1,769 research outputs found

    Utilisation of Deep Learning (DL) and Neural Networks (NN) Algorithms for Energy Power Generation: A Social Network and Bibliometric Analysis (2004-2022)

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    The research landscape on the applications of advanced computational tools (ACTs) such as machine/deep learning and neural network algorithms for energy and power generation (EPG) was critically examined through publication trends and bibliometrics data analysis. The Elsevier Scopus database and the PRISMA methodology were employed to identify and screen the published documents, whereas the bibliometric analysis software VOSviewer was used to analyse the co-authorships, citations, and keyword occurrences. The results showed that 152 documents have been published on the topic comprising conference proceedings (58.6%) and articles (41.4%) between 2004 and 2022. Publication trends analysis revealed the number of publications increased from 1 to 31 or by 3,000% over the same period, which was ascribed to the growing scientific interest and research impact of the topic. Stakeholder analysis revealed the top authors/researchers are Anvari M, Ghaderi SF and Saberi M, whereas the most prolific affiliation and nations actively engaged in the topic are the North China Electric Power University, and China, respectively. Conversely, the top funding agency actively backing research on the topic is the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC). Co-authorship analysis revealed high levels of collaboration between researching nations compared to authors and affiliations. Hotspot analysis revealed three major thematic focus areas namely; Energy Grid Forecasting, Power Generation Control, and Intelligent Energy Optimization. In conclusion, the study showed that the application of ACTs in EPG is an active, multidisciplinary, and impact area of research with potential for more impactful contributions to research and society at large

    VaR and ES forecasting via recurrent neural network-based stateful models

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    Due to the widespread and quickly escalating effects of large negative returns, as well as due to the increase in the importance of regulatory framework for financial institutions, the accurate measurement of financial risks has become a relevant question in the academia and industry. This paper proposes three novel models based on stateful Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) and Feed-Forward Neural Networks (FNN) to build forecasts for Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES). We apply the models to six asset return time series spanning over more than 20 years. Our results reveal that the RNN-based stateful models generally outperform the non-stateful RNN models and econometric benchmark models including rolling window models, Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-type models, and Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) models, in terms of VaR and ES forecasting

    Short-Term Load Forecasting Utilizing a Combination Model: A Brief Review

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    To deliver electricity to customers safely and economically, power companies encounter numerous economic and technical challenges in their operations. Power flow analysis, planning, and control of power systems stand out among these issues. Over the last several years, one of the most developing study topics in this vital and demanding discipline has been electricity short-term load forecasting (STLF). Power system dispatching, emergency analysis, power flow analysis, planning, and maintenance all require it. This study emphasizes new research on long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithms related to particle swarm optimization (PSO) inside this area of short-term load forecasting. The paper presents an in-depth overview of hybrid networks that combine LSTM and PSO and have been effectively used for STLF. In the future, the integration of LSTM and PSO in the development of comprehensive prediction methods and techniques for multi-heterogeneous models is expected to offer significant opportunities. With an increased dataset, the utilization of advanced multi-models for comprehensive power load prediction is anticipated to achieve higher accuracy

    Forecasting model for short-term wind speed using robust local mean decomposition, deep neural networks, intelligent algorithm, and error correction

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    Wind power generation has aroused widespread concern worldwide. Accurate prediction of wind speed is very important for the safe and economic operation of the power grid. This paper presents a short-term wind speed prediction model which includes data decomposition, deep learning, intelligent algorithm optimization, and error correction modules. First, the robust local mean decomposition (RLMD) is applied to the original wind speed data to reduce the non-stationarity of the data. Then, the salp swarm algorithm (SSA) is used to determine the optimal parameter combination of the bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU) to ensure prediction quality. In order to eliminate the predictable components of the error further, a correction module based on the improved salp swarm algorithm (ISSA) and deep extreme learning machine (DELM) is constructed. The exploration and exploitation capability of the original SSA is enhanced by introducing a crazy operator and dynamic learning strategy, and the input weights and thresholds in the DELM are optimized by the ISSA to improve the generalization ability of the model. The actual data of wind farms are used to verify the advancement of the proposed model. Compared with other models, the results show that the proposed model has the best prediction performance. As a powerful tool, the developed forecasting system is expected to be further used in the energy system

    An innovative network intrusion detection system (NIDS): Hierarchical deep learning model based on Unsw-Nb15 dataset

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    With the increasing prevalence of network intrusions, the development of effective network intrusion detection systems (NIDS) has become crucial. In this study, we propose a novel NIDS approach that combines the power of long short-term memory (LSTM) and attention mechanisms to analyze the spatial and temporal features of network traffic data. We utilize the benchmark UNSW-NB15 dataset, which exhibits a diverse distribution of patterns, including a significant disparity in the size of the training and testing sets. Unlike traditional machine learning techniques like support vector machines (SVM) and k-nearest neighbors (KNN) that often struggle with limited feature sets and lower accuracy, our proposed model overcomes these limitations. Notably, existing models applied to this dataset typically require manual feature selection and extraction, which can be time-consuming and less precise. In contrast, our model achieves superior results in binary classification by leveraging the advantages of LSTM and attention mechanisms. Through extensive experiments and evaluations with state-of-the-art ML/DL models, we demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of our proposed approach. Our findings highlight the potential of combining LSTM and attention mechanisms for enhanced network intrusion detection

    An ensemble model for predictive energy performance:Closing the gap between actual and predicted energy use in residential buildings

