19,804 research outputs found
Graphical models for the identification of causal structures in multivariate time series models
In this paper we present a semi-automated search pro-cedure to deal with the problem of the identication of the contemporaneous causal structure connected to a large class of multivariate time series models. We refe
Graphical modelling of multivariate time series
We introduce graphical time series models for the analysis of dynamic
relationships among variables in multivariate time series. The modelling
approach is based on the notion of strong Granger causality and can be applied
to time series with non-linear dependencies. The models are derived from
ordinary time series models by imposing constraints that are encoded by mixed
graphs. In these graphs each component series is represented by a single vertex
and directed edges indicate possible Granger-causal relationships between
variables while undirected edges are used to map the contemporaneous dependence
structure. We introduce various notions of Granger-causal Markov properties and
discuss the relationships among them and to other Markov properties that can be
applied in this context.Comment: 33 pages, 7 figures, to appear in Probability Theory and Related
Field
Communication Theoretic Data Analytics
Widespread use of the Internet and social networks invokes the generation of
big data, which is proving to be useful in a number of applications. To deal
with explosively growing amounts of data, data analytics has emerged as a
critical technology related to computing, signal processing, and information
networking. In this paper, a formalism is considered in which data is modeled
as a generalized social network and communication theory and information theory
are thereby extended to data analytics. First, the creation of an equalizer to
optimize information transfer between two data variables is considered, and
financial data is used to demonstrate the advantages. Then, an information
coupling approach based on information geometry is applied for dimensionality
reduction, with a pattern recognition example to illustrate the effectiveness.
These initial trials suggest the potential of communication theoretic data
analytics for a wide range of applications.Comment: Published in IEEE Journal on Selected Areas in Communications, Jan.
201
Algorithms of causal inference for the analysis of effective connectivity among brain regions
In recent years, powerful general algorithms of causal inference have been developed. In particular, in the framework of Pearl’s causality, algorithms of inductive causation (IC and IC*) provide a procedure to determine which causal connections among nodes in a network can be inferred from empirical observations even in the presence of latent variables, indicating the limits of what can be learned without active manipulation of the system. These algorithms can in principle become important complements to established techniques such as Granger causality and Dynamic Causal Modeling (DCM) to analyze causal influences (effective connectivity) among brain regions. However, their application to dynamic processes has not been yet examined. Here we study how to apply these algorithms to time-varying signals such as electrophysiological or neuroimaging signals. We propose a new algorithm which combines the basic principles of the previous algorithms with Granger causality to obtain a representation of the causal relations suited to dynamic processes. Furthermore, we use graphical criteria to predict dynamic statistical dependencies between the signals from the causal structure. We show how some problems for causal inference from neural signals (e.g., measurement noise, hemodynamic responses, and time aggregation) can be understood in a general graphical approach. Focusing on the effect of spatial aggregation, we show that when causal inference is performed at a coarser scale than the one at which the neural sources interact, results strongly depend on the degree of integration of the neural sources aggregated in the signals, and thus characterize more the intra-areal properties than the interactions among regions. We finally discuss how the explicit consideration of latent processes contributes to understand Granger causality and DCM as well as to distinguish functional and effective connectivity
Generalized Network Psychometrics: Combining Network and Latent Variable Models
We introduce the network model as a formal psychometric model,
conceptualizing the covariance between psychometric indicators as resulting
from pairwise interactions between observable variables in a network structure.
This contrasts with standard psychometric models, in which the covariance
between test items arises from the influence of one or more common latent
variables. Here, we present two generalizations of the network model that
encompass latent variable structures, establishing network modeling as parts of
the more general framework of Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). In the first
generalization, we model the covariance structure of latent variables as a
network. We term this framework Latent Network Modeling (LNM) and show that,
with LNM, a unique structure of conditional independence relationships between
latent variables can be obtained in an explorative manner. In the second
generalization, the residual variance-covariance structure of indicators is
modeled as a network. We term this generalization Residual Network Modeling
(RNM) and show that, within this framework, identifiable models can be obtained
in which local independence is structurally violated. These generalizations
allow for a general modeling framework that can be used to fit, and compare,
SEM models, network models, and the RNM and LNM generalizations. This
methodology has been implemented in the free-to-use software package lvnet,
which contains confirmatory model testing as well as two exploratory search
algorithms: stepwise search algorithms for low-dimensional datasets and
penalized maximum likelihood estimation for larger datasets. We show in
simulation studies that these search algorithms performs adequately in
identifying the structure of the relevant residual or latent networks. We
further demonstrate the utility of these generalizations in an empirical
example on a personality inventory dataset.Comment: Published in Psychometrik
Disentangling causal webs in the brain using functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging: A review of current approaches
In the past two decades, functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging has been used
to relate neuronal network activity to cognitive processing and behaviour.
Recently this approach has been augmented by algorithms that allow us to infer
causal links between component populations of neuronal networks. Multiple
inference procedures have been proposed to approach this research question but
so far, each method has limitations when it comes to establishing whole-brain
connectivity patterns. In this work, we discuss eight ways to infer causality
in fMRI research: Bayesian Nets, Dynamical Causal Modelling, Granger Causality,
Likelihood Ratios, LiNGAM, Patel's Tau, Structural Equation Modelling, and
Transfer Entropy. We finish with formulating some recommendations for the
future directions in this area
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