29,372 research outputs found
Exploiting road traffic data for very short term load forecasting in smart grids
If accurate short term prediction of electricity consumption is available, the Smart Grid infrastructure can rapidly and reliably react to changing conditions. The economic importance of accurate predictions justifies research for more complex forecasting algorithms. This paper proposes road traffic data as a new input dimension that can help improve very short term load forecasting. We explore the dependencies between power demand and road traffic data and evaluate the predictive power of the added dimension compared with other common features, such as historical load and temperature profiles
Tensor Representation in High-Frequency Financial Data for Price Change Prediction
Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected,
the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity
for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle
movement of assets in High Frequency Trading (HFT), an automatic algorithm to
analyze and detect patterns of price change based on transaction records must
be available. The multichannel, time-series representation of financial data
naturally suggests tensor-based learning algorithms. In this work, we
investigate the effectiveness of two multilinear methods for the mid-price
prediction problem against other existing methods. The experiments in a large
scale dataset which contains more than 4 millions limit orders show that by
utilizing tensor representation, multilinear models outperform vector-based
approaches and other competing ones.Comment: accepted in SSCI 2017, typos fixe
What your Facebook Profile Picture Reveals about your Personality
People spend considerable effort managing the impressions they give others.
Social psychologists have shown that people manage these impressions
differently depending upon their personality. Facebook and other social media
provide a new forum for this fundamental process; hence, understanding people's
behaviour on social media could provide interesting insights on their
personality. In this paper we investigate automatic personality recognition
from Facebook profile pictures. We analyze the effectiveness of four families
of visual features and we discuss some human interpretable patterns that
explain the personality traits of the individuals. For example, extroverts and
agreeable individuals tend to have warm colored pictures and to exhibit many
faces in their portraits, mirroring their inclination to socialize; while
neurotic ones have a prevalence of pictures of indoor places. Then, we propose
a classification approach to automatically recognize personality traits from
these visual features. Finally, we compare the performance of our
classification approach to the one obtained by human raters and we show that
computer-based classifications are significantly more accurate than averaged
human-based classifications for Extraversion and Neuroticism
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