Image-Based Modeling of Bridges and Its Applications to Evaluating Resiliency of Transportation Networks

Modern urban areas are heavily dependent on transportation networks to sustain their economic life. Hence, when vital components of a regional network are disrupted, economic losses are inevitable. As evidenced by 1989, Loma Prieta and 1994, Northridge earthquakes, the seismic damages experienced by bridges alone result in extensive traffic delays and rerouting, not only hindering emergency response but also causing indirect economic losses that far surpass the direct cost of damage to infrastructure. Nevertheless, in many areas of the U.S., transportation networks lack the resilience required to sustain the potential demands of natural hazards. Traditional hazard assessment methods, in theory, provide the tools required for predicting the vulnerabilities associated with natural hazards. Nonetheless, due to their abstractions of the complex infrastructure and the coupled regional behavior, they often fall short of that expectation. This study proposes a semi-automated image-based model generation framework for producing structure-specific models and fragility functions of bridges. The framework effectively fuses geometric and semantic information extracted from Google Street View images with centerline curve geometry, surface topology, and various relevant metadata to construct extremely accurate geometric representations of bridges. Then, using class statistics available in the literature for bridge structural properties, the framework generates structural models. Both the performance of the geometry extraction procedure and the structural modeling method proposed here are validated by comparison against the structural model of a real-life bridge developed based on as-built drawings.In principle, these models can be utilized to assess physical damage for any type of hazard, but in this study, the focus is limited to seismic applications. Thus to relate the damage resulting from seismic demands from ground shaking, bridge-specific fragility functions are developed for 100 bridge structures in the immediate surroundings of Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Using these fragility curves, the physical damage resulting from a magnitude 7.3 scenario earthquake on Palos Verdes fault is predicted. Subsequently, the effects of the bridge infrastructure damage to the transportation patterns in the Los Angeles metropolitan area are investigated in terms of various resilience metrics

Physics-based and Data-driven Methods with Compact Computing Emphasis for Structural Health Monitoring

This doctoral dissertation contributes to both model-based and model-free data interpretation techniques in vibration-based Structural Health Monitoring (SHM). In the model-based category, a surrogate-based finite element (FE) model updating algorithm is developed to improve the computational efficiency by replacing the FE model with Response Surface (RS) polynomial models in the optimization problem of model calibration. In addition, formulation of the problem in an iterative format in time domain is proposed to extract more information from measured signals and compensate for the error present in the regressed RS models. This methodology is applied to a numerical case study of a steel frame with global nonlinearity. Its performance in presence of measurement noise is compared with a method based on sensitivity analysis and it is observed that while having comparable accuracy, proposed method outperforms the sensitivity-based model updating procedure in terms of required time. With the assumption of Gaussian measurement noise, it is also shown that this parameter estimation technique has low sensitivity to the standard deviation of the measurement noise. This is validated through several parametric sensitivity studies performed on numerical simulations of nonlinear systems with single and multiple degrees of freedom. The results show the least sensitivity to measurement noise level, selected time window for model updating, and location of the true model parameters in RS regression domain, when vibration frequency of the system is outside the frequency bandwidth of the load. Further application of this method is also presented through a case study of a steel frame with bilinear material model under seismic loading. The results indicate the robustness of this parameter estimation technique for different cases of input excitation, measurement noise level, and true model parametersIn the model-free category, this dissertation presents data-driven damage identification and localization methods based on two-sample control statistics as well as damage-sensitive features to be extracted from single- and multivariate regression models. For this purpose, sequential normalized likelihood ratio test and two-sample t-test are adopted to detect the change in two families of damage features based on the coefficients of four different linear regression models. The performance of combinations of these damage features, regression models and control statistics are compared through a scaled two-bay steel frame instrumented with a dense sensor network and excited by impact loading. It is shown that the presented methodologies are successful in detecting the timing and location of the structural damage, while having acceptable false detection quality. In addition, it is observed that incorporating multiple mathematical models, damage-sensitive features and change detection tests improve the overall performance of these model-free vibration-based structural damage detection procedures. In order to extend the scalability of the presented data-driven damage detection methods, a compressed sensing damage localization algorithm is also proposed. The objective is accurate damage localization in a structural component instrumented with a dense sensor network, by processing data only from a subset of sensors. In this method, first a set of sensors from the network are randomly sampled. Measurements from these sampled sensors are processed to extract damage sensitive features. These features undergo statistical change point analysis to establish a new boundary for a local search of damage location. As the local search proceeds, probability of the damage location is estimated through a Bayesian procedure with a bivariate Gaussian likelihood model. The decision boundary and the posterior probability of the damage location are updated as new sensors are added to processing subset and more information about location of damage becomes available. This procedure is continued until enough evidence is collected to infer about damage location. Performance of this method is evaluated using a FE model of a cracked gusset plate connection. Pre- and post-damage strain distributions in the plate are used for damage diagnosis.Lastly, through study of potential causes of damage to the Washington Monument during the 2011 Virginia earthquake, this dissertation demonstrates the role that SHM techniques plays in improving the credibility of damage assessment and fragility analysis of the constructed structures. An FE model of the Washington Monument is developed and updated based on the dynamic characteristics of the structure identified through ambient vibration measurement. The calibrated model is used to study the behavior of the Monument during 2011 Virginia earthquake. This FE model is then modified to limit the tensile capacity of the grout material and previously cracked sections to investigate the initiation and propagation of cracking in several futuristic earthquake scenarios. The nonlinear FE model is subjected to two ensembles of site-compatible ground motions representing different seismic hazard levels for the Washington Monument, and occurrence probability of several structural and non-structural damage states is investigated

