Cost effective and Non-intrusive occupancy detection in residential building through machine learning algorithm

Residential and commercial buildings consume more than 40% of energy and 76% of electricity in the U.S. Buildings also emit more than one-third of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions, which is the largest sector. A significant portion of the energy is wasted by unnecessary operations on heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, such as overheating/overcooling or operation without occupants. Wasteful behaviors consume twice the amount of energy compared to energy-conscious behaviors. Many commercial buildings utilize a building management system (BMS) and occupancy sensors to better control and monitor the HVAC and lighting system based on occupancy information. However, the complicated installation process of occupancy sensors and their long payback period have prevented consumers from adopting this technology in the residential sector. Hence, I explored a method to detect the presence of an occupant and utilize it to reduce energy wasting in residential buildings. Existing methods of occupancy detection often focus on directly measure occupancy information from environmental sensors. The validity of such a sensor network highly depends on the room configurations, so the approach is not readily transferrable to other residential buildings. Instead of direct measurement, the proposed scheme detects the change of occupancy in a building. The new scheme implements machine learning methods based on a sequence of human activities that happens in a short period. Since human activities are similar regardless of house floorplan, such an approach may lead to readily transferrable to other residential buildings. I explored three types of human activity sensor to detect door handle touch, water usage, and motion near the entrance, which are highly correlated with the change of occupancy. The occupancy change is not only based on one single human activity, it also depends on a series of human activities that happen in a short period, called event. As the events have different durations and cannot be readily applicable to existing machine learning models due to varying input matrix sizes. Hence, I devised a fixed format to summarize the event regardless of the total duration of the event. Then I used a machine learning model to identify the occupancy change based on the event data. The saving potential of occupancy driven thermostat is about 20 % of energy in residential buildings. However, the actual saving impact in any given house can vary significantly from the average value due to the large variety of residential buildings. Existing building simulation tools did not readily consider the random nature of occupancy and users’ comfort. For this reason, I explored a co-simulation platform that integrates an occupancy simulator, a cooling/heating setpoint control algorithm, a comfort level evaluator, and a building simulator together. I explored the annual energy saving impact of an occupancy-driven thermostat compare with a conventional thermostat. The simulation had been repeated in five U.S. cities (Fairbanks, New York City, San Francisco, Miami, and Phoenix) with distinctive climate zones

Building Occupancy Simulation and Data Assimilation Using a Graph Based Agent Oriented Model

Building occupancy simulation and estimation simulates the dynamics of occupants and estimates the real time spatial distribution of occupants in a building. It can benefit various applications like conserving energy, smart assist, building construction, crowd management, and emergency evacuation. Building occupancy simulation and estimation needs a simulation model and a data assimilation algorithm that assimilates real-time sensor data into the simulation model. Existing build occupancy simulation models include agent-based models and graph-based models. The agent-based models suffer high computation cost for simulating a large number occupants, and graph-based models overlook the heterogeneity and detailed behaviors of individuals. Recognizing the limitations of the existing models, in this dissertation, we combine the benefits of agent and graph based modeling and develop a new graph based agent oriented model which can efficiently simulate a large number of occupants in various building structures. To support real-time occupancy dynamics estimation, we developed a data assimilation framework based on Sequential Monte Carol Methods, and apply it to the graph-based agent oriented model to assimilate real time sensor data. Experimental results show the effectiveness of the developed model and the data assimilation framework. The major contributions of this dissertation work include 1) it provides an efficient model for building occupancy simulation which can accommodate thousands of occupants; 2) it provides an effective data assimilation framework for real-time estimation of building occupancy

Understanding building and urban environment interactions: An integrated framework for building occupancy modelling

Improving building energy efficiency requires accurate modelling and a comprehensive understanding of how occupants use building space. This thesis focuses on modelling building occupancy to enhance the predictive accuracy of occupancy patterns and gain a better understanding of the causal reasons for occupancy behaviour. A conceptual framework is proposed to relax the restriction of isolated building analysis, which accounts for interactions between buildings, its occupants, and other urban systems, such as the effects of transport incidents on occupancy and circulation in buildings. This thesis also presents a counterpart mapping of the framework that elaborates the links between modelling of transport and building systems. To operationalise the proposed framework, a novel modelling approach which has not been used in the current context, called the hazard-based model, is applied to model occupancy from a single building up to a district area. The proposed framework is further adapted to integrate more readily with transport models, to ensure that arrivals and departures to and from the building are consistent with the situation of the surrounding transport systems. The proposed framework and occupancy models are calibrated and validated using Wi-Fi data and other variables, such as transport and weather parameters, harvested from the South Kensington campus of Imperial College London. In addition to calibrating the occupancy model, integrating a travel simulator produces synthetic arrivals into or around the campus, which are further distributed over campus buildings via an adapted technique and feed the occupancy simulations. The model estimation results reveal the causal reasons for or exogenous effects on individual occupancy states. The validation results confirm the ability of the proposed models to predict building occupancy accurately both on average and day by day across the future dataset. Finally, evaluating occupancy simulations for various hypothetical scenarios provides valuable suggestions for efficient building design and facility operation.Open Acces

