AI and OR in management of operations: history and trends

The last decade has seen a considerable growth in the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) for operations management with the aim of finding solutions to problems that are increasing in complexity and scale. This paper begins by setting the context for the survey through a historical perspective of OR and AI. An extensive survey of applications of AI techniques for operations management, covering a total of over 1200 papers published from 1995 to 2004 is then presented. The survey utilizes Elsevier's ScienceDirect database as a source. Hence, the survey may not cover all the relevant journals but includes a sufficiently wide range of publications to make it representative of the research in the field. The papers are categorized into four areas of operations management: (a) design, (b) scheduling, (c) process planning and control and (d) quality, maintenance and fault diagnosis. Each of the four areas is categorized in terms of the AI techniques used: genetic algorithms, case-based reasoning, knowledge-based systems, fuzzy logic and hybrid techniques. The trends over the last decade are identified, discussed with respect to expected trends and directions for future work suggested

Multilevel SVM and AI based Transformer Fault Diagnosis using the DGA Data

The Dissolved Gas Analysis (DGA) is utilized as a test for the detection of incipient prob-lems in transformers, and condition monitoring of transformers using software-based diagnosis tools has become crucial. This research uses dissolved gas analysis as an intel-ligent fault classification of a transformer. The Multilayer SVM technique is used to de-termine the classification of faults and the name of the gas. The learned classifier in the multilayer SVM is trained with the training samples and can classify the state as normal or fault state, which contains six fault categories. In this paper, polynomial and Gaussi-an functions are utilized to assess the effectiveness of SVM diagnosis. The results demonstrate that the combination ratios and graphical representation technique is more suitable as a gas signature, and that the SVM with the Gaussian function outperforms the other kernel functions in diagnosis accuracy

Development of a quantitative health index and diagnostic method for efficient asset management of power transformers

Power transformers play a very important role in electrical power networks and are frequently operated longer than their expected design life. Therefore, to ensure their best operating performance in a transmission network, the fault condition of each transformer must be assessed regularly. For an accurate fault diagnosis, it is important to have maximum information about an individual transformer based on unbiased measurements. This can best be achieved using artificial intelligence (AI) that can systematically analyse the complex features of diagnostic measurements. Clustering techniques are a form of AI that is particularly well suited to fault diagnosis. To provide an assessment of transformers, a hybrid k-means algorithm, and probabilistic Parzen window estimation are used in this research. The clusters they form are representative of a single or multiple fault categories. The proposed technique computes the maximum probability of transformers in each cluster to determine their fault categories. The main focus of this research is to determine a quantitative health index (HI) to characterize the operating condition of transformers. Condition assessment tries to detect incipient faults before they become too serious, which requires a sensitive and quantified approach. Therefore, the HI needs to come from a proportionate system that can estimate health condition of transformers over time. To quantify this condition, the General Regression Neural Network (GRNN), a type of AI, has been chosen in this research. The GRNN works well with small sets of training data and avoids the needs to estimate large sets of model parameters, following a largely non-parametric approach. The methodology used here regards transformers as a collection of subsystems and summarizes their individual condition into a quantified HI based on the existing agreed benchmarks drawn from IEEE and CIGRE standards. To better calibrate the HI, it may be mapped to a failure probability estimate for each transformer over the coming year. Experimental results of the research show that the proposed methods are more effective than previously published approaches when diagnosing critical faults. Moreover, this novel HI approach can provide a comprehensive assessment of transformers based on the actual condition of their individual subsystems

Development of a quantitative health index and diagnostic method for efficient asset management of power transformers

Power transformers play a very important role in electrical power networks and are frequently operated longer than their expected design life. Therefore, to ensure their best operating performance in a transmission network, the fault condition of each transformer must be assessed regularly. For an accurate fault diagnosis, it is important to have maximum information about an individual transformer based on unbiased measurements. This can best be achieved using artificial intelligence (AI) that can systematically analyse the complex features of diagnostic measurements. Clustering techniques are a form of AI that is particularly well suited to fault diagnosis. To provide an assessment of transformers, a hybrid k-means algorithm, and probabilistic Parzen window estimation are used in this research. The clusters they form are representative of a single or multiple fault categories. The proposed technique computes the maximum probability of transformers in each cluster to determine their fault categories. The main focus of this research is to determine a quantitative health index (HI) to characterize the operating condition of transformers. Condition assessment tries to detect incipient faults before they become too serious, which requires a sensitive and quantified approach. Therefore, the HI needs to come from a proportionate system that can estimate health condition of transformers over time. To quantify this condition, the General Regression Neural Network (GRNN), a type of AI, has been chosen in this research. The GRNN works well with small sets of training data and avoids the needs to estimate large sets of model parameters, following a largely non-parametric approach. The methodology used here regards transformers as a collection of subsystems and summarizes their individual condition into a quantified HI based on the existing agreed benchmarks drawn from IEEE and CIGRE standards. To better calibrate the HI, it may be mapped to a failure probability estimate for each transformer over the coming year. Experimental results of the research show that the proposed methods are more effective than previously published approaches when diagnosing critical faults. Moreover, this novel HI approach can provide a comprehensive assessment of transformers based on the actual condition of their individual subsystems

