Predictive Entropy Search for Efficient Global Optimization of Black-box Functions

We propose a novel information-theoretic approach for Bayesian optimization called Predictive Entropy Search (PES). At each iteration, PES selects the next evaluation point that maximizes the expected information gained with respect to the global maximum. PES codifies this intractable acquisition function in terms of the expected reduction in the differential entropy of the predictive distribution. This reformulation allows PES to obtain approximations that are both more accurate and efficient than other alternatives such as Entropy Search (ES). Furthermore, PES can easily perform a fully Bayesian treatment of the model hyperparameters while ES cannot. We evaluate PES in both synthetic and real-world applications, including optimization problems in machine learning, finance, biotechnology, and robotics. We show that the increased accuracy of PES leads to significant gains in optimization performance

An Entropy Search Portfolio for Bayesian Optimization

Bayesian optimization is a sample-efficient method for black-box global optimization. How- ever, the performance of a Bayesian optimization method very much depends on its exploration strategy, i.e. the choice of acquisition function, and it is not clear a priori which choice will result in superior performance. While portfolio methods provide an effective, principled way of combining a collection of acquisition functions, they are often based on measures of past performance which can be misleading. To address this issue, we introduce the Entropy Search Portfolio (ESP): a novel approach to portfolio construction which is motivated by information theoretic considerations. We show that ESP outperforms existing portfolio methods on several real and synthetic problems, including geostatistical datasets and simulated control tasks. We not only show that ESP is able to offer performance as good as the best, but unknown, acquisition function, but surprisingly it often gives better performance. Finally, over a wide range of conditions we find that ESP is robust to the inclusion of poor acquisition functions.Comment: 10 pages, 5 figure

Active learning for feasible region discovery

Often in the design process of an engineer, the design specifications of the system are not completely known initially. However, usually there are some physical constraints which are already known, corresponding to a region of interest in the design space that is called feasible. These constraints often have no analytical form but need to be characterised based on expensive simulations or measurements. Therefore, it is important that the feasible region can be modeled sufficiently accurate using only a limited amount of samples. This can be solved by using active learning techniques that minimize the amount of samples w.r.t. what we try to model. Most active learning strategies focus on classification models or regression models with classification accuracy and regression accuracy in mind respectively. In this work, regression models of the constraints are used, but only the (in) feasibility is of interest. To tackle this problem, an information-theoretic sampling strategy is constructed to discover these regions. The proposed method is then tested on two synthetic examples and one engineering example and proves to outperform the current state-of-the-art