11,241 research outputs found
Literal Perceptual Inference
In this paper, I argue that theories of perception that appeal to Helmholtz’s idea of unconscious inference (“Helmholtzian” theories) should be taken literally, i.e. that the inferences appealed to in such theories are inferences in the full sense of the term, as employed elsewhere in philosophy and in ordinary discourse.
In the course of the argument, I consider constraints on inference based on the idea that inference is a deliberate acton, and on the idea that inferences depend on the syntactic structure of representations. I argue that inference is a personal-level but sometimes unconscious process that cannot in general be distinguished from association on the basis of the structures of the representations over which it’s defined. I also critique arguments against representationalist interpretations of Helmholtzian theories, and argue against the view that perceptual inference is encapsulated in a module
Modelos Bayesianos gráficos jerárquicos en psicología
El mejoramiento de los métodos gráficos en la investigación en psicología puede promover su uso y una mejor compresión de su poder de expresión. La aplicación de modelos Bayesianos gráficos jerárquicos se ha vuelto más frecuente en la investigación en psicología. El objetivo de este trabajo es introducir sugerencias para el mejoramiento de los modelos Bayesianos gráficos jerárquicos en psicología. Este conjunto de sugerencias se apoya en la descripción y comparación entre los dos enfoques principales con el uso de notación y pictogramas de distribución. Se concluye que la combinación de los aspectos relevantes de ambos puede mejorar el uso de los modelos Bayesianos gráficos jerárquicos en psicología.The improvement of graphical methods in psychological research can promote their use and a better comprehension of their expressive power. The application of hierarchical Bayesian graphical models has recently become more frequent in psychological research. The aim of this contribution is to introduce suggestions for the improvement of hierarchical Bayesian graphical models in psychology. This novel set of suggestions stems from the description and comparison between two main approaches concerned with the use of plate notation and distribution pictograms. It is concluded that the combination of relevant aspects of both models might improve the use of powerful hierarchical Bayesian graphical models in psychology.Fil: Campitelli, Guillermo Jorge. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Edith Cowan University; AustraliaFil: Macbeth, Guillermo Eduardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Entre Ríos. Facultad de Ciencias de la Educación; Argentin
KR: An Architecture for Knowledge Representation and Reasoning in Robotics
This paper describes an architecture that combines the complementary
strengths of declarative programming and probabilistic graphical models to
enable robots to represent, reason with, and learn from, qualitative and
quantitative descriptions of uncertainty and knowledge. An action language is
used for the low-level (LL) and high-level (HL) system descriptions in the
architecture, and the definition of recorded histories in the HL is expanded to
allow prioritized defaults. For any given goal, tentative plans created in the
HL using default knowledge and commonsense reasoning are implemented in the LL
using probabilistic algorithms, with the corresponding observations used to
update the HL history. Tight coupling between the two levels enables automatic
selection of relevant variables and generation of suitable action policies in
the LL for each HL action, and supports reasoning with violation of defaults,
noisy observations and unreliable actions in large and complex domains. The
architecture is evaluated in simulation and on physical robots transporting
objects in indoor domains; the benefit on robots is a reduction in task
execution time of 39% compared with a purely probabilistic, but still
hierarchical, approach.Comment: The paper appears in the Proceedings of the 15th International
Workshop on Non-Monotonic Reasoning (NMR 2014
Continuous Improvement Through Knowledge-Guided Analysis in Experience Feedback
Continuous improvement in industrial processes is increasingly a key element of competitiveness for industrial systems. The management of experience feedback in this framework is designed to build, analyze and facilitate the knowledge sharing among problem solving practitioners of an organization in order to improve processes and products achievement. During Problem Solving Processes, the intellectual investment of experts is often considerable and the opportunities for expert knowledge exploitation are numerous: decision making, problem solving under uncertainty, and expert configuration. In this paper, our contribution relates to the structuring of a cognitive experience feedback framework, which allows a flexible exploitation of expert knowledge during Problem Solving Processes and a reuse such collected experience. To that purpose, the proposed approach uses the general principles of root cause analysis for identifying the root causes of problems or events, the conceptual graphs formalism for the semantic conceptualization of the domain vocabulary and the Transferable Belief Model for the fusion of information from different sources. The underlying formal reasoning mechanisms (logic-based semantics) in conceptual graphs enable intelligent information retrieval for the effective exploitation of lessons learned from past projects. An example will illustrate the application of the proposed approach of experience feedback processes formalization in the transport industry sector
The VEX-93 environment as a hybrid tool for developing knowledge systems with different problem solving techniques
The paper describes VEX-93 as a hybrid environment for developing
knowledge-based and problem solver systems. It integrates methods and
techniques from artificial intelligence, image and signal processing and
data analysis, which can be mixed. Two hierarchical levels of reasoning
contains an intelligent toolbox with one upper strategic inference engine
and four lower ones containing specific reasoning models: truth-functional
(rule-based), probabilistic (causal networks), fuzzy (rule-based) and
case-based (frames). There are image/signal processing-analysis capabilities
in the form of programming languages with more than one hundred primitive
functions.
