Performance Measures to Assess Resiliency and Efficiency of Transit Systems

Transit agencies are interested in assessing the short-, mid-, and long-term performance of infrastructure with the objective of enhancing resiliency and efficiency. This report addresses three distinct aspects of New Jersey’s Transit System: 1) resiliency of bridge infrastructure, 2) resiliency of public transit systems, and 3) efficiency of transit systems with an emphasis on paratransit service. This project proposed a conceptual framework to assess the performance and resiliency for bridge structures in a transit network before and after disasters utilizing structural health monitoring (SHM), finite element (FE) modeling and remote sensing using Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR). The public transit systems in NY/NJ were analyzed based on their vulnerability, resiliency, and efficiency in recovery following a major natural disaster

Investigating Cost-Effective and Time-Efficient Ways to Speed Up Transit

With the emphasis on cities worldwide prioritizing more environmentally friendly forms of transportation, along with a new focus on equity to ensure that underserved and disadvantaged communities are served equitably and receive services that enable economic opportunity, access to recreation opportunities, and social services, equitable and sustainable forms of transportation are required. This study explores potential methods for enhancing and strengthening transit as a reliable and sustainable means of transportation. This study evaluates cost-effective methods for achieving significant gains in improving transit reliability and speed

Smarter choices - changing the way we travel

Summary: In recent years, there has been growing interest in a range of initiatives, which are now widelydescribed as 'soft' transport policy measures. These seek to give better information and opportunities,aimed at helping people to choose to reduce their car use while enhancing the attractiveness ofalternatives. They are fairly new as part of mainstream transport policy, mostly relativelyuncontroversial, and often popular. They include:. Workplace and school travel plans;. Personalised travel planning, travel awareness campaigns, and public transport information andmarketing;. Car clubs and car sharing schemes;. Teleworking, teleconferencing and home shopping.This report draws on earlier studies of the impact of soft measures, new evidence from the UK andabroad, case study interviews relating to 24 specific initiatives, and the experience of commercial,public and voluntary stakeholders involved in organising such schemes. Each of the soft factors isanalysed separately, followed by an assessment of their combined potential impact.The assessment focuses on two different policy scenarios for the next ten years. The 'high intensity'scenario identifies the potential provided by a significant expansion of activity to a much morewidespread implementation of present good practice, albeit to a realistic level which still recognisesthe constraints of money and other resources, and variation in the suitability and effectiveness of softfactors according to local circumstances. The 'low intensity' scenario is broadly defined as aprojection of the present (2003-4) levels of local and national activity on soft measures.The main features of the high intensity scenario would be. A reduction in peak period urban traffic of about 21% (off-peak 13%);. A reduction of peak period non-urban traffic of about 14% (off-peak 7%);. A nationwide reduction in all traffic of about 11%.These projected changes in traffic levels are quite large (though consistent with other evidence onbehavioural change at the individual level), and would produce substantial reductions in congestion.However, this would tend to attract more car use, by other people, which could offset the impact ofthose who reduce their car use unless there are measures in place to prevent this. Therefore, thoseexperienced in the implementation of soft factors locally usually emphasise that success depends onsome or all of such supportive policies as re-allocation of road capacity and other measures toimprove public transport service levels, parking control, traffic calming, pedestrianisation, cyclenetworks, congestion charging or other traffic restraint, other use of transport prices and fares, speedregulation, or stronger legal enforcement levels. The report also records a number of suggestionsabout local and national policy measures that could facilitate the expansion of soft measures.The effects of the low intensity scenario, in which soft factors are not given increased policy prioritycompared with present practice, are estimated to be considerably less than those of the high intensityscenario, including a reduction in peak period urban traffic of about 5%, and a nationwide reductionin all traffic of 2%-3%. These smaller figures also assume that sufficient other supporting policies areused to prevent induced traffic from eroding the effects, notably at peak periods and in congestedconditions. Without these supportive measures, the effects could be lower, temporary, and perhapsinvisible.Previous advice given by the Department for Transport in relation to multi-modal studies was that softfactors might achieve a nationwide traffic reduction of about 5%. The policy assumptionsunderpinning this advice were similar to those used in our low intensity scenario: our estimate isslightly less, but the difference is probably within the range of error of such projections.The public expenditure cost of achieving reduced car use by soft measures, on average, is estimated atabout 1.5 pence per car kilometre, i.e. £15 for removing each 1000 vehicle kilometres of traffic.Current official practice calculates the benefit of reduced traffic congestion, on average, to be about15p per car kilometre removed, and more than three times this level in congested urban conditions.Thus every £1 spent on well-designed soft measures could bring about £10 of benefit in reducedcongestion alone, more in the most congested conditions, and with further potential gains fromenvironmental improvements and other effects, provided that the tendency of induced traffic to erodesuch benefits is controlled. There are also opportunities for private business expenditure on some softmeasures, which can result in offsetting cost savings.Much of the experience of implementing soft factors is recent, and the evidence is of variable quality.Therefore, there are inevitably uncertainties in the results. With this caveat, the main conclusion isthat, provided they are implemented within a supportive policy context, soft measures can besufficiently effective in facilitating choices to reduce car use, and offer sufficiently good value formoney, that they merit serious consideration for an expanded role in local and national transportstrategy.AcknowledgementsWe gratefully acknowledge the many contributions made by organisations and individuals consultedas part of the research, and by the authors of previous studies and literature reviews which we havecited. Specific acknowledgements are given at the end of each chapter.We have made extensive use of our own previous work including research by Lynn Sloman funded bythe Royal Commission for the Exhibition of 1851 on the traffic impact of soft factors and localtransport schemes (in part previously published as 'Less Traffic Where People Live'); and by SallyCairns and Phil Goodwin as part of the research programme of TSU supported by the Economic andSocial Research Council, and particularly research on school and workplace travel plans funded bythe DfT (and managed by Transport 2000 Trust), on car dependence funded by the RAC Foundation,on travel demand analysis funded by DfT and its predecessors, and on home shopping funded byEUCAR. Case studies to accompany this report are available at: http://eprints.ucl.ac.uk/archive/00001233

