Observed and Projected Hydroclimate Changes in the Andes

The Andes is the most biodiverse region across the globe. In addition, some of the largest urban areas in South America are located within this region. Therefore, ecosystems and human population are affected by hydroclimate changes reported at global, regional and local scales. This paper summarizes progress of knowledge about long-term trends observed during the last two millennia over the entire Andes, with more detail for the period since the second half of the 20th century, and presents a synthesis of climate change projections by the end of the 21st century. In particular, this paper focuses on temperature, precipitation and surface runoff in the Andes. Changes in the Andean cryosphere are not included here since this particular topic is discussed in other paper in this Frontiers special issue, and elsewhere (e.g. IPCC,2019b). While previous works have reviewed the hydroclimate of South America and particular sectors (i.e., Amazon and La Plata basins, the Altiplano, Northern South America, etc.) this review includes for the first time the entire Andes region, considering all latitudinal ranges: tropical (North of 27°S), subtropical (27°S−37°S) and extratropical (South of 37°S). This paper provides a comprehensive view of past and recent changes, as well as available climate change projections, over the entire Andean range. From this review, the main knowledge gaps are highlighted and urgent research necessities in order to provide more mechanistic understanding of hydroclimate changes in the Andes and more confident projections of its possible changes in association with global climate change.Fil: Pabón Caicedo, José Daniel. Universidad Nacional de Colombia; ColombiaFil: Arias, Paola A.. Universidad de Antioquia; ColombiaFil: Carril, Andrea Fabiana. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaFil: Espinoza, Jhan Carlo. Universite Grenoble Alpes; FranciaFil: Fita Borrell, Lluís. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaFil: Goubanova, Katerina. Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Áridas; ChileFil: Lavado Casimiro, Waldo. No especifíca;Fil: Masiokas, Mariano Hugo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; ArgentinaFil: Solman, Silvina Alicia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; ArgentinaFil: Villalba, Ricardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; Argentin

Assessing the spatiotemporal patterns and impacts of droughts in the Orinoco river basin using earth observations data and surface observations

Droughts impact the water cycle, ecological balance, and socio-economic development in various regions around the world. The Orinoco River Basin is a region highly susceptible to droughts. The basin supports diverse ecosystems and supplies valuable resources to local communities. We assess the spatiotemporal patterns and impacts of droughts in the basin using remote sensing data and surface observations. We use monthly precipitation (P), air temperature near the surface (T2M), enhanced vegetation index (EVI) derived from Earth observations, and average daily flow (Q) data to quantify drought characteristics and impacts. We also investigated the association between drought and global warming by correlating the drought intensity and the percentage of dry area with sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the Pacific (Niño 3.4 index), Atlantic (North Atlantic Index [NATL]), and South Atlantic Index [SATL]) oceans. We evaluate the modulating effect of droughts on the hydrological regime of the most relevant tributaries by calculating the trend and significance of the regional standardized precipitation index (SPI) and percentage area affected by dry conditions. El Niño events worsen the region’s drought conditions (SPI vs. Niño 3.4 index, r = −0.221), while Atlantic SST variability has less influence on the basin’s precipitation regime (SPI vs. NATL and SATL, r = 0.117 and −0.045, respectively). We also found that long-term surface warming trends aggravate drought conditions (SPI vs. T2M anomalies, r = −0.473), but vegetation greenness increases despite high surface temperatures (SPI vs. EVI anomalies, r = 0.284). We emphasize the irregular spatial-temporal patterns of droughts in the region and their profound effects on the ecological flow of rivers during prolonged hydrological droughts. This approach provides crucial insights into potential implications for water availability, agricultural productivity, and overall ecosystem health. Our study underlines the urgent need for adaptive management strategies to mitigate the adverse effects of droughts on ecosystems and human populations. The insights derived from our study have practical implications for developing strategies to address the impacts of droughts and ensure the protection of this ecologically significant region