Application of Machine Learning Methods for Asset Management on Power Distribution Networks

This study aims to study the different kinds of Machine Learning (ML) models and their working principles for asset management in power networks. Also, it investigates the challenges behind asset management and its maintenance activities. In this review article, Machine Learning (ML) models are analyzed to improve the lifespan of the electrical components based on the maintenance management and assessment planning policies. The articles are categorized according to their purpose: 1) classification, 2) machine learning, and 3) artificial intelligence mechanisms. Moreover, the importance of using ML models for proper decision making based on the asset management plan is illustrated in a detailed manner. In addition to this, a comparative analysis between the ML models is performed, identifying the advantages and disadvantages of these techniques. Then, the challenges and managing operations of the asset management strategies are discussed based on the technical and economic factors. The proper functioning, maintenance and controlling operations of the electric components are key challenging and demanding tasks in the power distribution systems. Typically, asset management plays an essential role in determining the quality and profitability of the elements in the power network. Based on this investigation, the most suitable and optimal machine learning technique can be identified and used for future work. Doi: 10.28991/ESJ-2022-06-04-017 Full Text: PD

비표지 고장 데이터와 유중가스분석데이터를 이용한 딥러닝기반 주변압기 고장진단 연구

학위논문(박사) -- 서울대학교대학원 : 공과대학 기계항공공학부, 2021.8. 소재웅.오늘날 산업의 급속한 발전과 고도화로 인해 안전하고 신뢰할 수 있는 전력 계통에 대한 수요는 더욱 중요해지고 있다. 따라서 실제 산업 현장에서는 주변압기의 안전한 작동을 위해 상태를 정확하게 진단할 수 있는 prognostics and health management (PHM)와 같은 기술이 필요하다. 주변압기 진단을 위해 개발된 다양한 방법 중 인공지능(AI) 기반 접근법은 산업과 학계에서 많은 관심을 받고 있다. 더욱이 방대한 데이터와 함께 높은 성능을 달성하는 딥 러닝 기술은 주변압기 고장 진단의 학자들에게 높은 관심을 갖게 해줬다. 그 이유는 딥 러닝 기술이 시스템의 도메인 지식을 깊이 이해할 필요 없이 대량의 데이터만 주어진다면 복잡한 시스템이라도 사용자의 목적에 맞게 그 해답을 찾을 수 있기 때문에 딥 러닝에 대한 관심은 주변압기 고장 진단 분야에서 특히 두드러졌다. 그러나, 이러한 뛰어난 진단 성능은 아직 실제 주변압기 산업에서는 많은 관심을 얻고 있지는 못한 것으로 알려졌다. 그 이유는 산업현장의 비표지데이터와 소량의 고장데이터 때문에 우수한 딥러닝기반의 고장 진단 모델들을 개발하기 어렵다. 따라서 본 학위논문에서는 주변압기 산업에서 현재 대두되고 있는 세가지 이슈를 연구하였다. 1) 건전성 평면 시각화 이슈, 2) 데이터 부족 이슈, 3) 심각도 이슈 들을 극복하기 위한 딥 러닝 기반 고장 진단 연구를 진행하였다. 소개된 세가지 이슈들을 개선하기 위해 본 학위논문은 세 가지 연구를 제안하였다. 첫 번째 연구는 보조 감지 작업이 있는 준지도 자동 인코더를 통해 건전성 평면을 제안하였다. 제안된 방법은 변압기 열하 특성을 시각화 할 수 있다. 또한, 준지도 접근법을 활용하기 때문에 방대한 비표지데이터 그리고 소수의 표지데이터만으로 구현될 수 있다. 제안방법은 주변압기 건전성을 건전성 평면과 함께 시각화하고, 매우 적은 소수의 레이블 데이터만으로 주변압기 고장을 진단한다. 두 번째 연구는 규칙 기반 Duval 방법을 AI 기반 deep neural network (DNN)과 융합(bridge)하는 새로운 프레임워크를 제안하였다. 이 방법은 룰기반의 Duval을 사용하여 비표지데이터를 수도 레이블링한다 (pseudo-labeling). 또한, AI 기반 DNN은 정규화 기술과 매개 변수 전이 학습을 적용하여 노이즈가 있는 pseudo-label 데이터를 학습하는데 사용된다. 개발된 기술은 방대한양의 비표지데이터를 룰기반으로 일차적으로 진단한 결과와 소수의 실제 고장데이터와 함께 학습데이터로 훈련하였을 때 기존의 진단 방법보다 획기적인 향상을 가능케 한다. 끝으로, 세 번째 연구는 고장 타입을 진단할 뿐만 아니라 심각도 또한 진단하는 기술을 제안하였다. 이때 두 상태의 레이블링된 고장 타입과 심각도 사이에는 불균일한 데이터 분포로 이루어져 있다. 그 이유는 심각도의 경우 레이블링이 항상 되어 있지만 고장 타입의 경우는 실제 주변압기로부터 고장 타입 데이터를 얻기가 매우 어렵기 때문이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서 세번째로 개발한 기술은 오늘날 데이터 생성에 매우 우수한 성능을 달성하고 있는 generative adversarial network (GAN)를 통해 불균형한 두 상태를 균일화 작업을 수행하는 동시에 고장 모드와 심각도를 진단하는 모델을 개발하였다.Due to the rapid development and advancement of today’s industry, the demand for safe and reliable power distribution and transmission lines is becoming more critical; thus, prognostics and health management (hereafter, PHM) is becoming more important in the power transformer industry. Among various methods developed for power transformer diagnosis, the artificial intelligence (AI) based approach has received considerable interest from academics. Specifically, deep learning technology, which offers excellent performance when used with vast amounts of data, is also rapidly gaining the spotlight in the academic field of transformer fault diagnosis. The interest in deep learning has been especially noticed in the field of fault diagnosis, because deep learning algorithms can be applied to complex systems that have large amounts of data, without the need for a deep understanding of the domain knowledge of the system. However, the outstanding performance of these diagnosis methods has not yet gained much attention in the power transformer PHM industry. The reason is that a large amount of unlabeled and a small amount of fault data always restrict their deep-learning-based diagnosis