Generalized F-tests for the Multivariate Normal Mean

Based on Lauter\u27s (Biometrics, 1996) exact t test for biometrical studies related to the multivariate normal mean, we develop a generalized F-test for the multivariate normal mean and extend it to multiple comparison. The proposed generalized F- tests have simple approximate null distributions. A Monte Carlo study and two real examples show that the generalized F-test is at least as good as the optional individual LÄauter\u27s test and can improve its performance in some situations where the projection directions for the LÄauter\u27s test may not be suitably chosen. It is discussed that the generalized F-test could be superior to individual Lauter\u27s tests and the classical Hotelling T2-test for the general purpose of testing the multivariate normal mean. It is shown by Monte Carlo studies that the extended generalized F- test outperforms the commonly-used classical test for multiple comparison of normal means in the case of high dimension with small sample sizes. AMS Classification: 62F03; 62F0

Bayesian Model Choice of Grouped t-copula

One of the most popular copulas for modeling dependence structures is t-copula. Recently the grouped t-copula was generalized to allow each group to have one member only, so that a priori grouping is not required and the dependence modeling is more flexible. This paper describes a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method under the Bayesian inference framework for estimating and choosing t-copula models. Using historical data of foreign exchange (FX) rates as a case study, we found that Bayesian model choice criteria overwhelmingly favor the generalized t-copula. In addition, all the criteria also agree on the second most likely model and these inferences are all consistent with classical likelihood ratio tests. Finally, we demonstrate the impact of model choice on the conditional Value-at-Risk for portfolios of six major FX rates

Flexible modelling in statistics: past, present and future

In times where more and more data become available and where the data exhibit rather complex structures (significant departure from symmetry, heavy or light tails), flexible modelling has become an essential task for statisticians as well as researchers and practitioners from domains such as economics, finance or environmental sciences. This is reflected by the wealth of existing proposals for flexible distributions; well-known examples are Azzalini's skew-normal, Tukey's $g$-and-$h$, mixture and two-piece distributions, to cite but these. My aim in the present paper is to provide an introduction to this research field, intended to be useful both for novices and professionals of the domain. After a description of the research stream itself, I will narrate the gripping history of flexible modelling, starring emblematic heroes from the past such as Edgeworth and Pearson, then depict three of the most used flexible families of distributions, and finally provide an outlook on future flexible modelling research by posing challenging open questions.Comment: 27 pages, 4 figure

On high-dimensional sign tests

Sign tests are among the most successful procedures in multivariate nonparametric statistics. In this paper, we consider several testing problems in multivariate analysis, directional statistics and multivariate time series analysis, and we show that, under appropriate symmetry assumptions, the fixed-$p$ multivariate sign tests remain valid in the high-dimensional case. Remarkably, our asymptotic results are universal, in the sense that, unlike in most previous works in high-dimensional statistics, $p$ may go to infinity in an arbitrary way as $n$ does. We conduct simulations that (i) confirm our asymptotic results, (ii) reveal that, even for relatively large $p$, chi-square critical values are to be favoured over the (asymptotically equivalent) Gaussian ones and (iii) show that, for testing i.i.d.-ness against serial dependence in the high-dimensional case, Portmanteau sign tests outperform their competitors in terms of validity-robustness.Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.3150/15-BEJ710 in the Bernoulli (http://isi.cbs.nl/bernoulli/) by the International Statistical Institute/Bernoulli Society (http://isi.cbs.nl/BS/bshome.htm