Roadway System Assessment Using Bluetooth-Based Automatic Vehicle Identification Travel Time Data

This monograph is an exposition of several practice-ready methodologies for automatic vehicle identification (AVI) data collection systems. This includes considerations in the physical setup of the collection system as well as the interpretation of the data. An extended discussion is provided, with examples, demonstrating data techniques for converting the raw data into more concise metrics and views. Examples of statistical before-after tests are also provided. A series of case studies were presented that focus on various real-world applications, including the impact of winter weather on freeway operations, the economic benefit of traffic signal retiming, and the estimation of origin-destination matrices from travel time data. The technology used in this report is Bluetooth MAC address matching, but the concepts are extendible to other AVI data sources

Exploring Travel Time Reliability Using Bluetooth Data Collection: A Case Study in San Luis Obispo, California

Bluetooth technology applications have improved travel time data collection efforts and allowed for collection of large data sets at a low cost per data unit. Mean travel times between pairs of points are available, but the primary value of this technique is the availability of the entire distribution of travel times throughout multiple days and time periods, allowing for a greater understanding of travel time variations and reliability. The use of these data for transportation planning, engineering and operations continues to expand. Previous applications of similar data sources have included travel demand and simulation model validation, work zone traffic patterns, transit ridership and reliability, pedestrian movement patterns, and before-after studies of transportation improvements. This thesis investigates the collection and analysis of Bluetooth-enabled travel time data along a multimodal arterial corridor in San Luis Obispo, California. Five BlueMAC devices collected multimodal travel time data in January and February 2016 along Los Osos Valley Road. These datasets were used to identify and process known sources of error such as occasions where vehicles using the roadway turn off and make an intermediate stop and multiple reads from the same vehicle; quantify travel time performance and reliability along arterial streets; and compare transit, bicycle, and pedestrian facility performance. Additionally, a travel time model was estimated based on segment characteristics and Bluetooth data to estimate average speeds and travel time distributions

Modelação interpretativa da segurança e emissões em corredores de rotundas e semáforos

