Augmenting Deep Learning Performance in an Evidential Multiple Classifier System

International audienceThe main objective of this work is to study the applicability of ensemble methods in the context of deep learning with limited amounts of labeled data. We exploit an ensemble of neural networks derived using Monte Carlo dropout, along with an ensemble of SVM classifiers which owes its effectiveness to the hand-crafted features used as inputs and to an active learning procedure. In order to leverage each classifier's respective strengths, we combine them in an evidential framework, which models specifically their imprecision and uncertainty. The application we consider in order to illustrate the interest of our Multiple Classifier System is pedestrian detection in high-density crowds, which is ideally suited for its difficulty, cost of labeling and intrinsic imprecision of annotation data. We show that the fusion resulting from the effective modeling of uncertainty allows for performance improvement, and at the same time, for a deeper interpretation of the result in terms of commitment of the decision

Knowledge from Uncertainty in Evidential Deep Learning

This work reveals an evidential signal that emerges from the uncertainty value in Evidential Deep Learning (EDL). EDL is one example of a class of uncertainty-aware deep learning approaches designed to provide confidence (or epistemic uncertainty) about the current test sample. In particular for computer vision and bidirectional encoder large language models, the `evidential signal' arising from the Dirichlet strength in EDL can, in some cases, discriminate between classes, which is particularly strong when using large language models. We hypothesise that the KL regularisation term causes EDL to couple aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty. In this paper, we empirically investigate the correlations between misclassification and evaluated uncertainty, and show that EDL's `evidential signal' is due to misclassification bias. We critically evaluate EDL with other Dirichlet-based approaches, namely Generative Evidential Neural Networks (EDL-GEN) and Prior Networks, and show theoretically and empirically the differences between these loss functions. We conclude that EDL's coupling of uncertainty arises from these differences due to the use (or lack) of out-of-distribution samples during training

Uncertainty-Aware Deep Classifiers using Generative Models

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high uncertainty for the data samples close to class boundaries or from the outside of the training distribution. These approaches use an auxiliary data set during training to represent out-of-distribution samples. However, selection or creation of such an auxiliary data set is non-trivial, especially for high dimensional data such as images. In this work we develop a novel neural network model that is able to express both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty to distinguish decision boundary and out-of-distribution regions of the feature space. To this end, variational autoencoders and generative adversarial networks are incorporated to automatically generate out-of-distribution exemplars for training. Through extensive analysis, we demonstrate that the proposed approach provides better estimates of uncertainty for in- and out-of-distribution samples, and adversarial examples on well-known data sets against state-of-the-art approaches including recent Bayesian approaches for neural networks and anomaly detection methods.Comment: This is a post-referred version of a conference paper published in AAAI 202

A Risk-Based IoT Decision-Making Framework Based on Literature Review with Human Activity Recognition Case Studies

The Internet of Things (IoT) is a key and growing technology for many critical real-life applications, where it can be used to improve decision making. The existence of several sources of uncertainty in the IoT infrastructure, however, can lead decision makers into taking inappropriate actions. The present work focuses on proposing a risk-based IoT decision-making framework in order to effectively manage uncertainties in addition to integrating domain knowledge in the decision-making process. A structured literature review of the risks and sources of uncertainty in IoT decision-making systems is the basis for the development of the framework and Human Activity Recognition (HAR) case studies. More specifically, as one of the main targeted challenges, the potential sources of uncertainties in an IoT framework, at different levels of abstraction, are firstly reviewed and then summarized. The modules included in the framework are detailed, with the main focus given to a novel risk-based analytics module, where an ensemble-based data analytic approach, called Calibrated Random Forest (CRF), is proposed to extract useful information while quantifying and managing the uncertainty associated with predictions, by using confidence scores. Its output is subsequently integrated with domain knowledge-based action rules to perform decision making in a cost-sensitive and rational manner. The proposed CRF method is firstly evaluated and demonstrated on a HAR scenario in a Smart Home environment in case study I and is further evaluated and illustrated with a remote health monitoring scenario for a diabetes use case in case study II. The experimental results indicate that using the framework’s raw sensor data can be converted into meaningful actions despite several sources of uncertainty. The comparison of the proposed framework to existing approaches highlights the key metrics that make decision making more rational and transparent

