Failure Prognosis of Wind Turbine Components

Wind energy is playing an increasingly significant role in the World\u27s energy supply mix. In North America, many utility-scale wind turbines are approaching, or are beyond the half-way point of their originally anticipated lifespan. Accurate estimation of the times to failure of major turbine components can provide wind farm owners insight into how to optimize the life and value of their farm assets. This dissertation deals with fault detection and failure prognosis of critical wind turbine sub-assemblies, including generators, blades, and bearings based on data-driven approaches. The main aim of the data-driven methods is to utilize measurement data from the system and forecast the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of faulty components accurately and efficiently. The main contributions of this dissertation are in the application of ALTA lifetime analysis to help illustrate a possible relationship between varying loads and generators reliability, a wavelet-based Probability Density Function (PDF) to effectively detecting incipient wind turbine blade failure, an adaptive Bayesian algorithm for modeling the uncertainty inherent in the bearings RUL prediction horizon, and a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for characterizing the bearing damage progression based on varying operating states to mimic a real condition in which wind turbines operate and to recognize that the damage progression is a function of the stress applied to each component using data from historical failures across three different Canadian wind farms

Big data classification using fuzzy logical concepts for paddy yield prediction

Time association data has been critical to the exploration field of paddy yield forecast. At durations the path of recent many years, countless flossy legitimate time arrangement. For this reason, this paper canters round searching forward to statistics esteems on a huge variety of flossy precept calculations. To clarify the approach in the course of gauging, the verifiable statistics of paddy yield. The method for acknowledgment used at some point of this exam can also be an extreme information grouping. The technique joins the coaching capacities of fake neural device with the human like data portrayal and clarification capacities of flossy precept frameworks and furthermore a trendy primarily based in maximum instances hold close framework. It's miles for the most half of used in Brobdingnagian expertise getting equipped applications. As we have a tendency to in all opportunity am aware, affiliation method of massive information teams the information into thousands of categories addicted to high-quality trends for additional getting equipped. We've got engineered up some other calculation to have an effect on the grouping by using flossy recommendations on this present fact informational index. Forecast of harvest yield is significant because of this on precisely meet marketplace conditions and legitimate company of rural sports coordinated towards enhance in yield. A number of obstacles, as an example, weather, bothers, biophysical and physio morphological highlights advantage their idea whereas determining the yield. It's in reality proper right here that the flossy precept becomes partner in Nursing important issue. This paper explains a shot to create flossy valid frameworks for paddy crop yield expectatio

VIKOR Technique:A Systematic Review of the State of the Art Literature on Methodologies and Applications

The main objective of this paper is to present a systematic review of the VlseKriterijuska Optimizacija I Komoromisno Resenje (VIKOR) method in several application areas such as sustainability and renewable energy. This study reviewed a total of 176 papers, published in 2004 to 2015, from 83 high-ranking journals; most of which were related to Operational Research, Management Sciences, decision making, sustainability and renewable energy and were extracted from the “Web of Science and Scopus” databases. Papers were classified into 15 main application areas. Furthermore, papers were categorized based on the nationalities of authors, dates of publications, techniques and methods, type of studies, the names of the journals and studies purposes. The results of this study indicated that more papers on VIKOR technique were published in 2013 than in any other year. In addition, 13 papers were published about sustainability and renewable energy fields. Furthermore, VIKOR and fuzzy VIKOR methods, had the first rank in use. Additionally, the Journal of Expert Systems with Applications was the most significant journal in this study, with 27 publications on the topic. Finally, Taiwan had the first rank from 22 nationalities which used VIKOR technique

