12,105 research outputs found

    Flood dynamics derived from video remote sensing

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    Flooding is by far the most pervasive natural hazard, with the human impacts of floods expected to worsen in the coming decades due to climate change. Hydraulic models are a key tool for understanding flood dynamics and play a pivotal role in unravelling the processes that occur during a flood event, including inundation flow patterns and velocities. In the realm of river basin dynamics, video remote sensing is emerging as a transformative tool that can offer insights into flow dynamics and thus, together with other remotely sensed data, has the potential to be deployed to estimate discharge. Moreover, the integration of video remote sensing data with hydraulic models offers a pivotal opportunity to enhance the predictive capacity of these models. Hydraulic models are traditionally built with accurate terrain, flow and bathymetric data and are often calibrated and validated using observed data to obtain meaningful and actionable model predictions. Data for accurately calibrating and validating hydraulic models are not always available, leaving the assessment of the predictive capabilities of some models deployed in flood risk management in question. Recent advances in remote sensing have heralded the availability of vast video datasets of high resolution. The parallel evolution of computing capabilities, coupled with advancements in artificial intelligence are enabling the processing of data at unprecedented scales and complexities, allowing us to glean meaningful insights into datasets that can be integrated with hydraulic models. The aims of the research presented in this thesis were twofold. The first aim was to evaluate and explore the potential applications of video from air- and space-borne platforms to comprehensively calibrate and validate two-dimensional hydraulic models. The second aim was to estimate river discharge using satellite video combined with high resolution topographic data. In the first of three empirical chapters, non-intrusive image velocimetry techniques were employed to estimate river surface velocities in a rural catchment. For the first time, a 2D hydraulicvmodel was fully calibrated and validated using velocities derived from Unpiloted Aerial Vehicle (UAV) image velocimetry approaches. This highlighted the value of these data in mitigating the limitations associated with traditional data sources used in parameterizing two-dimensional hydraulic models. This finding inspired the subsequent chapter where river surface velocities, derived using Large Scale Particle Image Velocimetry (LSPIV), and flood extents, derived using deep neural network-based segmentation, were extracted from satellite video and used to rigorously assess the skill of a two-dimensional hydraulic model. Harnessing the ability of deep neural networks to learn complex features and deliver accurate and contextually informed flood segmentation, the potential value of satellite video for validating two dimensional hydraulic model simulations is exhibited. In the final empirical chapter, the convergence of satellite video imagery and high-resolution topographical data bridges the gap between visual observations and quantitative measurements by enabling the direct extraction of velocities from video imagery, which is used to estimate river discharge. Overall, this thesis demonstrates the significant potential of emerging video-based remote sensing datasets and offers approaches for integrating these data into hydraulic modelling and discharge estimation practice. The incorporation of LSPIV techniques into flood modelling workflows signifies a methodological progression, especially in areas lacking robust data collection infrastructure. Satellite video remote sensing heralds a major step forward in our ability to observe river dynamics in real time, with potentially significant implications in the domain of flood modelling science

    Neuromodulatory effects on early visual signal processing

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    Understanding how the brain processes information and generates simple to complex behavior constitutes one of the core objectives in systems neuroscience. However, when studying different neural circuits, their dynamics and interactions researchers often assume fixed connectivity, overlooking a crucial factor - the effect of neuromodulators. Neuromodulators can modulate circuit activity depending on several aspects, such as different brain states or sensory contexts. Therefore, considering the modulatory effects of neuromodulators on the functionality of neural circuits is an indispensable step towards a more complete picture of the brain’s ability to process information. Generally, this issue affects all neural systems; hence this thesis tries to address this with an experimental and computational approach to resolve neuromodulatory effects on cell type-level in a well-define system, the mouse retina. In the first study, we established and applied a machine-learning-based classification algorithm to identify individual functional retinal ganglion cell types, which enabled detailed cell type-resolved analyses. We applied the classifier to newly acquired data of light-evoked retinal ganglion cell responses and successfully identified their functional types. Here, the cell type-resolved analysis revealed that a particular principle of efficient coding applies to all types in a similar way. In a second study, we focused on the issue of inter-experimental variability that can occur during the process of pooling datasets. As a result, further downstream analyses may be complicated by the subtle variations between the individual datasets. To tackle this, we proposed a theoretical framework based on an adversarial autoencoder with the objective to remove inter-experimental variability from the pooled dataset, while preserving the underlying biological signal of interest. In the last study of this thesis, we investigated the functional effects of the neuromodulator nitric oxide on the retinal output signal. To this end, we used our previously developed retinal ganglion cell type classifier to unravel type-specific effects and established a paired recording protocol to account for type-specific time-dependent effects. We found that certain retinal ganglion cell types showed adaptational type-specific changes and that nitric oxide had a distinct modulation of a particular group of retinal ganglion cells. In summary, I first present several experimental and computational methods that allow to study functional neuromodulatory effects on the retinal output signal in a cell type-resolved manner and, second, use these tools to demonstrate their feasibility to study the neuromodulator nitric oxide