Analyzing WiFi connection counts in commercial/institutional buildings to estimate/predict occupancy patterns for optimizing buildings’ systems operation

Accurate occupancy information can help in optimizing the operation of building systems. To obtain this information, previous studies suggested using WiFi connection counts due to their strong correlation with occupancy counts. However, validating this correlation and investigating its variation have remained limited due to challenges regarding collecting ground-truth data. Moreover, the difficulty of integrating real-time WiFi traffic data in building automation systems hinders wide-scale deployment of this approach. This research addressed these gaps by proposing a methodology, including two modules focused on developing frameworks, for (i) validating the correlation between WiFi connection counts and actual building occupancy counts by using continuous ground-truth data collected from camera-based occupancy counters; and (ii) extracting occupancy indicators from WiFi connection count data which can then be used for updating control sequences. The proposed research was implemented in two institutional buildings to validate the proposed methods in two case studies. Results of the first case study showed Hour of the day, Day of the week, as well as occupancy level, affect the correlation between WiFi and occupancy counts. Furthermore, the proposed models could successfully estimate real-time occupancy counts and predict day-ahead occupancy counts with an average accuracy (R2) of 0.97 and 0.87, respectively. Moreover, the results of the second case study revealed that the proposed models could successfully predict weekly building occupancy patterns, with an average accuracy (RD2) of 0.90. Furthermore, the analysis identified peak occupancy timing, as well as arrival/departure times variations between different zones. These findings provided a proof-of-concept for the proposed methodology and demonstrated the potential of using WiFi connection count for estimating/forecasting occupancy counts at a large scale and extracting actionable information to optimize buildings’ system operation based on buildings’ unique occupancy patterns

An integrated framework for the next generation of Risk-Informed Performance-Based Design approach used in Fire Safety Engineering

Review of decades of worldwide experience using standards, codes and guidelines related to performance-based fire protection design for buildings has identified shortcomings in the interpretation, application and implementation of the performance-based design process, wide variation in the resulting levels of performance achieved by such designs, and several opportunities to enhance the process. While others have highlighted shortcomings in the past, as well as some ideas to enhance the process, it is proposed that a more fundamental change is needed. First, the political and technical components of the process need to be clearly delineated to facilitate better analysis and decision-making within each component. Second, the process needs to be changed from one which focuses only on fire safety systems to one which views buildings, their occupants and their contents as integrated systems. In doing so, the activities associated with the normal operation of a building and how they might be impacted by the occurrence of a fire event become clearer, as do mitigation options which account for the behaviors and activities associated with normal use. To support these changes, a new framework for a risk-informed performance-based process for fire protection design is proposed: one which is better integrated than current processes, that treats a fire event as a disruptive event of a larger and more complex building-occupant system, and that provides more specific guidance for engineering analysis with the aim to achieve more complete and consistent analysis. This Ph.D. Dissertation outlines the challenges with the existing approaches, presents the building-occupant system paradigm, illustrates how viewing fire (or any other hazard) as a disruptive event within an holistic building-occupant system can benefit the overall performance of this system over its lifespan, and outlines a framework for a risk-informed performance-based process for fire protection design. Case studies are used to illustrate shortcomings in the existing processes and how the proposed process will address these. This Dissertation also includes a plan of action needed to establish guidelines to conduct each of the technical steps of the process and briefly introduces the future work about how this plan could be practically facilitated via a web-platform as a collaborative environment