The effective use of the DSmT for multi-class classification

International audienceThe extension of the Dezert-Smarandache theory (DSmT) for the multi-class framework has a feasible computational complexity for various applications when the number of classes is limited or reduced typically two classes. In contrast, when the number of classes is large, the DSmT generates a high computational complexity. This paper proposes to investigate the effective use of the DSmT for multi-class classification in conjunction with the Support Vector Machines using the One-Against-All (OAA) implementation, which allows offering two advantages: firstly, it allows modeling the partial ignorance by including the complementary classes in the set of focal elements during the combination process and, secondly, it allows reducing drastically the number of focal elements using a supervised model by introducing exclusive constraints when classes are naturally and mutually exclusive. To illustrate the effective use of the DSmT for multi-class classification, two SVM-OAA implementations are combined according three steps: transformation of the SVM classifier outputs into posterior probabilities using a sigmoid technique of Platt, estimation of masses directly through the proposed model and combination of masses through the Proportional Conflict Redistribution (PCR6). To prove the effective use of the proposed framework, a case study is conducted on the handwritten digit recognition. Experimental results show that it is possible to reduce efficiently both the number of focal elements and the classification error rate

On the 3D point cloud for human-pose estimation

This thesis aims at investigating methodologies for estimating a human pose from a 3D point cloud that is captured by a static depth sensor. Human-pose estimation (HPE) is important for a range of applications, such as human-robot interaction, healthcare, surveillance, and so forth. Yet, HPE is challenging because of the uncertainty in sensor measurements and the complexity of human poses. In this research, we focus on addressing challenges related to two crucial components in the estimation process, namely, human-pose feature extraction and human-pose modeling. In feature extraction, the main challenge involves reducing feature ambiguity. We propose a 3D-point-cloud feature called viewpoint and shape feature histogram (VISH) to reduce feature ambiguity by capturing geometric properties of the 3D point cloud of a human. The feature extraction consists of three steps: 3D-point-cloud pre-processing, hierarchical structuring, and feature extraction. In the pre-processing step, 3D points corresponding to a human are extracted and outliers from the environment are removed to retain the 3D points of interest. This step is important because it allows us to reduce the number of 3D points by keeping only those points that correspond to the human body for further processing. In the hierarchical structuring, the pre-processed 3D point cloud is partitioned and replicated into a tree structure as nodes. Viewpoint feature histogram (VFH) and shape features are extracted from each node in the tree to provide a descriptor to represent each node. As the features are obtained based on histograms, coarse-level details are highlighted in large regions and fine-level details are highlighted in small regions. Therefore, the features from the point cloud in the tree can capture coarse level to fine level information to reduce feature ambiguity. In human-pose modeling, the main challenges involve reducing the dimensionality of human-pose space and designing appropriate factors that represent the underlying probability distributions for estimating human poses. To reduce the dimensionality, we propose a non-parametric action-mixture model (AMM). It represents high-dimensional human-pose space using low-dimensional manifolds in searching human poses. In each manifold, a probability distribution is estimated based on feature similarity. The distributions in the manifolds are then redistributed according to the stationary distribution of a Markov chain that models the frequency of human actions. After the redistribution, the manifolds are combined according to a probability distribution determined by action classification. Experiments were conducted using VISH features as input to the AMM. The results showed that the overall error and standard deviation of the AMM were reduced by about 7.9% and 7.1%, respectively, compared with a model without action classification. To design appropriate factors, we consider the AMM as a Bayesian network and propose a mapping that converts the Bayesian network to a neural network called NN-AMM. The proposed mapping consists of two steps: structure identification and parameter learning. In structure identification, we have developed a bottom-up approach to build a neural network while preserving the Bayesian-network structure. In parameter learning, we have created a part-based approach to learn synaptic weights by decomposing a neural network into parts. Based on the concept of distributed representation, the NN-AMM is further modified into a scalable neural network called NND-AMM. A neural-network-based system is then built by using VISH features to represent 3D-point-cloud input and the NND-AMM to estimate 3D human poses. The results showed that the proposed mapping can be utilized to design AMM factors automatically. The NND-AMM can provide more accurate human-pose estimates with fewer hidden neurons than both the AMM and NN-AMM can. Both the NN-AMM and NND-AMM can adapt to different types of input, showing the advantage of using neural networks to design factors