Multi-scale actual evapotranspiration mapping in South America with remote sensing data and the geeSEBAL model

O monitoramento preciso da evapotranspiração (ET) é crucial para gerenciar os recursos hídricos, garantir a segurança alimentar e avaliar os impactos das mudanças climáticas. Modelos de Balanço de Energia da Superfície (SEB) que usam dados de sensoriamento remoto são os mais confiáveis para estimar a ET, mas muitas vezes são difíceis de aplicar em grande escala devido ao longo tempo de processamento, necessidade de calibração local, entre outros obstáculos. Esta tese tem como foco a melhoria do geeSEBAL, uma implementação do modelo Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land (SEBAL) na plataforma Google Earth Engine (GEE), adaptando-o para modelagem em escala continental, usando imagens do Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). O novo modelo, chamado geeSEBALMODIS, foi usado para gerar uma série temporal de ET a cada 8 dias para a América do Sul com pixels de 500 m. Estudos de validação mostram que o geeSEBAL-MODIS é mais preciso do que outros produtos globais de ET, com uma redução do erro de 13% na escala de campo e 30% na escala de bacia hidrográfica. O conjunto de dados está disponível para o público e pode ser usado para monitorar tanto mudanças climáticas em grande escala quanto as variações locais de ET relacionadas às atividades humanas. A análise de tendências mostra um aumento de 8,4% na ET sobre a América do Sul, associado ao aumento da demanda atmosférica, e à redução da precipitação e disponibilidade de água. Esses resultados destacam a importância de informações precisas sobre os processos do ciclo hidrológico para auxiliar no planejamento e gerenciamento dos recursos hídricos em um cenário de maior escassez. Nesse contexto, projetos como o OpenET, que fornece dados confiáveis e de alta resolução espacial de ET nos Estados Unidos, são cruciais para monitorar o consumo de água e auxiliar no desenvolvimento sustentável. Este trabalho também apresenta uma reprodução parcial do processo do OpenET para a intercomparação de modelos de sensoriamento remoto com dados de torres de fluxo, usando torres micrometeorológicas na América do Sul. Os resultados são promissores e abrem caminho para a expansão do OpenET além dos Estados Unidos e em direção a uma aplicação global.Accurately monitoring evapotranspiration (ET) is crucial for managing water resources, ensuring food security, and assessing the impacts of climate change. Surface Energy Balance (SEB) models that use remote sensing data are the most reliable for estimating ET, but they are often challenging to apply on a large scale due to long processing times, and local calibration requirements, among other obstacles. This dissertation focuses on improving geeSEBAL, an implementation of the Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land (SEBAL) model on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, by adapting it for continental-scale modeling using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images. The new model, called geeSEBAL-MODIS, was used to generate a temporal series of ET every 8 days for South America with pixels of 500 m. Validation studies show that geeSEBAL-MODIS is more accurate than other global ET products, with a reduction in error of 13% at the field scale and 30% at the basin scale. The dataset is publicly available and can be used to monitor both largescale climate change and local ET variations related to human activities. Trend analysis shows an 8.4% increase in ET over South America, associated with increased atmospheric demand, and reductions in precipitation and water availability. These findings underscore the importance of accurate information on hydrological cycle processes to assist in planning and managing water resources in a scenario of greater scarcity. In this context, projects like OpenET, which provides reliable and high spatial-resolution ET data in the United States, are crucial for monitoring water consumption and aiding in sustainable development. This work also presents a partial reproduction of the OpenET process for intercomparing remote sensing models with flux tower data, using micrometeorological towers in South America. The results are promising and pave the way for expanding OpenET beyond the United States and toward global application

High-resolution grids of daily air temperature for Peru - the new PISCOt v1.2 dataset

