A BAYESIAN NETWORK APPROACH TO BATTERY AGING IN ELECTRIC VEHICLE TRANSPORTATION AND GRID INTEGRATION

Nowadays, batteries in electric vehicles (EVs) are facing a variety of tasks in their connection to the power grid in addition to the main task, driving. All of these tasks play a very significant role in the battery aging, but they are highly variable due to the change in the driver behavior, grid connection availability and weather conditions. The effect of these external factors in the battery degradation have been studied in literature by mostly deterministic and some stochastic approaches, but limited to specific cases. In this dissertation, first, a large-scale deterministic approach is implemented to evaluate the effect of variations in the EV battery daily tasks. To do so, a software tool named REV-Cycle is developed to simulate the EV powertrain and studied the effect of driving behavior, recharging facilities and timings, grid services and temperature/weather change effects, one by one. However, there are two main problems observed in the deterministic aging evaluation: First, the battery capacity fade factors such as temperature, cycling current, state of charge (SOC) … are dependent to the external variables such as location, vehicle owner’s behavior and availability of the grid connection. Therefore, it is not possible to accurately evaluate the battery degradation with a deterministic model, while its inputs are stochastic. Second, the battery aging factors’ dependency is hierarchical and it is not easy to follow and implement this hierarchy with deterministic models. Therefore, using a hierarchical probabilistic framework is proposed that can better represent the problem and realized that the Bayesian statistics with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can provide the problem solving structure needed for this purpose. A comprehensive hierarchical probabilistic model of the battery capacity fade is proposed using Hierarchical Bayesian Networks (HBN). The model considers all uncertainties of the process including vehicle acceleration and velocity, grid connection for charging and utility services, temperatures and all unseen intermediate variables such as battery power, auxiliary power, efficiencies, etc. and estimates the capacity fade as a probability distribution. Metropolis-Hastings MCMC algorithm is applied to generate the posterior distributions. This modeling approach shows promising result in different case studies and provides more informative evaluation of the battery capacity fade

Smart electric vehicle charging strategy in direct current microgrid

This thesis proposes novel electric vehicle (EV) charging strategies in DC microgrid (DCMG) for integrating network loads, EV charging/discharging and dispatchable generators (DGs) using droop control within DCMG. A novel two-stage optimization framework is deployed, which optimizes power flow in the network using droop control within DCMG and solves charging tasks with a modified Djistra algorithm. Charging tasks here are modeled as the shortest path problem considering system losses and battery degradation from the distribution system operator (DSO) and electric vehicles aggregator (EVA) respectively. Furthermore, a probabilistic distribution model is proposed to investigate the EV stochastic behaviours for a charging station including time-of-arrival (TOA), time-of-departure(TOD) and energy-to-be-charged (ETC) as well as the coupling characteristic between these parameters. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is employed to establish a multi-dimension probability distribution for those load profiles and further tests show the scheme is suitable for decentralized computing of its low burn-in request, fast convergent and good parallel acceleration performance. Following this, a three-stage stochastic EV charging strategy is designed to plug the probabilistic distribution model into the optimization framework, which becomes the first stage of the framework. Subsequently, an optimal power flow (OPF) model in the DCMG is deployed where the previous deterministic model is deployed in the second stage which stage one and stage two are combined as a chance-constrained problem in stage three and solved as a random walk problem. Finally, this thesis investigates the value of EV integration in the DCMG. The results obtained show that with smart control of EV charging/discharging, not only EV charging requests can be satisfied, but also network performance like peak valley difference can be improved by ancillary services. Meanwhile, both system loss and battery degradation from DSO and EVA can be minimized.Open Acces

Energy Management System Design for Fuel Cell Vehicles

Fuel cell vehicles combine the benefits of fuel cell stacks and energy storage systems to achieve fuel economy and zero emission. Energy management systems are vital to fuel cell vehicles in fuel economy and system durability since it determines the distribution of power from the fuel cell stack and energy storage system. In this thesis, we propose three novel energy management system designs for fuel cell vehicles to improve the vehicle energy system stability, optimality and durability. We first present a non-myopic energy management system for controlling multiple energy flows in fuel cell hybrid vehicles. The control problem is solved by convex programming under a partially observable Markov decision process based framework. We propose an average-reward approximator to estimate a long-term average cost instead of using a model to predict future power demand. Thus, the dependency between the system closed-loop performance and the model accuracy for predicting the future power demand is decoupled in the energy management design for fuel cell vehicles. The energy management scheme consists of a real-time self-learning system, an average-reward filter based on the Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling, and an action selector system through the rollout algorithm with convex programming based policy. The performance evaluation of the energy management strategy is conducted via simulation studies using data obtained from real-world driving experiments and its performance is compared with three benchmark schemes. To increase the applicability of the energy management system to various driving scenarios and multiple drivers, we propose an energy management scheme in fuel cell vehicle systems. The energy management problem is cast in the form of a nonlinear infinite-time optimisation problem. A model-based fuzzy control method is employed to design the control law. By linear matrix inequality approach, sufficient conditions are proposed to design the control strategy such that the energy system is robustly stable with a desired mixed H₂/H∞ performance. The effectiveness and potential of the new design technique developed are demonstrated by different real-world driving scenarios. By using optimal control principle, we further improve the energy management system performance in terms of reducing hydrogen consumption while maintaining the battery state of charge under practical operating constraints and uncertain future power demand. The fuzzy modelling approach is employed to describe the nonlinear power plant and a robust model predictive based control is designed to achieve the desired system performance. Moreover, traffic condition is incorporated into the energy management controller design to further improve the system performance. The effectiveness and advantages of the proposed control scheme are illustrated by a simulator developed based on real-world experimental data. Finally, we investigate the problem of controlling energy flow in fuel cell vehicles by considering system stability, optimality, and durability. The energy management problem is transformed into a nonlinear optimisation problem with multi-objectives to improve fuel economy, maintain battery state of charge, and reduce the incidence of factors affecting the fuel cell performance degradation. A robust model-predictive-based fuzzy control method is employed to design the nonlinear control law. The energy management system is capable of coordinating with a fuel cell stack state of health estimator and an energy storage system scheduler to achieve the optimisation objectives in the presence of uncertainty of the driver’s power demand. The effectiveness of the new design technique developed is demonstrated by conducting studies on control performance over typical urban/highway driving scenarios.Thesis (Ph.D.) -- University of Adelaide, School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, 202

