Control Mechanisms in Queueing Systems with Nonlinear Waiting Costs

In many queueing systems, customers have been observed to exhibit strategic behavior. Each customer gains a value when receiving a product or getting served and suffers when incurring a delay. We consider a nonlinear waiting cost function to capture the sensitivity of customers toward delay. We investigate customers' behavior and system manager's strategy in two different settings: (1) customers are served in a service system, or (2) they receive a product in a supply chain. In the first model, we study an unobservable queueing system. We consider that customers are impatient, and are faced with decision problems whether to join a service system upon arrival, and whether to remain or renege at a later time. The goal is to address two important elements of queueing analysis and control: (1) customer characteristics and behavior, and (2) queueing control. The literature on customer strategic behavior in queues predominately focuses on the effects of waiting time and largely ignores the mixed risk attitude of customer behavior. Empirical studies have found that customers’ risk attitudes, their anticipated time, and their wait time affect their decision to join or abandon a queue. To explore this relationship, we analyze the mixed risk attitude together with a non-linear waiting cost function that includes the degree of risk aversion. Considering this behavior, we analyze individuals' joint balking and reneging strategy and characterize socially optimal strategy. To determine the optimal queue control policy from a revenue-maximizer perspective, which induces socially optimal behavior and eliminates customer externalities, we propose a joint entrance-fee/abandonment-threshold mechanism. We show that using a pricing policy without abandonment threshold is not sufficient to induce socially optimal behavior and in many cases results in a profit lower than the maximum social welfare the system can generate. Also, considering both customer characteristics and queue control policy, our findings suggest that customers with a moderate anticipation time provide higher expected revenue, acknowledging the importance of understanding customer behavior with respect to both wait time and risk attitude in the presence of anticipation time. In the second model, we consider a two-echelon production inventory system with a single manufacturer and a single distribution center (DC) where the manufacturer has a finite production capacity. There is a positive transportation time between the manufacturer and the DC. Each customer gains a value when receiving the product and suffers a waiting cost when incurring a delay. We assume that customers' waiting cost depends on their degree of impatience with respect to delay (delay sensitivity). We consider a nonlinear waiting cost function to show the degree of risk aversion (impatience intensity) of customers. We assume that customers follow the strategy p where they join the system and place an order with probability p. We analyze the inventory system with a base-stock policy in both the DC and the manufacturer. Since customers and supply chain holder are strategic, we study the Stackelberg equilibrium assuming that the DC acts as a Stackelberg leader and customers are the followers. We first obtain the total expected revenue and then derive the optimal base-stock level as well as the optimal price at the DC

Optimal control of queueing systems with multiple heterogeneous facilities

This thesis discusses queueing systems in which decisions are made when customers arrive, either by individual customers themselves or by a central controller. Decisions are made concerning whether or not customers should be admitted to the system (admission control) and, if they are to be admitted, where they should go to receive service (routing control). An important objective is to compare the effects of "selfish" decision-making, in which customers make decisions aimed solely at optimising their own outcomes, with those of "socially optimal" control policies, which optimise the economic performance of the system as a whole. The problems considered are intended to be quite general in nature, and the resulting findings are therefore broad in scope. Initially, M/M/1 queueing systems are considered, and the results presented establish novel connections between two distinct areas of the literature. Subsequently, a more complicated problem is considered, involving routing control in a system which consists of heterogeneous, multiple-server facilities arranged in parallel. It is shown that the multiple-facility system can be formulated mathematically as a Markov Decision Process (MDP), and this enables a fundamental relationship to be proved between individually optimal and socially optimal policies which is of great theoretical and practical importance. Structural properties of socially optimal policies are analysed rigorously, and it is found that 'simple' characterisations of socially optimal policies are usually unattainable in systems with heterogeneous facilities. Finally, the feasibility of finding 'near-optimal' policies for large scale systems by using heuristics and simulation-based methods is considered

Call Center Experience Optimization: A Case for a Virtual Predictive Queue

The evolution of the call center into contact centers and the growth of their use in providing customer-facing service by many companies has brought considerable capabilities in maintaining customer relationships but it also has brought challenges in providing quality service when call volumes are high. Limited in their ability to provide service at all times to all customers, companies are forced to balance the costs associated with hiring more customer service representatives and the quality of service provided by a fewer number. A primary challenge when there are not enough customer service representatives to engage the volume of callers in a timely manner is the significant wait times that can be experienced by many customers. Normally, callers are handled in accordance with a first-come, first-served policy with exceptions being skill-based routing to those customer service representatives with specialized skills. A proposed call center infrastructure framework called a Virtual Predictive Queue (VPQ) can allow some customers to benefit from a shorter call queue wait time. This proposed system can be implemented within a call center’s Automatic Call Distribution (ACD) device associated with computer telephony integration (CTI) and theoretically will not violate a first-come, first served policy