Scientific research has demonstrated that the operational, environmental and safety performance for pedestrians depend on the geometric and traffic stream characteristics of the roundabout. However, the implementation of roundabouts may result in a trade-off among capacity, environmental, and safety variables. Also, little is known about the potential impacts for traffic from the use of functionally interdependent roundabouts in series along corridors. Thus, this doctoral thesis stresses the importance of understanding in how roundabout corridors affect traffic performance, vehicular emissions and safety for vulnerable users as pedestrians. The development of a methodology capable of integrating corridor’s geometric and operational elements is a contribution of this work. The main objectives of the thesis are as follows: 1) to analyze the effect of corridor’s design features in the acceleration patterns and emissions; 2) to understand the differences in the spatial distribution of emissions between roundabouts in isolation and along corridors; 3) to compare corridors with different forms of intersections such as conventional roundabouts, turbo-roundabouts, traffic lights and stop-controlled intersections; and 4) to design corridor-specific characteristics to optimize vehicle delay, and global (carbon dioxide – CO2) and local (carbon monoxide – CO, nitrogen oxides – NOX and hydrocarbons – HC) pollutant emissions. Vehicle dynamics along with traffic and pedestrian flow data were collected from 12 corridors with conventional roundabouts located in Portugal, Spain and in the United States, 3 turbo-roundabout corridors in the Netherlands, and 1 mixed roundabout/traffic-lights/stop-controlled corridor in Portugal. Data for approximately 2,000 km of road coverage over the course of 50 h have been collected. Subsequently, a microscopic platform of traffic (VISSIM), emissions (Vehicle Specific Power – VSP) and safety (Surrogate Safety Assessment Model – SSAM) was introduced to faithful reproduce site-specific operations and to examine different alternative scenarios. The main research findings showed that the spacing between intersections influenced vehicles acceleration-deceleration patterns and emissions. In contrast, the deflection angle at the entrances (element that impacts emissions on isolated roundabouts) impacted slightly on the spatial distribution of emissions. It was also found that the optimal crosswalk locations along mid-block sections in roundabout corridor was generally controlled by spacing, especially in the case of short spacing between intersections (< 200 m). The implementation of turbo-roundabout in series along corridors increased emissions compared to conventional two-lane roundabout corridors (1-5%, depending on the pollutant). By changing the location of a roundabout or turbo-roundabout to increase spacing in relation to upstream/downstream intersection resulted in an improvement of corridor emissions. Under conditions of high through traffic and unbalanced traffic flows between main roads and minor roads, vehicles along roundabout corridors produced fewer emissions (~5%) than did vehicles along signalized corridors, but they emitted more gases (~12%) compared to a corridor with stop-controlled intersections. This research contributed to the current state-of-art by proving a full comprehension about the operational and geometric benefits and limitations of roundabout corridors. It also established correlations between geometric variable of corridors (spacing), crosswalk locations or traffic streams, and delay, and CO2, CO, NOX or HC variables. With this research, it has been demonstrated that the implementation of a given intersection form within a corridor focused on minimizing CO2 may not be translated to other variables such as CO or NOX. Therefore, the develop methodology is a decision supporting tool capable of assessing and selecting suitable traffic controls according the site-specific needs.Estudos anteriores demonstram que os desempenhos operacional, ambiental e ao nível da segurança para os peões de uma rotunda dependem das suas características geométricas e dos fluxos de tráfego e de peões. Porém, a implementação de uma rotunda pode traduzir-se numa avaliação de compromisso entre as variáveis da capacidade, emissões de poluentes e segurança. Para além disso, a informação relativa às potencialidades de rotundas interdependentes ao longo de corredores é diminuta. Assim, esta tese de doutoramento centra-se na compreensão dos impactos no desempenho do tráfego, emissões e segurança dos peões inerentes ao funcionamento de corredores de rotundas. Uma das contribuições deste trabalho é o desenvolvimento de uma metodologia capaz de avaliar as características geométricas e operacionais dos corredores de forma integrada. Os principais objetivos desta tese são: 1) analisar o impacto dos elementos geométricos dos corredores de rotundas em termos dos perfis de aceleração e das emissões; 2) investigar as principais diferenças na distribuição espacial das emissões entre rotundas isoladas e em corredores; 3) comparar os desempenhos operacional e ambiental de corredores com diferentes tipos de interseções tais como rotundas convencionais, turbo-rotundas, cruzamentos semaforizados e interseções prioritárias; e 4) dimensionar um corredor de modo a otimizar o atraso dos veículos, e emissões de poluentes globais (dióxido de carbono – CO2) e locais (monóxido de carbono – CO, óxidos de azoto – NOx e hidrocarbonetos – HC). O trabalho de monitorização experimental consistiu na recolha de dados da dinâmica do veículo, e volumes de tráfego e pedonais. Para tal, foram selecionados 12 corredores com rotundas convencionais em Portugal, Espanha e Estados Unidos da América, 3 corredores com turbo-rotundas na Holanda e ainda um corredor misto com rotundas, sinais luminosos e interseções prioritárias em Portugal. No total foram recolhidos aproximadamente 2000 km de dados da dinâmica do veículo, num total de 50 h. Foi utilizada uma plataforma de modelação microscópica de tráfego (VISSIM), emissões (Vehicle Specific Power – VSP) e segurança (Surrogate Safety Assessment Model – SSAM) de modo a replicar as condições de tráfego locais e avaliar cenários alternativos. Os resultados mostraram que o espaçamento entre interseções teve um impacto significativo nos perfis de aceleração e emissões. No entanto, tal não se verificou para o ângulo de deflexão de entrada (elemento fulcral nos níveis de emissões em rotundas isoladas), nomeadamente nos casos em que as rotundas adjacentes estavam próximas (< 200 m). A implementação de corredores de turbo-rotundas conduziu ao aumento das emissões face a um corredor convencional de rotundas com duas vias (1-5%, dependendo do poluente). A relocalização de uma rotunda ou turbo-rotunda no interior do corredor, de modo a aumentar o espaçamento em relação a uma interseção a jusante e/ou a montante, levou a uma melhoria das emissões do corredor. Conclui-se também que em condições de elevado tráfego de atravessamento e não uniformemente distribuído entre as vias principais e secundárias, os veículos ao longo de um corredor com rotundas produziram menos emissões (~5%) face a um corredor com semáforos, mas emitiram mais gases (~12%) comparativamente a um corredor de interseções prioritárias. Esta investigação contribuiu para o estado de arte através da análise detalhada dos benefícios e limitações dos corredores de rotundas tanto ao nível geométrico como ao nível operacional. Adicionalmente, estabeleceram-se várias correlações entre variáveis geométricas do corredor (espaçamento), localização das passadeiras e volume de tráfego, o atraso, e emissões de CO2, CO, NOX e HC. Demonstrou-se ainda que a implementação de uma interseção ao longo do corredor com a finalidade de minimizar o CO2 pode não resultar na melhoria de outras variáveis tais como o CO ou NOX. Esta metodologia serve como apoio à decisão e, portanto, permite avaliar o tipo de interseção mais adequado de acordo com as especificidades de cada local.Programa Doutoral em Engenharia Mecânic