Gridded high-resolution climate datasets are increasingly important for a wide range of modelling applications. Here we present PISCOt (v1.2), a novel high spatial resolution (0.01°) dataset of daily air temperature for entire Peru (1981–2020). The dataset development involves four main steps: (i) quality control; (ii) gap-filling; (iii) homogenisation of weather stations, and (iv) spatial interpolation using additional data, a revised calculation sequence and an enhanced version control. This improved methodological framework enables capturing complex spatial variability of maximum and minimum air temperature at a more accurate scale compared to other existing datasets (e.g. PISCOt v1.1, ERA5-Land, TerraClimate, CHIRTS). PISCOt performs well with mean absolute errors of 1.4 °C and 1.2 °C for maximum and minimum air temperature, respectively. For the first time, PISCOt v1.2 adequately captures complex climatology at high spatiotemporal resolution and therefore provides a substantial improvement for numerous applications at local-regional level. This is particularly useful in view of data scarcity and urgently needed model-based decision making for climate change, water balance and ecosystem assessment studies in Peru

Monitoring temporal variations in the geothermal activity of Miocene Lesvos volcanic field using remote sensing techniques and MODIS - LST imagery

Abstract Many islands of the Aegean Sea show strong geothermal activity due to volcanism in the area. In this paper, Robust Satellite Techniques (RST) are used to isolate, from other known possible sources, those thermal anomalies possibly related to geothermal activity in the Miocene volcanic field of Lesvos Island (Northern Aegean). For this purpose, 12 years (2003–2014) of daily Night-time Land Surface Temperature (LST) products, from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) acquisitions were analyzed. The final dataset contained 770 thermal anomalies whose spatial correlation with geological and structural data of Lesvos - such as caldera rims, ring faults, major tectonic lineaments and hydrothermal alterations mapped by processing SENTINEL-2 MSI satellite images – has been particularly investigated. In the approximately 20 ma geothermal field of Lesvos, geothermal activity seems to be also associated with the extensional regime of the broader area that leads to lithosphere thinning and consequent heat transfer in the multi-fractured terrain of Lesvos through volcanic and tectonic faults. Achieved results seem to confirm the possibility to use RST-based thermal anomalies to identify temporal variations in the geothermal activity probably due to the uplifting and circulation of the hydrothermal waters

Desertification of Iran in the early twenty-first century: assessment using climate and vegetation indices

AbstractRemote sensing of specific climatic and biogeographical parameters is an effective means of evaluating the large-scale desertification status of drylands affected by negative human impacts. Here, we identify and analyze desertification trends in Iran for the period 2001–2015 via a combination of three indices for vegetation (NPP—net primary production, NDVI—normalized difference vegetation index, LAI—leaf area index) and two climate indices (LST—land surface temperature, P—precipitation). We combine these indices to identify and map areas of Iran that are susceptible to land degradation. We then apply a simple linear regression method, the Mann–Kendall non-parametric test, and the Theil–Sen estimator to identify long-term temporal and spatial trends within the data. Based on desertification map, we find that 68% of Iran shows a high to very high susceptibility to desertification, representing an area of 1.1 million km2 (excluding 0.42 million km2 classified as unvegetated). Our results highlight the importance of scale in assessments of desertification, and the value of high-resolution data, in particular. Annually, no significant change is evident within any of the five indices, but significant changes (some positive, some negative) become apparent on a seasonal basis. Some observations follow expectations; for instance, NDVI is strongly associated with cooler, wet spring and summer seasons, and milder winters. Others require more explanation; for instance, vegetation appears decoupled from climatic forcing during autumn. Spatially, too, there is much local and regional variation, which is lost when the data are considered only at the largest nationwide scale. We identify a northwest–southeast belt spanning central Iran, which has experienced significant vegetation decline (2001–2015). We tentatively link this belt of land degradation with intensified agriculture in the hinterlands of Iran’s major cities. The spatial and temporal trends identified with the three vegetation and two climate indices afford a cost-effective framework for the prediction and management of future environmental trends in developing regions at risk of desertification.</jats:p

