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Enhancing Stock Movement Prediction with Adversarial Training
This paper contributes a new machine learning solution for stock movement
prediction, which aims to predict whether the price of a stock will be up or
down in the near future. The key novelty is that we propose to employ
adversarial training to improve the generalization of a neural network
prediction model. The rationality of adversarial training here is that the
input features to stock prediction are typically based on stock price, which is
essentially a stochastic variable and continuously changed with time by nature.
As such, normal training with static price-based features (e.g. the close
price) can easily overfit the data, being insufficient to obtain reliable
models. To address this problem, we propose to add perturbations to simulate
the stochasticity of price variable, and train the model to work well under
small yet intentional perturbations. Extensive experiments on two real-world
stock data show that our method outperforms the state-of-the-art solution with
3.11% relative improvements on average w.r.t. accuracy, validating the
usefulness of adversarial training for stock prediction task.Comment: IJCAI 201
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