methods in the power transformer PHM industry. Therefore, in this dissertation research, deep-learning-based fault diagnosis methods are developed to overcome three issues that currently prevent this type of diagnosis in industrial power transformers: 1) the visualization of health feature space issue, 2) the insufficient data issue, and 3) the severity issue. To cope with these challenges, this thesis is composed of three research thrusts. The first research thrust develops a health feature space via a semi-supervised autoencoder with an auxiliary detection task. The proposed method can visualize a monotonic health trendability of the transformer’s degradation properties. Further, thanks to the use of a semi-supervised approach, the method is applicable to situations with a large amount of unlabeled and a small amount labeled data (a situation common in industrial datasets). Next, the second research thrust proposes a new framework, that bridges the rule-based Duval method with an AI-based deep neural network (BDD). In this method, the rule-based Duval method is utilized to pseudo-label a large amount of unlabeled data. Furthermore, the AI-based DNN is used to apply regularization techniques and parameter transfer learning to learn the noisy pseudo-labelled data. Finally, the third thrust not only identifies fault types but also indicates a severity level. However, the balance between labeled fault types and the severity level is imbalanced in real-world data. Therefore, in the proposed method, diagnosis of fault types – with severity levels – under imbalanced conditions is addressed by utilizing a generative adversarial network with an auxiliary classifier. The validity of the proposed methods is demonstrated by studying massive unlabeled dissolved gas analysis (DGA) data, provided by the Korea Electric Power Company (KEPCO), and sparse labeled data, provided by the IEC TC 10 database. Each developed method could be used in industrial fields that use power transformers to monitor the health feature space, consider severity level, and diagnose transformer faults under extremely insufficient labeled fault data.Chapter 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Motivation 1 1.2 Research Scope and Overview 4 1.3 Dissertation Layout 7 Chapter 2 Literature Review 9 2.1 A Brief Overview of Rule-Based Fault Diagnosis 9 2.2 A Brief Overview of Conventional AI-Based Fault Diagnosis 11 Chapter 3 Extracting Health Feature Space via Semi-Supervised Autoencoder with an Auxiliary Task (SAAT) 13 3.1 Backgrounds of Semi-supervised autoencoder (SSAE) 15 3.1.1 Autoencoder: Unsupervised Feature Extraction 15 3.1.2 Softmax Classifier: Supervised Classification 17 3.1.3 Semi-supervised Autoencoder 18 3.2 Input DGA Data Preprocessing 20 3.3 SAAT-Based Fault Diagnosis Method 21 3.3.1 Roles of the Auxiliary Detection Task 23 3.3.2 Architecture of the Proposed SAAT 27 3.3.3 Health Feature Space Visualization 29 3.3.4 Overall Procedure of the Proposed SAAT-based Fault Diagnosis 30 3.4 Performance Evaluation of SAAT 31 3.4.1 Data Description and Implementation 31 3.4.2 An Outline of Four Comparative Studies and Quantitative Evaluation Metrics 33 3.4.3 Experimental Results and Discussion 36 3.5 Summary and Discussion 49 Chapter 4 Learning from Even a Weak Teacher: Bridging Rule-based Duval Weak Supervision and a Deep Neural Network (BDD) for Diagnosing Transformer 51 4.1 Backgrounds of BDD 53 4.1.1 Rule-based method: Duval Method 53 4.1.2 Deep learning Based Method: Deep Neural Network 54 4.1.3 Parameter Transfer 55 4.2 BDD Based Fault Diagnosis 56 4.2.1 Problem Statement 56 4.2.2 Framework of the Proposed BDD 57 4.2.3 Overall Procedure of BDD-based Fault Diagnosis 63 4.3 Performance Evaluation of the BDD 64 4.3.1 Description of Data and the DNN Architecture 64 4.3.2 Experimental Results and Discussion 66 4.4 Summary and Discussion 76 Chapter 5 Generative Adversarial Network with Embedding Severity DGA Level 79 5.1 Backgrounds of Generative Adversarial Network 81 5.2 GANES based Fault Diagnosis 82 5.2.1 Training Strategy of GANES 82 5.2.2 Overall procedure of GANES 87 5.3 Performance Evaluation of GANES 91 5.3.1 Description of Data 91 5.3.2 Outlines of Experiments 91 5.3.3 Preliminary Experimental Results of Various GANs 95 5.3.4 Experiments for the Effectiveness of Embedding Severity DGA Level 99 5.4 Summary and Discussion 105 Chapter 6 Conclusion 106 6.1 Contributions and Significance 106 6.2 Suggestions for Future Research 108 References 110 국문 초록 127박

