Modelling and quantification of structural uncertainties in petroleum reservoirs assisted by a hybrid cartesian cut cell/enriched multipoint flux approximation approach

Efficient and profitable oil production is subject to make reliable predictions about reservoir performance. However, restricted knowledge about reservoir distributed properties and reservoir structure calls for History Matching in which the reservoir model is calibrated to emulate the field observed history. Such an inverse problem yields multiple history-matched models which might result in different predictions of reservoir performance. Uncertainty Quantification restricts the raised model uncertainties and boosts the model reliability for the forecasts of future reservoir behaviour. Conventional approaches of Uncertainty Quantification ignore large scale uncertainties related to reservoir structure, while structural uncertainties can influence the reservoir forecasts more intensely compared with petrophysical uncertainty. What makes the quantification of structural uncertainty impracticable is the need for global regridding at each step of History Matching process. To resolve this obstacle, we develop an efficient methodology based on Cartesian Cut Cell Method which decouples the model from its representation onto the grid and allows uncertain structures to be varied as a part of History Matching process. Reduced numerical accuracy due to cell degeneracies in the vicinity of geological structures is adequately compensated with an enhanced scheme of class Locally Conservative Flux Continuous Methods (Extended Enriched Multipoint Flux Approximation Method abbreviated to extended EMPFA). The robustness and consistency of proposed Hybrid Cartesian Cut Cell/extended EMPFA approach are demonstrated in terms of true representation of geological structures influence on flow behaviour. In this research, the general framework of Uncertainty Quantification is extended and well-equipped by proposed approach to tackle uncertainties of different structures such as reservoir horizons, bedding layers, faults and pinchouts. Significant improvements in the quality of reservoir recovery forecasts and reservoir volume estimation are presented for synthetic models of uncertain structures. Also this thesis provides a comparative study of structural uncertainty influence on reservoir forecasts among various geological structures

Uncertainty Quantification of geochemical and mechanical compaction in layered sedimentary basins

In this work we propose an Uncertainty Quantification methodology for sedimentary basins evolution under mechanical and geochemical compaction processes, which we model as a coupled, time-dependent, non-linear, monodimensional (depth-only) system of PDEs with uncertain parameters. While in previous works (Formaggia et al. 2013, Porta et al., 2014) we assumed a simplified depositional history with only one material, in this work we consider multi-layered basins, in which each layer is characterized by a different material, and hence by different properties. This setting requires several improvements with respect to our earlier works, both concerning the deterministic solver and the stochastic discretization. On the deterministic side, we replace the previous fixed-point iterative solver with a more efficient Newton solver at each step of the time-discretization. On the stochastic side, the multi-layered structure gives rise to discontinuities in the dependence of the state variables on the uncertain parameters, that need an appropriate treatment for surrogate modeling techniques, such as sparse grids, to be effective. We propose an innovative methodology to this end which relies on a change of coordinate system to align the discontinuities of the target function within the random parameter space. The reference coordinate system is built upon exploiting physical features of the problem at hand. We employ the locations of material interfaces, which display a smooth dependence on the random parameters and are therefore amenable to sparse grid polynomial approximations. We showcase the capabilities of our numerical methodologies through two synthetic test cases. In particular, we show that our methodology reproduces with high accuracy multi-modal probability density functions displayed by target state variables (e.g., porosity).Comment: 25 pages, 30 figure

Postprocessing of Non-Conservative Flux for Compatibility with Transport in Heterogeneous Media

A conservative flux postprocessing algorithm is presented for both steady-state and dynamic flow models. The postprocessed flux is shown to have the same convergence order as the original flux. An arbitrary flux approximation is projected into a conservative subspace by adding a piecewise constant correction that is minimized in a weighted $L^2$ norm. The application of a weighted norm appears to yield better results for heterogeneous media than the standard $L^2$ norm which has been considered in earlier works. We also study the effect of different flux calculations on the domain boundary. In particular we consider the continuous Galerkin finite element method for solving Darcy flow and couple it with a discontinuous Galerkin finite element method for an advective transport problem.Comment: 34 pages, 17 figures, 11 table

Finite volume schemes for diffusion equations: introduction to and review of modern methods

We present Finite Volume methods for diffusion equations on generic meshes, that received important coverage in the last decade or so. After introducing the main ideas and construction principles of the methods, we review some literature results, focusing on two important properties of schemes (discrete versions of well-known properties of the continuous equation): coercivity and minimum-maximum principles. Coercivity ensures the stability of the method as well as its convergence under assumptions compatible with real-world applications, whereas minimum-maximum principles are crucial in case of strong anisotropy to obtain physically meaningful approximate solutions