    Applications of Deep Learning Models in Financial Forecasting

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    In financial markets, deep learning techniques sparked a revolution, reshaping conventional approaches and amplifying predictive capabilities. This thesis explored the applications of deep learning models to unravel insights and methodologies aimed at advancing financial forecasting. The crux of the research problem lies in the applications of predictive models within financial domains, characterised by high volatility and uncertainty. This thesis investigated the application of advanced deep-learning methodologies in the context of financial forecasting, addressing the challenges posed by the dynamic nature of financial markets. These challenges were tackled by exploring a range of techniques, including convolutional neural networks (CNNs), long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), autoencoders (AEs), and variational autoencoders (VAEs), along with approaches such as encoding financial time series into images. Through analysis, methodologies such as transfer learning, convolutional neural networks, long short-term memory networks, generative modelling, and image encoding of time series data were examined. These methodologies collectively offered a comprehensive toolkit for extracting meaningful insights from financial data. The present work investigated the practicality of a deep learning CNN-LSTM model within the Directional Change framework to predict significant DC events—a task crucial for timely decisionmaking in financial markets. Furthermore, the potential of autoencoders and variational autoencoders to enhance financial forecasting accuracy and remove noise from financial time series data was explored. Leveraging their capacity within financial time series, these models offered promising avenues for improved data representation and subsequent forecasting. To further contribute to financial prediction capabilities, a deep multi-model was developed that harnessed the power of pre-trained computer vision models. This innovative approach aimed to predict the VVIX, utilising the cross-disciplinary synergy between computer vision and financial forecasting. By integrating knowledge from these domains, novel insights into the prediction of market volatility were provided

    Online semi-supervised learning in non-stationary environments

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    Existing Data Stream Mining (DSM) algorithms assume the availability of labelled and balanced data, immediately or after some delay, to extract worthwhile knowledge from the continuous and rapid data streams. However, in many real-world applications such as Robotics, Weather Monitoring, Fraud Detection Systems, Cyber Security, and Computer Network Traffic Flow, an enormous amount of high-speed data is generated by Internet of Things sensors and real-time data on the Internet. Manual labelling of these data streams is not practical due to time consumption and the need for domain expertise. Another challenge is learning under Non-Stationary Environments (NSEs), which occurs due to changes in the data distributions in a set of input variables and/or class labels. The problem of Extreme Verification Latency (EVL) under NSEs is referred to as Initially Labelled Non-Stationary Environment (ILNSE). This is a challenging task because the learning algorithms have no access to the true class labels directly when the concept evolves. Several approaches exist that deal with NSE and EVL in isolation. However, few algorithms address both issues simultaneously. This research directly responds to ILNSE’s challenge in proposing two novel algorithms “Predictor for Streaming Data with Scarce Labels” (PSDSL) and Heterogeneous Dynamic Weighted Majority (HDWM) classifier. PSDSL is an Online Semi-Supervised Learning (OSSL) method for real-time DSM and is closely related to label scarcity issues in online machine learning. The key capabilities of PSDSL include learning from a small amount of labelled data in an incremental or online manner and being available to predict at any time. To achieve this, PSDSL utilises both labelled and unlabelled data to train the prediction models, meaning it continuously learns from incoming data and updates the model as new labelled or unlabelled data becomes available over time. Furthermore, it can predict under NSE conditions under the scarcity of class labels. PSDSL is built on top of the HDWM classifier, which preserves the diversity of the classifiers. PSDSL and HDWM can intelligently switch and adapt to the conditions. The PSDSL adapts to learning states between self-learning, micro-clustering and CGC, whichever approach is beneficial, based on the characteristics of the data stream. HDWM makes use of “seed” learners of different types in an ensemble to maintain its diversity. The ensembles are simply the combination of predictive models grouped to improve the predictive performance of a single classifier. PSDSL is empirically evaluated against COMPOSE, LEVELIW, SCARGC and MClassification on benchmarks, NSE datasets as well as Massive Online Analysis (MOA) data streams and real-world datasets. The results showed that PSDSL performed significantly better than existing approaches on most real-time data streams including randomised data instances. PSDSL performed significantly better than ‘Static’ i.e. the classifier is not updated after it is trained with the first examples in the data streams. When applied to MOA-generated data streams, PSDSL ranked highest (1.5) and thus performed significantly better than SCARGC, while SCARGC performed the same as the Static. PSDSL achieved better average prediction accuracies in a short time than SCARGC. The HDWM algorithm is evaluated on artificial and real-world data streams against existing well-known approaches such as the heterogeneous WMA and the homogeneous Dynamic DWM algorithm. The results showed that HDWM performed significantly better than WMA and DWM. Also, when recurring concept drifts were present, the predictive performance of HDWM showed an improvement over DWM. In both drift and real-world streams, significance tests and post hoc comparisons found significant differences between algorithms, HDWM performed significantly better than DWM and WMA when applied to MOA data streams and 4 real-world datasets Electric, Spam, Sensor and Forest cover. The seeding mechanism and dynamic inclusion of new base learners in the HDWM algorithms benefit from the use of both forgetting and retaining the models. The algorithm also provides the independence of selecting the optimal base classifier in its ensemble depending on the problem. A new approach, Envelope-Clustering is introduced to resolve the cluster overlap conflicts during the cluster labelling process. In this process, PSDSL transforms the centroids’ information of micro-clusters into micro-instances and generates new clusters called Envelopes. The nearest envelope clusters assist the conflicted micro-clusters and successfully guide the cluster labelling process after the concept drifts in the absence of true class labels. PSDSL has been evaluated on real-world problem ‘keystroke dynamics’, and the results show that PSDSL achieved higher prediction accuracy (85.3%) and SCARGC (81.6%), while the Static (49.0%) significantly degrades the performance due to changes in the users typing pattern. Furthermore, the predictive accuracies of SCARGC are found highly fluctuated between (41.1% to 81.6%) based on different values of parameter ‘k’ (number of clusters), while PSDSL automatically determine the best values for this parameter