Exploring Data Driven Models of Transit Travel Time and Delay

Transit travel time and operating speed influence service attractiveness, operating cost, system efficiency and sustainability. The Tri-County Metropolitan Transportation District of Oregon (TriMet) provides public transportation service in the tri-county Portland metropolitan area. TriMet was one of the first transit agencies to implement a Bus Dispatch System (BDS) as a part of its overall service control and management system. TriMet has had the foresight to fully archive the BDS automatic vehicle location and automatic passenger count data for all bus trips at the stop level since 1997. More recently, the BDS system was upgraded to provide stop-level data plus 5-second resolution bus positions between stops. Rather than relying on prediction tools to determine bus trajectories (including stops and delays) between stops, the higher resolution data presents actual bus positions along each trip. Bus travel speeds and intersection signal/queuing delays may be determined using this newer information. This thesis examines the potential applications of higher resolution transit operations data for a bus route in Portland, Oregon, TriMet Route 14. BDS and 5-second resolution data from all trips during the month of October 2014 are used to determine the impacts and evaluate candidate trip time models. Comparisons are drawn between models and some conclusions are drawn regarding the utility of the higher resolution transit data. In previous research inter-stop models were developed based on the use of average or maximum speed between stops. We know that this does not represent realistic conditions of stopping at a signal/crosswalk or traffic congestion along the link. A new inter-stop trip time model is developed using the 5-second resolution data to determine the number of signals encountered by the bus along the route. The variability in inter-stop time is likely due to the effect of the delay superimposed by signals encountered. This newly developed model resulted in statistically significant results. This type of information is important to transit agencies looking to improve bus running times and reliability. These results, the benefits of archiving higher resolution data to understand bus movement between stops, and future research opportunities are also discussed