Aggregated DER Management in Advanced Distribution Grids

Evolution of modern power systems are more distinct in distribution grids, where the growing integration of microgrids as well as distributed energy resources (DERs), including renewable energy resources, electric vehicles (EVs), and energy storage, poses new challenges and opportunities to grid management and operation. Rapid growth of distribution automation as well as equipment monitoring technologies in the distribution grids further offer new opportunities for distribution asset management. The idea of aggregated DERs is proposed as a remedy to streamline management and operation of advanced distribution grids, as discussed under three subjects in this dissertation. The first subject matter focuses on DER aggregation in microgrid for distribution transformer asset management, while the second one stresses on aggregated DER for developing a spinning reserve-based optimal scheduling model of integrated microgrids. The aggregation of EV batteries in a battery swapping stations (BSS) for enhancing grid operation is investigated in the third subject. Distribution transformer, as the most critical component in the distribution grids, is selected as the component of the choice for asset management practices, where three asset management studies are proposed. First, an approach in estimating transformer lifetime is presented based on the IEEE Std. C57.91-2011 and using sensory data. Second, a methodology to obtain a low-error estimate of transformer loss-of-life is investigated, leveraging an integrated machine learning and data fusion technique. Finally, a microgrid-based distribution transformer asset management model is developed to prolong the transformer lifetime. The resulting model aims at reshaping the distribution transformer loading via aggregating microgrid DERs in an efficient and asset management-aware manner. The increasing penetration of microgrids in distribution grids sets the stage for the formation of multiple microgrids in an integrated fashion. Accordingly, a spinning reserved based optimal scheduling model for integrated microgrids is proposed to minimize not only the operation cost associated with all microgrids in the grid-connected operation, but also the costs of power deficiency and spinning reserve in the islanded operation mode. The resulting model aims at determining an optimal configuration of the system in the islanded operation, i.e., optimal super-holons combination, which plays a key role in minimizing the system-aggregated operation cost and improving the overall system reliability. The evolving distribution grids introduce the concept of the BSS, which is emerging as a viable means for fast energy refill of EVs, to offer energy and ancillary services to the distribution grids through DER aggregation. Using a mixed-integer linear programming method, an uncertainty-constrained BSS optimal operation model is presented that not only covers the random customer demands of fully charged batteries, but also focuses on aggregating the available distributed batteries in the BSS to reduce its operation cost. Furthermore, the BSS is introduced as an energy storage for mitigating solar photovoltaic (PV) output fluctuations, where the distributed batteries in the BSS are modeled as an aggregated energy storage to capture solar generation variability. Numerical simulations demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed models as well as their respective viability in achieving the predefined operational objectives

Computational intelligence based complex adaptive system-of-systems architecture evolution strategy

The dynamic planning for a system-of-systems (SoS) is a challenging endeavor. Large scale organizations and operations constantly face challenges to incorporate new systems and upgrade existing systems over a period of time under threats, constrained budget and uncertainty. It is therefore necessary for the program managers to be able to look at the future scenarios and critically assess the impact of technology and stakeholder changes. Managers and engineers are always looking for options that signify affordable acquisition selections and lessen the cycle time for early acquisition and new technology addition. This research helps in analyzing sequential decisions in an evolving SoS architecture based on the wave model through three key features namely; meta-architecture generation, architecture assessment and architecture implementation. Meta-architectures are generated using evolutionary algorithms and assessed using type II fuzzy nets. The approach can accommodate diverse stakeholder views and convert them to key performance parameters (KPP) and use them for architecture assessment. On the other hand, it is not possible to implement such architecture without persuading the systems to participate into the meta-architecture. To address this issue a negotiation model is proposed which helps the SoS manger to adapt his strategy based on system owners behavior. This work helps in capturing the varied differences in the resources required by systems to prepare for participation. The viewpoints of multiple stakeholders are aggregated to assess the overall mission effectiveness of the overarching objective. An SAR SoS example problem illustrates application of the method. Also a dynamic programing approach can be used for generating meta-architectures based on the wave model. --Abstract, page iii

Méthode par gabarit à ordre variable pour la prédiction de séries chronologiques financières

La prédiction de séries chronologiques exhibant des changements de comportements à travers le temps est un problème fondamental dans les domaines du traitement de signal et de la reconnaissance automatique. Dans la majorité des applications de prédiction de séries chronologiques financières, ajuster proprement la paramétrisation d'un modèle ou d'un modèle d'ensemble est un problème connu pour sa difficulté. Lorsqu'il y a des changements de régime, c.-à-d.: des changements des propriétés statistiques inattendues de ces séries à travers le temps, les modèles actuels ne sont pas capables d'adapter leur paramétrisation et la qualité de leur prédictions se voit dégradée. Cette thèse propose une approche formelle pour aborder ces changements de comportements au moyen d'une automatisation de la capacité de modèles existants a varier dynamiquement leurs structures graphiques et à modéliser plusieurs structures graphiques simultanément. Lorsque cette approche est appliquée à grande échelle, les modèles pouvant changer leurs structures graphiques dynamiquement ont tendance à être plus robustes et permettent de réduire le temps de calcul nécessaire pour produire des modèles d'ensemble sans compromettre leur niveau de précision

Journal of Telecommunications and Information Technology, 2009, nr 3

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