Advanced Battery Technologies: New Applications and Management Systems

In recent years, lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) have been increasingly contributing to the development of novel engineering systems with energy storage requirements. LIBs are playing an essential role in our society, as they are being used in a wide variety of applications, ranging from consumer electronics, electric mobility, renewable energy storage, biomedical applications, or aerospace systems. Despite the remarkable achievements and applicability of LIBs, there are several features within this technology that require further research and improvements. In this book, a collection of 10 original research papers addresses some of those key features, including: battery testing methodologies, state of charge and state of health monitoring, and system-level power electronics applications. One key aspect to emphasize when it comes to this book is the multidisciplinary nature of the selected papers. The presented research was developed at university departments, institutes and organizations of different disciplines, including Electrical Engineering, Control Engineering, Computer Science or Material Science, to name a few examples. The overall result is a book that represents a coherent collection of multidisciplinary works within the prominent field of LIBs

Predictive Energy Management in Connected Vehicles: Utilizing Route Information Preview for Energy Saving

This dissertation formulates algorithms that use preview information of road terrain and traffic flow for reducing energy use and emissions of modern vehicles with conventional or hybrid powertrains. Energy crisis, long term energy deficit, and more restrictive environmental protection policies require developing more efficient and cleaner vehicle powertrain systems. An alternative to making advanced technology engines or electrifying the vehicle powertrain is utilizing ambient terrain and traffic information in the energy management of vehicles, a topic which has not been emphasized in the past. Today\u27s advances in vehicular telematics and advances in GIS (Geographic Information System), GPS (Global Positioning Systems), ITS (Intelligent Transportation Systems), V2V (Vehicle to Vehicle) communication, and VII (Vehicle Infrastructure Integration ) create more opportunities for predicting a vehicle\u27s trip information with details such as the future road grade, the distance to the destination, speed constraints imposed by the traffic flow, which all can be utilized for better vehicle energy management. Optimal or near optimal decision-making based on this available information requires optimal control methods, whose fundamental theories were well studied in the past but are not directly applicable due to the complexity of real problems and uncertainty in the available preview information. This dissertation proposes the use of optimal control theories and tools including Pontryagin minimum principle, Dynamic Programming (DP) which is a numerical realization of Bellman\u27s principle of optimality, and Model Predictive Control (MPC) in the optimization-based control of hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and conventional vehicles based on preview of future route information. The dissertation includes three parts introduced as follows: First, the energy saving benefit in HEV energy management by previewing future terrain information and applying optimal control methods is explored. The potential gain in fuel economy is evaluated, if road grade information is integrated in energy management of hybrid vehicles. Real-world road geometry information is taken into account in power management decisions by using both Dynamic Programming (DP) and a standard Equivalent Consumption Minimization Strategy (ECMS), derived using Pontryagin minimum principle. Secondly, the contribution of different levels of preview to energy management of plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs) is studied. The gains to fuel economy of plug-in hybrid vehicles with availability of velocity and terrain preview and knowledge of distance to the next charging station are investigated. Access to future driving information is classified into full, partial, or no future information and energy management strategies for real-time implementation with partial future preview are proposed. ECMS as well as Dynamic Programming (DP) is systematically utilized to handle the resulting optimal control problems with different levels of preview. We also study the benefit of future traffic flow information preview in improving the fuel economy of conventional vehicles by predictive control methods. According to the time-scale of the preview information and its importance to the driver, the energy optimization problem is decomposed into different levels. In the microscopic level, a model predictive controller as well as a car following model is employed for predictive adaptive cruise control by stochastically forecasting the driving behavior of the lead car. In the macroscopic level, we propose to incorporate the estimated macroscopic future traffic flow information and optimize the cost-to-go by utilizing a two-dimension Dynamic Programming (2D-DP). The algorithm yields the optimal trip velocity as the reference velocity for the driver or a low level controller to follow. Through the study, we show that energy use and emissions can be reduced considerably by using preview route information. The methodologies discussed in this dissertation provide an alternative mean for the automotive industry to develop more efficient and environmentally friendly vehicles by relying mostly on software and information and with minimal hardware investments