921 research outputs found
Frequency-Domain Stochastic Modeling of Stationary Bivariate or Complex-Valued Signals
There are three equivalent ways of representing two jointly observed
real-valued signals: as a bivariate vector signal, as a single complex-valued
signal, or as two analytic signals known as the rotary components. Each
representation has unique advantages depending on the system of interest and
the application goals. In this paper we provide a joint framework for all three
representations in the context of frequency-domain stochastic modeling. This
framework allows us to extend many established statistical procedures for
bivariate vector time series to complex-valued and rotary representations.
These include procedures for parametrically modeling signal coherence,
estimating model parameters using the Whittle likelihood, performing
semi-parametric modeling, and choosing between classes of nested models using
model choice. We also provide a new method of testing for impropriety in
complex-valued signals, which tests for noncircular or anisotropic second-order
statistical structure when the signal is represented in the complex plane.
Finally, we demonstrate the usefulness of our methodology in capturing the
anisotropic structure of signals observed from fluid dynamic simulations of
turbulence.Comment: To appear in IEEE Transactions on Signal Processin
Local Analysis of Dissipative Dynamical Systems
Linear transformation techniques such as singular value decomposition (SVD)
have been used widely to gain insight into the qualitative dynamics of data
generated by dynamical systems. There have been several reports in the past
that had pointed out the susceptibility of linear transformation approaches in
the presence of nonlinear correlations. In this tutorial review, local
dispersion along with the surrogate testing is proposed to discriminate
nonlinear correlations arising in deterministic and non-deterministic settings.Comment: 85 Pages, 13 Figure
On the identification and parametric modelling of offshore dynamic systems
This thesis describes an investigation into the analysis methods arising from identification aspects of the theory of dynamic systems with application to full-scale offshore monitoring and marine environmental data including target spectra. Based on the input and output of the dynamic system, the System Identification (SI) techniques are used first to identify the model type and then to estimate the model parameters. This work also gives an understanding of how to obtain a meaningful matching between the target (power spectra or time series data sets) and SI models with minimal loss of information. The SI techniques, namely. Autoregressive (AR), Moving Average (MA) and Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) algorithms are formulated in the frequency domain and also in the time domain. The above models can only be economically applicable provided the model order is low in the sense that it is computationally efficient and the lower order model can most appropriately represent the offshore time series records or the target spectra. For this purpose, the orders of the above SI models are optimally selected by Least Squares Error, Akaike Information Criterion and Minimum Description Length methods. A novel model order reduction technique is established to obtain the reduced order ARMA model. At first estimations of higher order AR coefficients are determined using modified Yule-Walker equations and then the first and second order real modes and their energies are determined. Considering only the higher energy modes, the AR part of the reduced order ARMA model is obtained. The MA part of the reduced order ARMA model is determined based on partial fraction and recursive methods. This model order reduction technique can remove the spurious noise modes which are present in the time series data. Therefore, firstly using an initial optimal AR model and then a model order reduction technique, the time series data or target spectrum can be reduced to a few parameters which are the coefficients of the reduced order ARMA model. The above univariate SI models and model order reduction techniques are successfully applied for marine environmental and structural monitoring data, including ocean waves, semi-submersible heave motions, monohull crane vessel motions and theoretical (Pierson- Moskowitz and JONSWAP) spectra. Univariate SI models are developed based on the assumption that the offshore dynamic systems are stationary random processes. For nonstationary processes, such as, measurements of combined sea waves and swells, or coupled responses of offshore structures with short period and long period motions, the time series are modelled by the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average algorithms. The multivariate autoregressive (MAR) algorithm is developed to reduce the time series wave data sets into MAR model parameters. The MAR algorithms are described by feedback weighting coefficients matrices and the driving noise vector. These are obtained based on the estimation of the partial correlation of the time series data sets. Here the appropriate model order is selected based on auto and cross correlations and multivariate Akaike information criterion methods. These algorithms are applied to estimate MAR power spectral density spectra and then phase and coherence spectra of two time series wave data sets collected at a North Sea location. The estimation of MAR power spectral densities are compared with spectral estimates computed from a two variable fast Fourier transform, which show good agreement
Forecasting high waters at Venice Lagoon using chaotic time series analisys and nonlinear neural netwoks
Time series analysis using nonlinear dynamics systems theory and multilayer neural networks models have been applied to the time sequence of water level data recorded every hour at 'Punta della Salute' from Venice Lagoon during the years 1980-1994. The first method is based on the reconstruction of the state space attractor using time delay embedding vectors and on the characterisation of invariant properties which define its dynamics. The results suggest the existence of a low dimensional chaotic attractor with a Lyapunov dimension, DL, of around 6.6 and a predictability between 8 and 13 hours ahead. Furthermore, once the attractor has been reconstructed it is possible to make predictions by mapping local-neighbourhood to local-neighbourhood in the reconstructed phase space. To compare the prediction results with another nonlinear method, two nonlinear autoregressive models (NAR) based on multilayer feedforward neural networks have been developed. From the study, it can be observed that nonlinear forecasting produces adequate results for the 'normal' dynamic behaviour of the water level of Venice Lagoon, outperforming linear algorithms, however, both methods fail to forecast the 'high water' phenomenon more than 2-3 hours ahead.Publicad
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