Quantifying the Mobility and Safety Benefits of Transit Signal Priority

The continuous growth of automobile traffic on urban and suburban arterials in recent years has created a substantial problem for transit, especially when it operates in mixed traffic conditions. As a result, there has been a growing interest in deploying Transit Signal Priority (TSP) to improve the operational performance of arterial corridors. TSP is an operational strategy that facilitates the movement of transit vehicles (e.g., buses) through signalized intersections that helps transit service be more reliable, faster, and more cost-effective. The goal of this research was to quantify the mobility and safety benefits of TSP. A microscopic simulation approach was used to estimate the mobility benefits of TSP. Microscopic simulation models were developed in VISSIM and calibrated to represent field conditions. Implementing TSP provided significant savings in travel time and average vehicle delay. Under the TSP scenario, the study corridor also experienced significant reduction in travel time and average vehicle delay for buses and all other vehicles. The importance and benefits of calibration of VISSIM model with TSP integration were also studied as a part of the mobility benefits. Besides quantifying the mobility benefits, the potential safety benefits of the TSP strategy were also quantified. An observational before-after full Bayes (FB) approach with a comparison-group was adopted to estimate the crash modification factors (CMFs) for total crashes, fatal/injury (FI) crashes, property damage only (PDO) crashes, rear-end crashes, sideswipe crashes, and angle crashes. The analysis was based on 12 corridors equipped with the TSP system and their corresponding 29 comparison corridors without the TSP system. Overall, the results indicated that the deployment of TSP improved safety. Specifically, TSP was found to reduce total crashes by 7.2% (CMF = 0.928), FI crashes by 14% (CMF = 0.860), PDO crashes by 8% (CMF = 0.920), rear-end crashes by 5.2% (CMF = 0.948), and angle crashes by 21.9% (CMF = 0.781). Alternatively, sideswipe crashes increased by 6% (CMF = 1.060), although the increase was not significant at a 95% Bayesian credible interval (BCI). These results may present key considerations for transportation agencies and practitioners when planning future TSP deployments

Estimation and Control of Traffic Relying on Vehicular Connectivity

Vehicular traffic flow is essential, yet complicated to analyze. It describes the interplay among vehicles and with the infrastructure. A better understanding of traf-fic would benefit both individuals and the whole society in terms of improving safety, energy efficiency, and reducing environmental impacts. A large body of research ex-ists on estimation and control of vehicular traffic in which, however, vehicles were assumed not to be able to share information due to the limits of technology. With the development of wireless communication and various sensor devices, Connected Vehicles(CV) are emerging which are able to detect, access, and share information with each other and with the infrastructure in real time. Connected Vehicle Technology (CVT) has been attracting more and more attentions from different fields. The goal of this dissertation is to develop approaches to estimate and control vehicular traffic as well as individual vehicles relying on CVT. On one hand, CVT sig-nificantly enriches the data from individuals and the traffic, which contributes to the accuracy of traffic estimation algorithms. On the other hand, CVT enables commu-nication and information sharing between vehicles and infrastructure, and therefore allows vehicles to achieve better control and/or coordination among themselves and with smart infrastructure. The first part of this dissertation focused on estimation of traffic on freeways and city streets. We use data available from on road sensors and also from probe One of the most important traffic performance measures is travel time. How-ever it is affected by various factors, and freeways and arterials have different travel time characteristics. In this dissertation we first propose a stochastic model-based approach to freeway travel-time prediction. The approach uses the Link-Node Cell Transmission Model (LN-CTM) to model traffic and provides a probability distribu-tion for travel time. The probability distribution is generated using a Monte Carlo simulation and an Online Expectation Maximization clustering algorithm. Results show that the approach is able to generate a reasonable multimodal distribution for travel-time. For arterials, this dissertation presents methods for estimating statistics of travel time by utilizing sparse vehicular probe data. A public data feed from transit buses in the City of San Francisco is used. We divide each link into shorter segments, and propose iterative methods for allocating travel time statistics to each segment. Inspired by K-mean and Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithms, we iteratively update the mean and variance of travel time for each segment based on historical probe data until convergence. Based on segment travel time statistics, we then pro-pose a method to estimate the maximum likelihood trajectory (MLT) of a probe vehicle in between two data updates on arterial roads. The results are compared to high frequency ground truth data in multiple scenarios, which demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The second part of this dissertation emphasize on control approaches enabled by vehicular connectivity. Estimation and prediction of surrounding vehicle behaviors and upcoming traffic makes it possible to improve driving performance. We first propose a Speed Advisory System for arterial roads, which utilizes upcoming traffi