Towards Knowledge Uncertainty Estimation for Open Set Recognition

POCI-01-0247-FEDER-033479Uncertainty is ubiquitous and happens in every single prediction of Machine Learning models. The ability to estimate and quantify the uncertainty of individual predictions is arguably relevant, all the more in safety-critical applications. Real-world recognition poses multiple challenges since a model's knowledge about physical phenomenon is not complete, and observations are incomplete by definition. However, Machine Learning algorithms often assume that train and test data distributions are the same and that all testing classes are present during training. A more realistic scenario is the Open Set Recognition, where unknown classes can be submitted to an algorithm during testing. In this paper, we propose a Knowledge Uncertainty Estimation (KUE) method to quantify knowledge uncertainty and reject out-of-distribution inputs. Additionally, we quantify and distinguish aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty with the classical information-theoretical measures of entropy by means of ensemble techniques. We performed experiments on four datasets with different data modalities and compared our results with distance-based classifiers, SVM-based approaches and ensemble techniques using entropy measures. Overall, the effectiveness of KUE in distinguishing in- and out-distribution inputs obtained better results in most cases and was at least comparable in others. Furthermore, a classification with rejection option based on a proposed combination strategy between different measures of uncertainty is an application of uncertainty with proven results.publishersversionpublishe

Advances and Applications of Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) for Information Fusion (Collected Works), Vol. 4

The fourth volume on Advances and Applications of Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) for information fusion collects theoretical and applied contributions of researchers working in different fields of applications and in mathematics. The contributions (see List of Articles published in this book, at the end of the volume) have been published or presented after disseminating the third volume (2009, http://fs.unm.edu/DSmT-book3.pdf) in international conferences, seminars, workshops and journals. First Part of this book presents the theoretical advancement of DSmT, dealing with Belief functions, conditioning and deconditioning, Analytic Hierarchy Process, Decision Making, Multi-Criteria, evidence theory, combination rule, evidence distance, conflicting belief, sources of evidences with different importance and reliabilities, importance of sources, pignistic probability transformation, Qualitative reasoning under uncertainty, Imprecise belief structures, 2-Tuple linguistic label, Electre Tri Method, hierarchical proportional redistribution, basic belief assignment, subjective probability measure, Smarandache codification, neutrosophic logic, Evidence theory, outranking methods, Dempster-Shafer Theory, Bayes fusion rule, frequentist probability, mean square error, controlling factor, optimal assignment solution, data association, Transferable Belief Model, and others. More applications of DSmT have emerged in the past years since the apparition of the third book of DSmT 2009. Subsequently, the second part of this volume is about applications of DSmT in correlation with Electronic Support Measures, belief function, sensor networks, Ground Moving Target and Multiple target tracking, Vehicle-Born Improvised Explosive Device, Belief Interacting Multiple Model filter, seismic and acoustic sensor, Support Vector Machines, Alarm classification, ability of human visual system, Uncertainty Representation and Reasoning Evaluation Framework, Threat Assessment, Handwritten Signature Verification, Automatic Aircraft Recognition, Dynamic Data-Driven Application System, adjustment of secure communication trust analysis, and so on. Finally, the third part presents a List of References related with DSmT published or presented along the years since its inception in 2004, chronologically ordered