EUROPEAN CONFERENCE ON QUEUEING THEORY 2016

International audienceThis booklet contains the proceedings of the second European Conference in Queueing Theory (ECQT) that was held from the 18th to the 20th of July 2016 at the engineering school ENSEEIHT, Toulouse, France. ECQT is a biannual event where scientists and technicians in queueing theory and related areas get together to promote research, encourage interaction and exchange ideas. The spirit of the conference is to be a queueing event organized from within Europe, but open to participants from all over the world. The technical program of the 2016 edition consisted of 112 presentations organized in 29 sessions covering all trends in queueing theory, including the development of the theory, methodology advances, computational aspects and applications. Another exciting feature of ECQT2016 was the institution of the Takács Award for outstanding PhD thesis on "Queueing Theory and its Applications"

An Application of Matrix Analytic Methods to Queueing Models with Polling

We review what it means to model a queueing system, and highlight several components of interest which govern the behaviour of customers, as well as the server(s) who tend to them. Our primary focus is on polling systems, which involve one or more servers who must serve multiple queues of customers according to their service policy, which is made up of an overall polling order, and a service discipline defined at each queue. The most common polling orders and service disciplines are discussed, and some examples are given to demonstrate their use. Classic matrix analytic method theory is built up and illustrated on models of increasing complexity, to provide context for the analyses of later chapters. The original research contained within this thesis is divided into two halves, finite population maintenance models and infinite population cyclic polling models. In the first half, we investigate a 2-class maintenance system with a single server, expressed as a polling model. In Chapter 2, the model we study considers a total of C machines which are at risk of failing when working. Depending on the failure that a machine experiences, it is sorted into either the class-1 or class-2 queue where it awaits service among other machines suffering from similar failures. The possible service policies that are considered include exhaustive, non-preemptive priority, and preemptive resume priority. In Chapter 3, this model is generalized to allow for a maintenance float of f spare machines that can be turned on to replace a failed machine. Additionally, the possible server behaviours are greatly generalized. In both chapters, among other topics, we discuss the optimization of server behaviour as well as the limiting number of working machines as we let C go to infinity. As these are systems with a finite population (for a given C and f), their steady-state distributions can be solved for using the algorithm for level-dependent quasi-birth-and-death processes without loss of accuracy. When a class of customers are impatient, the algorithms covered in this thesis require their queue length to be truncated in order for us to approximate the steady-state distribution for all but the simplest model. In Chapter 4, we model a 2-queue polling system with impatient customers and k_i-limited service disciplines. Finite buffers are assumed for both queues, such that if a customer arrives to find their queue full then they are blocked and lost forever. Finite buffers are a way to interpret a necessary truncation level, since we can simply assume that it is impossible to observe the removed states. However, if we are interested in approximating an infinite buffer system, this inconsistency will bias the steady-state probabilities if blocking probabilities are not negligible. In Chapter 5, we introduce the Unobserved Waiting Customer approximation as a way to reduce this natural biasing that is incurred when approximating an infinite buffer system. Among the queues considered within this chapter is a N-queue system with exhaustive service and customers who may or may not be impatient. In Chapter 6, we extend this approximation to allow for reneging rates that depend on a customer's place in their queue. This is applied to a N-queue polling system which generalizes the model of Chapter 4

Empirical Studies in Hospital Emergency Departments

This dissertation focuses on the operational impacts of crowding in hospital emergency departments. The body of this work is comprised of three essays. In the first essay, Waiting Patiently: An Empirical Study of Queue Abandonment in an Emergency Department, we study queue abandonment, or left without being seen. We show that abandonment is not only influenced by wait time, but also by the queue length and the observable queue flows during the waiting exposure. We show that patients are sensitive to being jumped in the line and that patients respond differently to people more sick and less sick moving through the system. This study shows that managers have an opportunity to impact abandonment behavior by altering what information is available to waiting customers. In the second essay, Doctors Under Load: An Empirical Study of State-Dependent Service Times in Emergency Care, we show that when crowded, multiple mechanisms in the emergency department act to retard patient treatment, but care providers adjust their clinical behavior to accelerate the service. We identify two mechanisms that providers use to accelerate the system: early task initiation and task reduction. In contrast to other recent works, we find the net effect of these countervailing forces to be an increase in service time when the system is crowded. Further, we use simulation to show that ignoring state-dependent service times leads to modeling errors that could cause hospitals to overinvest in human and physical resources. In the final essay, The Financial Consequences of Lost Demand and Reducing Boarding in Hospital Emergency Departments, we use discrete event simulation to estimate the number of patients lost to Left Without Being Seen and ambulance diversion as a result of patients waiting in the emergency department for an inpatient bed (known as boarding). These lost patients represent both a failure of the emergency department to meet the needs of those seeking care and lost revenue for the hospital. We show that dynamic bed management policies that proactively cancel some non-emergency patients when the hospital is near capacity can lead to reduced boarding, increased number of patients served, and increased hospital revenue