Condition monitoring and diagnostics of power transformers

This paper addresses the subject of condition monitoring and diagnostics of power transformers. The main results of two reliability surveys, carried out under the auspices of CIGRE and IEEE in order to assemble objective data on the performance of transformers in service, are presented, providing useful information on the main causes of transformer failures, the most likely affected components and the related outages times. A survey of the most important methods, actually in use, for condition monitoring and diagnostics of power transformers is also given, which stresses the need for the development of new diagnostic methods, that can be applied without taking the transformers out of service, and that can also provide a fault severity criteria, in particular for determining transformers windings integrity. Preliminary results, concerning the on-going research activity on the development of a new approach for inter-turn winding fault diagnosis in three-phase transformers, are also reported in the paper

Development of nominal rules on the Fuzzy Sugeno method to determine the quality of power transformer insulation oil using Dissolved Gas Analysis data

This paper aims to develop the nominal rules on the Fuzzy Logic Method using the Sugeno-Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) for Dissolved Gas Analysis (DGA) and determine the quality of the power Transformer 1 and Transformer 6 insulating oil at the Buduran 150 kV substation. The nominal number of proposed fuzzy rules is 1920 rules. Implementing the Fuzzy-Sugeno method on Transformers 1 and 6 shows that the six input variables from the DGA test can produce a Total Dissolved Combustible Gas (TDCG) output value of 32.67 and 26.19 ppm, respectively. Both values indicate that the insulating oil of Transformers 1 and 6 are in condition one and, at the same time, indicates that the dissolved gas composition is in Normal status. Furthermore, the TDCG value, condition, and quality status of the insulating oil have the same or 100 % accuracy compared to the DGA test by PLN (UPT Surabaya). Thus, the nominal development of fuzzy rules using the Fuzzy-Sugeno method can perform DGA analysis more accurately to determine the quality of power transformer insulation oil compared to previous studies