Discriminating the occurrence of inundation in tsunami early warning with one-dimensional convolutional neural networks

Tsunamis are natural phenomena that, although occasional, can have large impacts on coastal environments and settlements, especially in terms of loss of life. An accurate, detailed and timely assessment of the hazard is essential as input for mitigation strategies both in the long term and during emergencies. This goal is compounded by the high computational cost of simulating an adequate number of scenarios to make robust assessments. To reduce this handicap, alternative methods could be used. Here, an enhanced method for estimating tsunami time series using a one-dimensional convolutional neural network model (1D CNN) is considered. While the use of deep learning for this problem is not new, most of existing research has focused on assessing the capability of a network to reproduce inundation metrics extrema. However, for the context of Tsunami Early Warning, it is equally relevant to assess whether the networks can accurately predict whether inundation would occur or not, and its time series if it does. Hence, a set of 6776 scenarios with magnitudes in the range Mw 8.0–9.2 were used to design several 1D CNN models at two bays that have different hydrodynamic behavior, that would use as input inexpensive low-resolution numerical modeling of tsunami propagation to predict inundation time series at pinpoint locations. In addition, different configuration parameters were also analyzed to outline a methodology for model testing and design, that could be applied elsewhere. The results show that the network models are capable of reproducing inundation time series well, either for small or large flow depths, but also when no inundation was forecast, with minimal instances of false alarms or missed alarms. To further assess the performance, the model was tested with two past tsunamis and compared with actual inundation metrics. The results obtained are promising, and the proposed model could become a reliable alternative for the calculation of tsunami intensity measures in a faster than real time manner. This could complement existing early warning system, by means of an approximate and fast procedure that could allow simulating a larger number of scenarios within the always restricting time frame of tsunami emergencies.Tide gauge data were obtained from the Sea Level Station Monitoring Facility of the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (http://www.ioc-sealevelmonitoring.org/list.php). The coarser bathymetric and topographic data from the General Bathymetric Chart of the Ocean (https://www.gebco.net/data_and_products/gridded_bathymetry_data/). The authors acknowledge SHOA for providing nautical charts and coastal zone plans used to generate high resolution topo-bathymetric grids for research purposes. We are deeply grateful with A. Gubler that prepared a first version of the high resolution bathymetry grids. The authors acknowledge the computer resources at CTE-POWER (https://www.bsc.es/supportkc/docs/CTE-POWER/overview) and the technical support provided by BSC. We are greatly thankful the EDANYA Group at Málaga University for sharing the Tsunami-HySEA code. Most figures were generated with Python91,92,93 and Global Mapping Tools94. JN deeply thanks support of Mitiga Solutions during his secondment. PAC would like to thank funding by ANID, Chile Grants FONDEF ID19I10048, Centro de Investigación para la Gestión Integrada del Riesgo de Desastres (CIGIDEN) ANID/FONDAP/15110017, and Centro Científico Tecnológico de Valparaíso, ANID PIA/APOYO AFB180002. NZ has received funding from the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement H2020-MSCA-COFUND-2016-75443.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Monitoring Earth Surface Changes from Space