Data Fusion and Synergy of Active and Passive Remote Sensing; An application for Freeze Thaw Detections

There has been a recent evolvement in the field of remote sensing after increase of number satellites and sensors data which could be fused to produce new data and products. These efforts are mainly focused on using of simultaneous observations from different platforms with different spatial and temporal resolutions. The research dissertation aims to enhance the synergy use of active and passive microwave observations and examine the results in detection land freeze and thaw (FT) predictions. Freeze thaw cycles particularly in high-latitude regions have a crucial role in many applications such as agriculture, biogeochemical transitions, hydrology and ecosystem studies. The dielectric change between frozen ice and melted water can dramatically affect the brightness temperature (TB) signal when water transits from the liquid to the solid phase which makes satellite-based microwave remote sensing unique for characterizing the surface freeze thaw status. Passive microwave (PMW) sensors with coarse resolution (about 25 km) but more frequent observations (at least twice a day and more frequent in polar regions) have been successfully utilized to define surface state in terms of freeze and thaw in the past. Alternatively, active microwave (AMW) sensors provide much higher spatial resolution (about 100 m or less) though with less temporal resolution (each 12 days). Therefore, an integration of microwave data coming from different sensors may provide a more complete estimation of land freeze thaw state. In this regard, the overarching goal of this research is to explore estimating high spatiotemporal freeze and thaw states using the combination of passive and active microwave observations. To obtain a high temporal resolution TB, this study primarily builds an improved diurnal variation of land surface temperature from integration of infrared sensors. In the next step, a half an hourly diurnal cycle of TB based on fusion of different passive sensors is estimated. It should be mentioned that each instrument has its own footprint, resolution, viewing angle, as well as frequency and consequently their data need to be harmonized in order to be combined. Later, data from an AMW sensor with fine spatial resolution are merged and compared to the corresponding passive data in order to find a relation between TB and backscatter data. Subsequently, PMW TB map can be downscaled to a higher spatial resolution or AMW backscatter timeseries can be generalized to high temporal resolution. Eventually, the final high spatiotemporal resolution TB product is used to examine the freeze thaw state for case studies areas in Northern latitudes

A combined view on precipitation and temperature climatology and trends in the southern Andes of Peru

In the southern Peruvian Andes, communities are highly dependent on climatic conditions due to the mainly rain-fed agriculture and the importance of glaciers and snow melt as a freshwater resource. Longer-term trends and year-to-year variability of precipitation or temperature severely affect living conditions. This study evaluates seasonal precipitation and temperature climatologies and trends in the period 1965/66–2017/18 for the southern Peruvian Andes using quality-controlled and homogenized station data and new observational gridded data. In this region, precipitation exhibits a strong annual cycle with very dry winter months and most of the precipitation falling from spring to autumn. Spatially, a northeast–southwest gradient in austral spring is observed, related to an earlier start of the rainy season in the northeastern partof the study area. Seasonal variations of maximum temperature are weak withan annual maximum in austral spring, which is related to reduced cloud coverin austral spring compared to summer. On the contrary, minimum tempera-tures show larger seasonal variations, possibly enhanced through changes inlongwave incoming radiation following the precipitation cycle. Precipitationtrends since 1965 exhibit low spatial consistency except for austral summer,when in most of the study area increasing precipitation is observed, and in aus-tral spring, when stations in the central-western region of the study area regis-ter decreasing precipitation. All seasonal and annual trends in maximum temperature are larger than trends in minimum temperature. Maximum temperature exhibits strong trends in austral winter and spring, whereas minimum temperature trends are strongest in austral winter. We hypothesize, that these trends are related to precipitation changes, as decreasing (increasing) precipita-tion in spring (summer) may enhance maximum (minimum) temperature trends through changes in cloud cover. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), however, has modifying effects onto precipitation and temperature, and thereby leads to larger trends in maximum temperatures