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    The design stage of a building plays a pivotal role in influencing its life cycle and overall performance. Accurate predictions of a building's performance are crucial for informed decision-making, particularly in terms of energy performance, given the escalating global awareness of climate change and the imperative to enhance energy efficiency in buildings. However, a well-documented energy performance gap persists between actual and predicted energy consumption, primarily attributed to the unpredictable nature of occupant behavior.Existing methodologies for predicting and simulating occupant behavior in buildings frequently neglect or exclusively concentrate on particular behaviors, resulting in uncertainties in energy performance predictions. Machine learning approaches have exhibited increased accuracy in predicting occupant energy behavior, yet the majority of extant studies focus on specific behavior types rather than investigating the interactions among all contributing factors. This dissertation delves into the building energy performance gap, with a particular emphasis on the influence of occupants on energy performance. A comprehensive literature review scrutinizes machine learning models employed for predicting occupants' behavior in buildings and assesses their performance. The review uncovers knowledge gaps, as most studies are case-specific and lack a consolidated database to examine diverse behaviors across various building types.An ensemble model integrating occupant behavior parameters is devised to enhance the accuracy of energy performance predictions in residential buildings. Multiple algorithms are examined, with the selection of algorithms contingent upon evaluation metrics. The ensemble model is validated through a case study that compares actual energy consumption with the predictions of the ensemble model and an EnergyPlus simulation that takes occupant behavior factors into account.The findings demonstrate that the ensemble model provides considerably more accurate predictions of actual energy consumption compared to the EnergyPlus simulation. This dissertation also addresses the research limitations, including the reusability of the model and the requirement for additional datasets to bolster confidence in the model's applicability across diverse building types and occupant behavior patterns.In summary, this dissertation presents an ensemble model that endeavors to bridge the gap between actual and predicted energy usage in residential buildings by incorporating occupant behavior parameters, leading to more precise energy performance predictions and promoting superior energy management strategies

    Machine learning applications in search algorithms for gravitational waves from compact binary mergers

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    Gravitational waves from compact binary mergers are now routinely observed by Earth-bound detectors. These observations enable exciting new science, as they have opened a new window to the Universe. However, extracting gravitational-wave signals from the noisy detector data is a challenging problem. The most sensitive search algorithms for compact binary mergers use matched filtering, an algorithm that compares the data with a set of expected template signals. As detectors are upgraded and more sophisticated signal models become available, the number of required templates will increase, which can make some sources computationally prohibitive to search for. The computational cost is of particular concern when low-latency alerts should be issued to maximize the time for electromagnetic follow-up observations. One potential solution to reduce computational requirements that has started to be explored in the last decade is machine learning. However, different proposed deep learning searches target varying parameter spaces and use metrics that are not always comparable to existing literature. Consequently, a clear picture of the capabilities of machine learning searches has been sorely missing. In this thesis, we closely examine the sensitivity of various deep learning gravitational-wave search algorithms and introduce new methods to detect signals from binary black hole and binary neutron star mergers at previously untested statistical confidence levels. By using the sensitive distance as our core metric, we allow for a direct comparison of our algorithms to state-of-the-art search pipelines. As part of this thesis, we organized a global mock data challenge to create a benchmark for machine learning search algorithms targeting compact binaries. This way, the tools developed in this thesis are made available to the greater community by publishing them as open source software. Our studies show that, depending on the parameter space, deep learning gravitational-wave search algorithms are already competitive with current production search pipelines. We also find that strategies developed for traditional searches can be effectively adapted to their machine learning counterparts. In regions where matched filtering becomes computationally expensive, available deep learning algorithms are also limited in their capability. We find reduced sensitivity to long duration signals compared to the excellent results for short-duration binary black hole signals

    LiveRetro: Visual Analytics for Strategic Retrospect in Livestream E-Commerce

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    Livestream e-commerce integrates live streaming and online shopping, allowing viewers to make purchases while watching. However, effective marketing strategies remain a challenge due to limited empirical research and subjective biases from the absence of quantitative data. Current tools fail to capture the interdependence between live performances and feedback. This study identified computational features, formulated design requirements, and developed LiveRetro, an interactive visual analytics system. It enables comprehensive retrospective analysis of livestream e-commerce for streamers, viewers, and merchandise. LiveRetro employs enhanced visualization and time-series forecasting models to align performance features and feedback, identifying influences at channel, merchandise, feature, and segment levels. Through case studies and expert interviews, the system provides deep insights into the relationship between live performance and streaming statistics, enabling efficient strategic analysis from multiple perspectives.Comment: Accepted by IEEE VIS 202

    Artificial intelligence in wind speed forecasting: a review

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    Wind energy production has had accelerated growth in recent years, reaching an annual increase of 17% in 2021. Wind speed plays a crucial role in the stability required for power grid operation. However, wind intermittency makes accurate forecasting a complicated process. Implementing new technologies has allowed the development of hybrid models and techniques, improving wind speed forecasting accuracy. Additionally, statistical and artificial intelligence methods, especially artificial neural networks, have been applied to enhance the results. However, there is a concern about identifying the main factors influencing the forecasting process and providing a basis for estimation with artificial neural network models. This paper reviews and classifies the forecasting models used in recent years according to the input model type, the pre-processing and post-processing technique, the artificial neural network model, the prediction horizon, the steps ahead number, and the evaluation metric. The research results indicate that artificial neural network (ANN)-based models can provide accurate wind forecasting and essential information about the specific location of potential wind use for a power plant by understanding the future wind speed values
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