This report gives an overview of the activities which have been undertaken as part of the technical follow-on to the large study “Monitoring Earth Surface Changes from Space”. In addition to the support provided by the Keck Institute for Space Studies, these activities have been supported by matching funds from the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation, from UAE and Kuwait, and from the MDAP NASA program. Activities were organized under five different themes, each lead by a different PI: 1- Optical Image Time-Series (PI: Sebastien Leprince). These activities aim at developing techniques to analyze optical images acquired by different imaging systems and at different times to look at general landscape evolution (evolutions due to tectonic activity, glacier flow, landslides, sand dunes migration, etc.). They also aim at building a framework for large scale processing to look at global changes. 2- SAR Time-Series Analysis (PI: Mark Simons). These activities aim at developing techniques to analyze radar image time series, in particular via interferrometric techniques. These activities involve close interactions with JPL via the ARIA project (PI: Susan Owen). 3- Seismic Waves Imaging (PI: Pablo Ampuero). These activities aim at developing techniques for seismic inversion with dense measurement in time and space, such as measurement that would be provided by a space seismometer. These activities involve close interactions with JPL, which received a matching R&TD funding to investigate the development of a space optical seismometer (PI: David Redding). 4- Sub-surface Imaging (PI: Essam Heggy). These activities involve close interactions at testing the possibility of an Earth orbiting Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR). Within the scope of this project, only airborne applications will be sought after, with study for space applications. 5- Science Applications (PI: Mike Lamb). These activities involve taking advantage of the techniques developed by the other groups. It also drives the technical developments and foresees the external visitor program. We detail below these activities. Each sub-section has software products, publications, and/or conference posters/talks as outcome. All publications and presentations in international meetings are listed again at the end of the report together with a few other publications produced by collaborators who have participated in the KISS study but did not receive funding from us. Regarding the ‘seismic waves imaging’ project, we have explored different designs and mission concepts for a 4 m-class Seismic Imager Geostationnary satellite system. We are currently working on estimating the cost and preparing a draft GSI Mission Whitepaper

Bayesian Learning for Earthquake Engineering Applications and Structural Health Monitoring

Parallel to significant advances in sensor hardware, there have been recent developments of sophisticated methods for quantitative assessment of measured data that explicitly deal with all of the involved uncertainties, including inevitable measurement errors. The existence of these uncertainties often causes numerical instabilities in inverse problems that make them ill-conditioned. The Bayesian methodology is known to provide an efficient way to alleviate this illconditioning by incorporating the prior term for regularization of the inverse problem, and to provide probabilistic results which are meaningful for decision making. In this work, the Bayesian methodology is applied to inverse problems in earthquake engineering and especially to structural health monitoring. The proposed methodology of Bayesian learning using automatic relevance determination (ARD) prior, including its kernel version called the Relevance Vector Machine, is presented and applied to earthquake early warning, earthquake ground motion attenuation estimation, and structural health monitoring, using either a Bayesian classification or regression approach. The classification and regression are both performed in three phases: (1) Phase I (feature extraction phase): Determine which features from the data to use in a training dataset; (2) Phase II (training phase): Identify the unknown parameters defining a model by using a training dataset; and (3) Phase III (prediction phase): Predict the results based on the features from new data. This work focuses on the advantages of making probabilistic predictions obtained by Bayesian methods to deal with all uncertainties and the good characteristics of the proposed method in terms of computationally efficient training, and, especially, vi prediction that make it suitable for real-time operation. It is shown that sparseness (using only smaller number of basis function terms) is produced in the regression equations and classification separating boundary by using the ARD prior along with Bayesian model class selection to select the most probable (plausible) model class based on the data. This model class selection procedure automatically produces optimal regularization of the problem at hand, making it well-conditioned. Several applications of the proposed Bayesian learning methodology are presented. First, automatic near-source and far-source classification of incoming ground motion signals is treated and the Bayesian learning method is used to determine which ground motion features are optimal for this classification. Second, a probabilistic earthquake attenuation model for peak ground acceleration is identified using selected optimal features, especially taking a non-linearly involved parameter into consideration. It is shown that the Bayesian learning method can be utilized to estimate not only linear coefficients but also a non-linearly involved parameter to provide an estimate for an unknown parameter in the kernel basis functions for Relevance Vector Machine. Third, the proposed method is extended to a general case of regression problems with vector outputs and applied to structural health monitoring applications. It is concluded that the proposed vector output RVM shows promise for estimating damage locations and their severities from change of modal properties such as natural frequencies and mode shapes

Structural and seismic monitoring of historical and contemporary buildings: general principles and applications

Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) indicates the continuous or periodic assessment of the conditions of a structure or a set of structures using information from sensor systems, integrated or autonomous, and from any further operation that is aimed at preserving structural integrity. SHM is a broad and multidisciplinary field, both for the spectrum of sciences and technologies involved and for the variety of applications. The technological developments that have made the advancement of this discipline possible come from many fields, including physics, chemistry, materials science, biology, but above all aerospace, civil, electronic and mechanical engineering. The first applications, at the turn of the sixties and seventies, concerned the integrity control of remote structural elements, such as foundation piles and submerged parts of off-shore platforms, but nowadays this type of monitoring is practiced on airplanes, vehicles spacecraft, ships, helicopters, automobiles, bridges, buildings, civil infrastructure, power plants, pipelines, electronic systems, manufacturing and processing facilities, and biological systems. This paper carries out an extensive examination of the theoretical and applicative foundations of structural and seismic monitoring, focusing in particular on methods that exploit natural vibrations and their use both in the diagnosis and in the prediction of the seismic response of civil structures, infrastructure networks, and traditional and modern architectural heritage