20,619 research outputs found
The Error is the Feature: how to Forecast Lightning using a Model Prediction Error
Despite the progress within the last decades, weather forecasting is still a
challenging and computationally expensive task. Current satellite-based
approaches to predict thunderstorms are usually based on the analysis of the
observed brightness temperatures in different spectral channels and emit a
warning if a critical threshold is reached. Recent progress in data science
however demonstrates that machine learning can be successfully applied to many
research fields in science, especially in areas dealing with large datasets. We
therefore present a new approach to the problem of predicting thunderstorms
based on machine learning. The core idea of our work is to use the error of
two-dimensional optical flow algorithms applied to images of meteorological
satellites as a feature for machine learning models. We interpret that optical
flow error as an indication of convection potentially leading to thunderstorms
and lightning. To factor in spatial proximity we use various manual convolution
steps. We also consider effects such as the time of day or the geographic
location. We train different tree classifier models as well as a neural network
to predict lightning within the next few hours (called nowcasting in
meteorology) based on these features. In our evaluation section we compare the
predictive power of the different models and the impact of different features
on the classification result. Our results show a high accuracy of 96% for
predictions over the next 15 minutes which slightly decreases with increasing
forecast period but still remains above 83% for forecasts of up to five hours.
The high false positive rate of nearly 6% however needs further investigation
to allow for an operational use of our approach.Comment: 10 pages, 7 figure
A Deep Dive into Understanding Tumor Foci Classification using Multiparametric MRI Based on Convolutional Neural Network
Deep learning models have had a great success in disease classifications
using large data pools of skin cancer images or lung X-rays. However, data
scarcity has been the roadblock of applying deep learning models directly on
prostate multiparametric MRI (mpMRI). Although model interpretation has been
heavily studied for natural images for the past few years, there has been a
lack of interpretation of deep learning models trained on medical images. This
work designs a customized workflow for the small and imbalanced data set of
prostate mpMRI where features were extracted from a deep learning model and
then analyzed by a traditional machine learning classifier. In addition, this
work contributes to revealing how deep learning models interpret mpMRI for
prostate cancer patients stratification
A Comprehensive Survey of Deep Learning in Remote Sensing: Theories, Tools and Challenges for the Community
In recent years, deep learning (DL), a re-branding of neural networks (NNs),
has risen to the top in numerous areas, namely computer vision (CV), speech
recognition, natural language processing, etc. Whereas remote sensing (RS)
possesses a number of unique challenges, primarily related to sensors and
applications, inevitably RS draws from many of the same theories as CV; e.g.,
statistics, fusion, and machine learning, to name a few. This means that the RS
community should be aware of, if not at the leading edge of, of advancements
like DL. Herein, we provide the most comprehensive survey of state-of-the-art
RS DL research. We also review recent new developments in the DL field that can
be used in DL for RS. Namely, we focus on theories, tools and challenges for
the RS community. Specifically, we focus on unsolved challenges and
opportunities as it relates to (i) inadequate data sets, (ii)
human-understandable solutions for modelling physical phenomena, (iii) Big
Data, (iv) non-traditional heterogeneous data sources, (v) DL architectures and
learning algorithms for spectral, spatial and temporal data, (vi) transfer
learning, (vii) an improved theoretical understanding of DL systems, (viii)
high barriers to entry, and (ix) training and optimizing the DL.Comment: 64 pages, 411 references. To appear in Journal of Applied Remote
Sensin
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