IIVFDT: Ignorance Functions based Interval-Valued Fuzzy Decision Tree with Genetic Tuning

The choice of membership functions plays an essential role in the success of fuzzy systems. This is a complex problem due to the possible lack of knowledge when assigning punctual values as membership degrees. To face this handicap, we propose a methodology called Ignorance functions based Interval-Valued Fuzzy Decision Tree with genetic tuning, IIVFDT for short, which allows to improve the performance of fuzzy decision trees by taking into account the ignorance degree. This ignorance degree is the result of a weak ignorance function applied to the punctual value set as membership degree. Our IIVFDT proposal is composed of four steps: (1) the base fuzzy decision tree is generated using the fuzzy ID3 algorithm; (2) the linguistic labels are modeled with Interval-Valued Fuzzy Sets. To do so, a new parametrized construction method of Interval-Valued Fuzzy Sets is defined, whose length represents such ignorance degree; (3) the fuzzy reasoning method is extended to work with this representation of the linguistic terms; (4) an evolutionary tuning step is applied for computing the optimal ignorance degree for each Interval-Valued Fuzzy Set. The experimental study shows that the IIVFDT method allows the results provided by the initial fuzzy ID3 with and without Interval-Valued Fuzzy Sets to be outperformed. The suitability of the proposed methodology is shown with respect to both several state-of-the-art fuzzy decision trees and C4.5. Furthermore, we analyze the quality of our approach versus two methods that learn the fuzzy decision tree using genetic algorithms. Finally, we show that a superior performance can be achieved by means of the positive synergy obtained when applying the well known genetic tuning of the lateral position after the application of the IIVFDT method.Spanish Government TIN2011-28488 TIN2010-1505

Game Theory Relaunched

The game is on. Do you know how to play? Game theory sets out to explore what can be said about making decisions which go beyond accepting the rules of a game. Since 1942, a well elaborated mathematical apparatus has been developed to do so; but there is more. During the last three decades game theoretic reasoning has popped up in many other fields as well - from engineering to biology and psychology. New simulation tools and network analysis have made game theory omnipresent these days. This book collects recent research papers in game theory, which come from diverse scientific communities all across the world; they combine many different fields like economics, politics, history, engineering, mathematics, physics, and psychology. All of them have as a common denominator some method of game theory. Enjoy

Decision Support Systems

Decision support systems (DSS) have evolved over the past four decades from theoretical concepts into real world computerized applications. DSS architecture contains three key components: knowledge base, computerized model, and user interface. DSS simulate cognitive decision-making functions of humans based on artificial intelligence methodologies (including expert systems, data mining, machine learning, connectionism, logistical reasoning, etc.) in order to perform decision support functions. The applications of DSS cover many domains, ranging from aviation monitoring, transportation safety, clinical diagnosis, weather forecast, business management to internet search strategy. By combining knowledge bases with inference rules, DSS are able to provide suggestions to end users to improve decisions and outcomes. This book is written as a textbook so that it can be used in formal courses examining decision support systems. It may be used by both undergraduate and graduate students from diverse computer-related fields. It will also be of value to established professionals as a text for self-study or for reference

Evolutionary games on graphs

Game theory is one of the key paradigms behind many scientific disciplines from biology to behavioral sciences to economics. In its evolutionary form and especially when the interacting agents are linked in a specific social network the underlying solution concepts and methods are very similar to those applied in non-equilibrium statistical physics. This review gives a tutorial-type overview of the field for physicists. The first three sections introduce the necessary background in classical and evolutionary game theory from the basic definitions to the most important results. The fourth section surveys the topological complications implied by non-mean-field-type social network structures in general. The last three sections discuss in detail the dynamic behavior of three prominent classes of models: the Prisoner's Dilemma, the Rock-Scissors-Paper game, and Competing Associations. The major theme of the review is in what sense and how the graph structure of interactions can modify and enrich the picture of long term behavioral patterns emerging in evolutionary games.Comment: Review, final version, 133 pages, 65 figure