussian processes
Multiple biological processes are driven by oscillatory gene expression at
different time scales. Pulsatile dynamics are thought to be widespread, and
single-cell live imaging of gene expression has lead to a surge of dynamic,
possibly oscillatory, data for different gene networks. However, the regulation
of gene expression at the level of an individual cell involves reactions
between finite numbers of molecules, and this can result in inherent randomness
in expression dynamics, which blurs the boundaries between aperiodic
fluctuations and noisy oscillators. Thus, there is an acute need for an
objective statistical method for classifying whether an experimentally derived
noisy time series is periodic. Here we present a new data analysis method that
combines mechanistic stochastic modelling with the powerful methods of
non-parametric regression with Gaussian processes. Our method can distinguish
oscillatory gene expression from random fluctuations of non-oscillatory
expression in single-cell time series, despite peak-to-peak variability in
period and amplitude of single-cell oscillations. We show that our method
outperforms the Lomb-Scargle periodogram in successfully classifying cells as
oscillatory or non-oscillatory in data simulated from a simple genetic
oscillator model and in experimental data. Analysis of bioluminescent live cell
imaging shows a significantly greater number of oscillatory cells when
luciferase is driven by a {\it Hes1} promoter (10/19), which has previously
been reported to oscillate, than the constitutive MoMuLV 5' LTR (MMLV) promoter
(0/25). The method can be applied to data from any gene network to both
quantify the proportion of oscillating cells within a population and to measure
the period and quality of oscillations. It is publicly available as a MATLAB
package.Comment: 36 pages, 17 figure
Implementation of the Random Forest Method for the Imaging Atmospheric Cherenkov Telescope MAGIC
The paper describes an application of the tree classification method Random
Forest (RF), as used in the analysis of data from the ground-based gamma
telescope MAGIC. In such telescopes, cosmic gamma-rays are observed and have to
be discriminated against a dominating background of hadronic cosmic-ray
particles. We describe the application of RF for this gamma/hadron separation.
The RF method often shows superior performance in comparison with traditional
semi-empirical techniques. Critical issues of the method and its implementation
are discussed. An application of the RF method for estimation of a continuous
parameter from related variables, rather than discrete classes, is also
discussed.Comment: 16 pages, 8 figure
Wavelet Features for Recognition of First Episode of Schizophrenia from MRI Brain Images
Machine learning methods are increasingly used in various fields of medicine, contributing to early diagnosis and better quality of care. These outputs are particularly desirable in case of neuropsychiatric disorders, such as schizophrenia, due to the inherent potential for creating a new gold standard in the diagnosis and differentiation of particular disorders. This paper presents a scheme for automated classification from magnetic resonance images based on multiresolution representation in the wavelet domain. Implementation of the proposed algorithm, utilizing support vector machines classifier, is introduced and tested on a dataset containing 104 patients with first episode schizophrenia and healthy volunteers. Optimal parameters of different phases of the algorithm are sought and the quality of classification is estimated by robust cross validation techniques. Values of accuracy, sensitivity and specificity over 71% are achieved
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