Complex Systems Science: Dreams of Universality, Reality of Interdisciplinarity

Using a large database (~ 215 000 records) of relevant articles, we empirically study the "complex systems" field and its claims to find universal principles applying to systems in general. The study of references shared by the papers allows us to obtain a global point of view on the structure of this highly interdisciplinary field. We show that its overall coherence does not arise from a universal theory but instead from computational techniques and fruitful adaptations of the idea of self-organization to specific systems. We also find that communication between different disciplines goes through specific "trading zones", ie sub-communities that create an interface around specific tools (a DNA microchip) or concepts (a network).Comment: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology (2012) 10.1002/asi.2264

The emergence of biofilms:Computational and experimental studies

The response of biofilms to any external stimuli is a cumulative response aggregated from individual bacteria residing within the biofilm. The organizational complexity of biofilm can be studied effectively by understanding bacterial interactions at cell level. The overall aim of the thesis is to explore the complex evolutionary behaviour of bacterial biofilms. This thesis is divided into three major studies based on the type of perturbation analysed in the study. The first study analyses the physics behind the development of mushroom-shaped structures from the influence of nutrient cues in biofilms. Glazier-Graner-Hogeweg model is used to simulate the cell characteristics. From the study, it is observed that chemotaxis of bacterial cells towards nutrient source is one of the major precursors for formation of mushroom-shaped structures. The objective of the second study is to analyse the impact of environmental conditions on the inter-biofilm quorum sensing (QS) signalling. Using a hybrid convection-diffusion-reaction model, the simulations predict the diffusivity of QS molecules, the spatiotemporal variations of QS signal concentrations and the competition outcome between QS and quorum quenching mutant bacterial communities. The mechanical effects associated with the fluid-biofilm interaction is addressed in the third study. A novel fluid-structure interaction model based on fluid dynamics and structural energy minimization is developed in the study. Model simulations are used to analyse the detachment and surface effects of the fluid stresses on the biofilm. In addition to the mechanistic models described, a separate study is carried out to estimate the computational efficiency of the biofilm simulation models

Application of Machine Learning to Financial Time Series Analysis

This multidisciplinary thesis investigates the application of machine learning to financial time series analysis. The research is motivated by the following thesis question: ‘Can one improve upon the state of the art in financial time series analysis through the application of machine learning?’ The work is split according to the following time series trichotomy: 1) characterization — determine the fundamental properties of the time series; 2) modelling — find a description that accurately captures features of the long-term behaviour of the system; and 3) forecasting — accurately predict the short-term evolution of the system

Architecting system of systems: artificial life analysis of financial market behavior

This research study focuses on developing a framework that can be utilized by system architects to understand the emergent behavior of system architectures. The objective is to design a framework that is modular and flexible in providing different ways of modeling sub-systems of System of Systems. At the same time, the framework should capture the adaptive behavior of the system since evolution is one of the key characteristics of System of Systems. Another objective is to design the framework so that humans can be incorporated into the analysis. The framework should help system architects understand the behavior as well as promoters or inhibitors of change in human systems. Computational intelligence tools have been successfully used in analysis of Complex Adaptive Systems. Since a System of Systems is a collection of Complex Adaptive Systems, a framework utilizing combination of these tools can be developed. Financial markets are selected to demonstrate the various architectures developed from the analysis framework --Introduction, page 3

Interaction dynamics and autonomy in cognitive systems

The concept of autonomy is of crucial importance for understanding life and cognition. Whereas cellular and organismic autonomy is based in the self-production of the material infrastructure sustaining the existence of living beings as such, we are interested in how biological autonomy can be expanded into forms of autonomous agency, where autonomy as a form of organization is extended into the behaviour of an agent in interaction with its environment (and not its material self-production). In this thesis, we focus on the development of operational models of sensorimotor agency, exploring the construction of a domain of interactions creating a dynamical interface between agent and environment. We present two main contributions to the study of autonomous agency: First, we contribute to the development of a modelling route for testing, comparing and validating hypotheses about neurocognitive autonomy. Through the design and analysis of specific neurodynamical models embedded in robotic agents, we explore how an agent is constituted in a sensorimotor space as an autonomous entity able to adaptively sustain its own organization. Using two simulation models and different dynamical analysis and measurement of complex patterns in their behaviour, we are able to tackle some theoretical obstacles preventing the understanding of sensorimotor autonomy, and to generate new predictions about the nature of autonomous agency in the neurocognitive domain. Second, we explore the extension of sensorimotor forms of autonomy into the social realm. We analyse two cases from an experimental perspective: the constitution of a collective subject in a sensorimotor social interactive task, and the emergence of an autonomous social identity in a large-scale technologically-mediated social system. Through the analysis of coordination mechanisms and emergent complex patterns, we are able to gather experimental evidence indicating that in some cases social autonomy might emerge based on mechanisms of coordinated sensorimotor activity and interaction, constituting forms of collective autonomous agency