3,656 research outputs found
Eventology versus contemporary theories of uncertainty
The development of probability theory together with the Bayesian approach in the three last centuries is caused by two factors: the variability of the physical phenomena and partial ignorance about them. As now it is standard to believe [Dubois, 2007], the nature of these key factors is so various, that their descriptions are required special uncertainty theories, which differ from the probability theory and the Bayesian credo, and provide a better account of the various facets of uncertainty by putting together probabilistic and set-valued representations of information to catch a distinction between variability and ignorance. Eventology [Vorobyev, 2007], a new direction of probability theory and philosophy, offers the original event approach to the description of variability and ignorance, entering an agent, together with his/her beliefs, directly in the frameworks of scientific research in the form of eventological distribution of his/her own events. This allows eventology, by putting together probabilistic and set-event representation of information and philosophical concept of event as co-being [Bakhtin, 1920], to provide a unified strong account of various aspects of uncertainty catching distinction between variability and ignorance and opening an opportunity to define imprecise probability as a probability of imprecise event in the mathematical frameworks of Kolmogorov's probability theory [Kolmogorov, 1933].uncertainty, probability, event, co-being, eventology, imprecise event
Cognitive networks: brains, internet, and civilizations
In this short essay, we discuss some basic features of cognitive activity at
several different space-time scales: from neural networks in the brain to
civilizations. One motivation for such comparative study is its heuristic
value. Attempts to better understand the functioning of "wetware" involved in
cognitive activities of central nervous system by comparing it with a computing
device have a long tradition. We suggest that comparison with Internet might be
more adequate. We briefly touch upon such subjects as encoding, compression,
and Saussurean trichotomy langue/langage/parole in various environments.Comment: 16 page
Statistical Mechanics and Information-Theoretic Perspectives on Complexity in the Earth System
Peer reviewedPublisher PD
From Knowledge, Knowability and the Search for Objective Randomness to a New Vision of Complexity
Herein we consider various concepts of entropy as measures of the complexity
of phenomena and in so doing encounter a fundamental problem in physics that
affects how we understand the nature of reality. In essence the difficulty has
to do with our understanding of randomness, irreversibility and
unpredictability using physical theory, and these in turn undermine our
certainty regarding what we can and what we cannot know about complex phenomena
in general. The sources of complexity examined herein appear to be channels for
the amplification of naturally occurring randomness in the physical world. Our
analysis suggests that when the conditions for the renormalization group apply,
this spontaneous randomness, which is not a reflection of our limited
knowledge, but a genuine property of nature, does not realize the conventional
thermodynamic state, and a new condition, intermediate between the dynamic and
the thermodynamic state, emerges. We argue that with this vision of complexity,
life, which with ordinary statistical mechanics seems to be foreign to physics,
becomes a natural consequence of dynamical processes.Comment: Phylosophica
Towards a quantum evolutionary scheme: violating Bell's inequalities in language
We show the presence of genuine quantum structures in human language. The
neo-Darwinian evolutionary scheme is founded on a probability structure that
satisfies the Kolmogorovian axioms, and as a consequence cannot incorporate
quantum-like evolutionary change. In earlier research we revealed quantum
structures in processes taking place in conceptual space. We argue that the
presence of quantum structures in language and the earlier detected quantum
structures in conceptual change make the neo-Darwinian evolutionary scheme
strictly too limited for Evolutionary Epistemology. We sketch how we believe
that evolution in a more general way should be implemented in epistemology and
conceptual change, but also in biology, and how this view would lead to another
relation between both biology and epistemology.Comment: 20 pages, no figures, this version of the paper is equal to the
foregoing. The paper has meanwhile been published in another book series than
the one tentatively mentioned in the comments given with the foregoing
versio
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