Advanced Occupancy Measurement Using Sensor Fusion

With roughly about half of the energy used in buildings attributed to Heating, Ventilation, and Air conditioning (HVAC) systems, there is clearly great potential for energy saving through improved building operations. Accurate knowledge of localised and real-time occupancy numbers can have compelling control applications for HVAC systems. However, existing technologies applied for building occupancy measurements are limited, such that a precise and reliable occupant count is difficult to obtain. For example, passive infrared (PIR) sensors commonly used for occupancy sensing in lighting control applications cannot differentiate between occupants grouped together, video sensing is often limited by privacy concerns, atmospheric gas sensors (such as CO2 sensors) may be affected by the presence of electromagnetic (EMI) interference, and may not show clear links between occupancy and sensor values. Past studies have indicated the need for a heterogeneous multi-sensory fusion approach for occupancy detection to address the short-comings of existing occupancy detection systems. The aim of this research is to develop an advanced instrumentation strategy to monitor occupancy levels in non-domestic buildings, whilst facilitating the lowering of energy use and also maintaining an acceptable indoor climate. Accordingly, a novel multi-sensor based approach for occupancy detection in open-plan office spaces is proposed. The approach combined information from various low-cost and non-intrusive indoor environmental sensors, with the aim to merge advantages of various sensors, whilst minimising their weaknesses. The proposed approach offered the potential for explicit information indicating occupancy levels to be captured. The proposed occupancy monitoring strategy has two main components; hardware system implementation and data processing. The hardware system implementation included a custom made sound sensor and refinement of CO2 sensors for EMI mitigation. Two test beds were designed and implemented for supporting the research studies, including proof-of-concept, and experimental studies. Data processing was carried out in several stages with the ultimate goal being to detect occupancy levels. Firstly, interested features were extracted from all sensory data collected, and then a symmetrical uncertainty analysis was applied to determine the predictive strength of individual sensor features. Thirdly, a candidate features subset was determined using a genetic based search. Finally, a back-propagation neural network model was adopted to fuse candidate multi-sensory features for estimation of occupancy levels. Several test cases were implemented to demonstrate and evaluate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed occupancy detection approach. Results have shown the potential of the proposed heterogeneous multi-sensor fusion based approach as an advanced strategy for the development of reliable occupancy detection systems in open-plan office buildings, which can be capable of facilitating improved control of building services. In summary, the proposed approach has the potential to: (1) Detect occupancy levels with an accuracy reaching 84.59% during occupied instances (2) capable of maintaining average occupancy detection accuracy of 61.01%, in the event of sensor failure or drop-off (such as CO2 sensors drop-off), (3) capable of utilising just sound and motion sensors for occupancy levels monitoring in a naturally ventilated space, (4) capable of facilitating potential daily energy savings reaching 53%, if implemented for occupancy-driven ventilation control

Critical review and research roadmap of office building energy management based on occupancy monitoring

Buildings are responsible for a large portion of global energy consumption. Therefore, a detailed investigation towards a more effective energy performance of buildings is needed. Building energy performance is mature in terms of parameters related to the buildings’ physical characteristics, and their attributes are easily collectable. However, the poor ability of emulating reality pertinent to time-dependent parameters, such as occupancy parameters, may result in large discrepancies between estimated and actual energy consumption. Although efforts are being made to minimize energy waste in buildings by applying different control strategies based on occupancy information, new practices should be examined to achieve fully smart buildings by providing more realistic occupancy models to reflect their energy usage. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the methods for collection and application of occupancy-related parameters affecting total building energy consumption. Different occupancy-based control strategies are investigated with emphasis on heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) and lighting systems. The advantages and limitations of existing methods are outlined to identify the gaps for future research

Literature review - Energy saving potential of user-centered integrated lighting solutions

Measures for the reduction of electric energy loads for lighting have predominantly focussed on increasing the efficiency of lighting systems. This efficiency has now reached levels unthinkable a few decades ago. However, a focus on mere efficiency is physically limiting, and does not necessarily ensure that the anticipated energy savings actually materialize. There are technical and non-technical reasons because of which effective integration of lighting solutions and their controls, and thus a reduction in energy use, does not happen. This literature review aims to assess the energy saving potential of integrated daylight and electric lighting design and controls, especially with respect to user preferences and behaviour. It does so by collecting available scientific knowledge and experience on daylighting, electric lighting, and related control systems, as well as on effective strategies for their integration. Based on this knowledge, the review suggests design processes, innovative design strategies and design solutions which – if implemented appropriately – could improve user comfort, health, well-being and productivity, while saving energy as well as the operation and maintenance of lighting systems. The review highlights also regulatory, technical, and design challenges hindering energy savings. Potential energy savings are reported from the retrieved studies. However, these savings derived from separate studies are dependent on their specific contexts, which lowers the ecological validity of the findings. Studies on strategies based on behavioural interventions, like information, feedback, and social norms, did not report energy saving performance. This is an interesting conclusion, since the papers indicate high potentials that deserve further exploration. Quantifying potential savings is fundamental to fostering large scale adoption of user-driven strategies, since this would allow at least a rough estimation of returns for the investors. However, such quantification requires that studies are designed with an inter-disciplinary approach. The literature also shows that strategies, where there is more communication between façade and lighting designers, are more successful in integrated design, which calls for more communication between stakeholders in future building processes