    UMSL Bulletin 2023-2024

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    The 2023-2024 Bulletin and Course Catalog for the University of Missouri St. Louis.https://irl.umsl.edu/bulletin/1088/thumbnail.jp

    Life on a scale:Deep brain stimulation in anorexia nervosa

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    Anorexia nervosa (AN) is a severe psychiatric disorder marked by low body weight, body image abnormalities, and anxiety and shows elevated rates of morbidity, comorbidity and mortality. Given the limited availability of evidence-based treatments, there is an urgent need to investigate new therapeutic options that are informed by the disorder’s underlying neurobiological mechanisms. This thesis represents the first study in the Netherlands and one of a limited number globally to evaluate the efficacy, safety, and tolerability of deep brain stimulation (DBS) in the treatment of AN. DBS has the advantage of being both reversible and adjustable. Beyond assessing the primary impact of DBS on body weight, psychological parameters, and quality of life, this research is novel in its comprehensive approach. We integrated evaluations of efficacy with critical examinations of the functional impact of DBS in AN, including fMRI, electroencephalography EEG, as well as endocrinological and metabolic assessments. Furthermore, this work situates AN within a broader theoretical framework, specifically focusing on its manifestation as a form of self-destructive behavior. Finally, we reflect on the practical, ethical and philosophical aspects of conducting an experimental, invasive procedure in a vulnerable patient group. This thesis deepens our understanding of the neurobiological underpinnings of AN and paves the way for future research and potential clinical applications of DBS in the management of severe and enduring AN

    Development and assessment of learning-based vessel biomarkers from CTA in ischemic stroke

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    Detecting and Mitigating Adversarial Attack

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    Automating arrhythmia detection from ECG requires a robust and trusted system that retains high accuracy under electrical disturbances. Deep neural networks have become a popular technique for tracing ECG signals, outperforming human experts. Many approaches have reached human-level performance in classifying arrhythmia from ECGs. Even convolutional neural networks are susceptible to adversarial examples as well that can also misclassify ECG signals. Moreover, they do not generalize well on the out-of-distribution dataset. Adversarial attacks are small crafted perturbations injected in the original data which manifest the out-of-distribution shifts in signal to misclassify the correct class. However, these architectures are vulnerable to adversarial attacks as well. The GAN architecture has been employed in recent works to synthesize adversarial ECG signals to increase existing training data. However, they use a disjointed CNN-based classification architecture to detect arrhythmia. Till now, no versatile architecture has been proposed that can detect adversarial examples and classify arrhythmia simultaneously. In this work, we propose two novel conditional generative adversarial networks (GAN), ECG-Adv-GAN and ECG-ATK-GAN, to simultaneously generate ECG signals for different categories and detect cardiac abnormalities. The model is conditioned on class-specific ECG signals to synthesize realistic adversarial examples. Moreover, the ECG-ATK-GAN is robust against adversarial attacked ECG signals and retains high accuracy when exposed to various types of adversarial attacks while classifying arrhythmia. We benchmark our architecture on six different white and black-box attacks and compare them with other recently proposed arrhythmia classification models. When considering the defense strategy, the variation of the adversarial attacks, both targeted and non-targeted, can determine the perturbation by calculating the gradient. Novel defenses are being introduced to improve upon existing techniques to fend off each new attack. This back-and-forth game between attack and defense is persistently recurring, and it became significant to understand the pattern and behavior of the attacker to create a robust defense. One widespread tactic is applying a mathematically based model like Game theory. To analyze this circumstance, we propose a computational framework of game theory to analyze the CNN Classifier's vulnerability, strategy, and outcomes by forming a simultaneous two-player game. We represent the interaction in the Stackelberg Game in Kuhn tree to study players' possible behaviors and actions by applying our Classifier's actual predicted values in CAPTCHA dataset. Thus, we interpret potential attacks in deep learning applications while representing viable defense strategies from the Game theoretical perspective
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