User-made programs are embeddable within knowledge basis, allowing the
combination of perception and reasoning. The data analyzer toolbox contains
a collection of numerical classification, pattern recognition and ordination
methods, with neural network tools and a data base query language at
inference engines's disposal.
VEX-93 is an open system able to communicate with external computer programs
relevant to a particular application. Metaknowledge can be used for
elaborate conclusions, and man-machine interaction includes, besides windows
and graphical interfaces, acceptance of voice commands and production of
speech output.
The system was conceived for real-world applications in general domains, but
an example of a concrete medical diagnostic support system at present under
completion as a cuban-spanish project is mentioned.
Present version of VEX-93 is a huge system composed by about one and half
millions of lines of C code and runs in microcomputers under Windows 3.1.Postprint (published version
CBR and MBR techniques: review for an application in the emergencies domain
The purpose of this document is to provide an in-depth analysis of current reasoning engine practice and the integration strategies of Case Based Reasoning and Model Based Reasoning that will be used in the design and development of the RIMSAT system.
RIMSAT (Remote Intelligent Management Support and Training) is a European Commission funded project designed to:
a.. Provide an innovative, 'intelligent', knowledge based solution aimed at improving the quality of critical decisions
b.. Enhance the competencies and responsiveness of individuals and organisations involved in highly complex, safety critical incidents - irrespective of their location.
In other words, RIMSAT aims to design and implement a decision support system that using Case Base Reasoning as well as Model Base Reasoning technology is applied in the management of emergency situations.
This document is part of a deliverable for RIMSAT project, and although it has been done in close contact with the requirements of the project, it provides an overview wide enough for providing a state of the art in integration strategies between CBR and MBR technologies.Postprint (published version
Multiple Quantitative Trait Analysis Using Bayesian Networks
Models for genome-wide prediction and association studies usually target a
single phenotypic trait. However, in animal and plant genetics it is common to
record information on multiple phenotypes for each individual that will be
genotyped. Modeling traits individually disregards the fact that they are most
likely associated due to pleiotropy and shared biological basis, thus providing
only a partial, confounded view of genetic effects and phenotypic interactions.
In this paper we use data from a Multiparent Advanced Generation Inter-Cross
(MAGIC) winter wheat population to explore Bayesian networks as a convenient
and interpretable framework for the simultaneous modeling of multiple
quantitative traits. We show that they are equivalent to multivariate genetic
best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP), and that they are competitive with
single-trait elastic net and single-trait GBLUP in predictive performance.
Finally, we discuss their relationship with other additive-effects models and
their advantages in inference and interpretation. MAGIC populations provide an
ideal setting for this kind of investigation because the very low population
structure and large sample size result in predictive models with good power and
limited confounding due to relatedness.Comment: 28 pages, 1 figure, code at
http://www.bnlearn.com/research/genetics1
Backwards is the way forward: feedback in the cortical hierarchy predicts the expected future
Clark offers a powerful description of the brain as a prediction machine, which offers progress on two distinct levels. First, on an abstract conceptual level, it provides a unifying framework for perception, action, and cognition (including subdivisions such as attention, expectation, and imagination). Second, hierarchical prediction offers progress on a concrete descriptive level for testing and constraining conceptual elements and mechanisms of predictive coding models (estimation of predictions, prediction errors, and internal models)
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